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Varese vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 81-82
15-15 23-28 16-22 27-17
Position#8
Record7-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#16
Record6-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game72.8
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2015-16
Meetings · Varese v Capo d'Orlando
10 Dec 2017
VAR82
KDO58
26 Mar 2017
VAR74
KDO72
14 Feb 2016
VAR81
KDO82
26 Apr 2015
VAR80
KDO73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H03/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Gussing Knights
#35
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Caserta
#13
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A17/01
Lega A
Minsk
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
A20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
64-86
64
86
-22
H24/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H27/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#12
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A31/01
Lega A
Gussing Knights
#35
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#6
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A07/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
25-13
19-18
15-14
20-10
16-13
10-20
15-22
25-16
14-18
20-16
26-31
23-17
17-26
21-13
16-14
15-18
24-20
19-32
31-14
12-13
10-27
14-21
28-25
17-14
20-19
16-17
21-22
20-24
28-11
19-16
4-25
25-14
12-13
16-19
24-25
18-25
14-25
19-22
18-19
150.8Avg total
74.6Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.078.9150.9-6.937%
Season at home (9)77.178.3155.4-1.256%
Season away (10)67.479.5146.9-12.120%
Last 10 (10)74.676.2150.8-1.660%
Last 5 (5)71.079.2150.2-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.688.0155.6-20.40%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.074.8152.8+3.265%
vs Weaker (6)81.874.8156.7+7.067%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#10
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H06/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
57-84
57
84
-27
A13/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H20/12
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A23/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
55-73
55
73
-18
H27/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
75-103
75
103
-28
A03/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
56-84
56
84
-28
A17/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H24/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H01/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A07/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
16-24
19-20
18-13
14-18
14-23
16-26
13-17
19-23
11-22
25-15
14-12
16-19
23-22
11-17
13-16
16-12
16-20
14-15
9-26
15-30
24-21
18-29
18-23
12-22
13-20
13-20
18-22
10-20
8-6
17-13
20-14
29-16
18-13
12-17
30-16
22-23
16-10
14-19
14-23
141.6Avg total
65.9Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)66.772.8139.6-6.132%
Season at home (10)66.267.6133.8-1.440%
Season away (9)67.378.7146.0-11.322%
Last 10 (10)65.975.7141.6-9.820%
Last 5 (5)68.275.4143.6-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)64.472.7137.1-8.328%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.973.3147.2+0.645%
vs Weaker (1)69.070.0139.0-1.00%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
VareseCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H03/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Gussing Knights
#35
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Caserta
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/01
Lega A
Minsk
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H24/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H27/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A31/01
Lega A
Gussing Knights
#35
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A07/02
Lega A
73.2Avg total
37.5Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.976.3+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.138.078.1+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)37.037.874.8-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.773.2+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)35.237.072.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.345.478.7-12.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.635.175.7+5.676%-
vs Weaker (6)38.337.075.3+1.350%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H06/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A13/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H20/12
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A23/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H27/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A03/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A17/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H24/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H01/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A07/02
Lega A
71.7Avg total
33.3Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.536.170.6-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.934.768.7-0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)35.137.572.5-2.447%-
Last 10 (10)33.338.471.7-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.269.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.635.968.5-3.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.636.673.3+0.045%-
vs Weaker (1)45.034.079.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
1
Capo d'Orlando wins
DateGameScore
01/11/15Capo d'Orlando v Varese62-66
26/04/15Varese v Capo d'Orlando80-73
29/12/14Capo d'Orlando v Varese84-71
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/16ASassari69-91
03/02/16AGussing Knights77-71
31/01/16APesaro71-76
27/01/16HAEK Larnaca74-72
24/01/16HOlimpia Milano64-86
20/01/16AMinsk89-84
17/01/16ACaserta77-70
13/01/16HGussing Knights85-81
06/01/16AAEK Larnaca61-65
03/01/16HCantu79-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/16AReggiana66-75
01/02/16HVirtus Bologna89-62
24/01/16HVenezia55-53
17/01/16ACantu56-84
03/01/16APistoia75-103
27/12/15HAvellino55-73
23/12/15ATrento63-74
20/12/15HPesaro69-72
13/12/15AOlimpia Milano57-84
06/12/15HBrindisi74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL37%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%56%20%
Points / game72.077.167.4
Allowed / game78.978.379.5
Point differential-6.9-1.2-12.1
Avg total150.9155.4146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2015-16
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL32%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%40%22%
Points / game66.766.267.3
Allowed / game72.867.678.7
Point differential-6.1-1.4-11.3
Avg total139.6133.8146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1813572%82.069.9+12.1
2 Reggiana2014670%78.272.7+5.5
3 Cremona1913668%75.373.5+1.8
4 Pistoia1912763%77.676.1+1.5
5 Avellino2012860%77.076.0+1.1
6 Sassari2011955%82.079.2+2.9
7 Trento2011955%76.274.7+1.6
8 Venezia20101050%75.072.0+2.9
9 Brindisi1991047%80.380.6-0.3
10 Caserta1881044%71.373.4-2.1
11 Cantu1981142%80.980.3+0.7
12 Virtus Bologna1971237%74.179.1-5.0
13 Varese1971237%72.078.9-6.9
14 Pesaro2071335%74.478.6-4.2
15 Torino1961332%75.280.6-5.4
16 Capo d'Orlando1961332%66.772.8-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1523162781
Capo d'Orlando1528221782
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