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Avellino vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-65
26-15 14-21 19-18 18-11
Position#3
Record14-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game75.6
Avellino 🏆
Italy
vs
Sassari
Italy
Position#5
Record12-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game73.6
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Avellino v Sassari
23 Dec 2018
AVE86
SAS78
29 Apr 2018
AVE67
SAS80
18 Mar 2017
AVE77
SAS65
17 Feb 2017
AVE68
SAS69
09 Nov 2015
AVE88
SAS90
15 Mar 2015
AVE70
SAS83
08 Mar 2014
AVE68
SAS75
10 Mar 2013
AVE86
SAS78
06 Nov 2011
AVE96
SAS79
23 Apr 2011
AVE92
SAS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Juventus
#17
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
H25/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
80-68
80
68
+12
111avg 109
H30/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
59-67
59
67
-8
86avg 109
A05/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
114avg 109
H12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
no box
H17/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#11
L
87-91
87
91
-4
114avg 109
A26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#14
L
49-53
49
53
-4
no box
A01/03
Champions League
Varese
#10
L
75-82
75
82
-7
105avg 109
H05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#14
L
68-72
68
72
-4
no box
H08/03
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
no box
A12/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
19-20
15-14
19-10
30-15
17-21
16-15
17-17
22-14
13-13
6-16
18-24
16-21
25-15
17-11
21-15
22-13
16-26
16-17
14-13
20-24
27-21
21-25
19-21
18-12
12-10
15-18
4-13
28-24
21-16
11-23
15-19
14-21
13-19
22-16
19-16
20-15
21-21
13-20
24-22
144.6Avg total
72.9Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.075.6155.6+4.364%
Season at home (11)82.174.0156.1+8.173%
Season away (11)77.877.3155.1+0.555%
Last 10 (10)72.971.7144.6+1.240%
Last 5 (5)73.877.4151.2-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.571.0147.5+5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.073.9148.9+1.156%
vs Weaker (18)76.470.7147.1+5.756%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Cantu
#14
W
80-65
80
65
+15
109avg 103
H12/02
Lega A
Avellino
#5
W
69-68
69
68
+1
no box
A17/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#3
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A19/02
Italian Cup
Nymburk
#5
L
63-84
63
84
-21
no box
A21/02
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
L
71-76
71
76
-5
98avg 103
A26/02
Lega A
Le Mans
#15
W
79-63
79
63
+16
no box
H01/03
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
W
81-75
81
75
+6
107avg 103
H04/03
Lega A
Le Mans
#15
W
68-66
68
66
+2
no box
A07/03
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
97avg 103
H12/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
12-23
24-17
23-11
13-22
26-16
17-16
13-14
22-15
11-24
27-16
17-15
19-11
17-23
18-22
20-28
11-17
14-18
17-30
21-19
23-10
11-20
21-22
16-24
16-14
20-18
16-19
27-12
21-12
19-30
18-10
23-23
18-21
12-14
17-19
21-12
17-23
18-21
20-18
20-20
147.0Avg total
73.7Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.173.6150.8+3.555%
Season at home (12)82.571.9154.4+10.675%
Season away (10)70.775.7146.4-5.030%
Last 10 (10)73.773.3147.0+0.460%
Last 5 (5)74.872.4147.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.178.0154.1-1.956%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.576.3154.7+2.264%
vs Weaker (9)78.371.8150.1+6.656%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
AvellinoSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#17
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H30/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A05/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H17/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#14
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A01/03
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#14
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H08/03
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A12/03
Lega A
75.6Avg total
39.5Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.636.373.9+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.035.373.3+2.756%-
Last 30 away (14)37.237.474.6-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.175.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)38.836.675.4+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.134.369.4+0.856%-
vs Weaker (18)39.336.675.9+2.761%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#14
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H12/02
Lega A
Avellino
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A17/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A19/02
Italian Cup
Nymburk
#5
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A21/02
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A26/02
Lega A
Le Mans
#15
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H01/03
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H04/03
Lega A
Le Mans
#15
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A07/03
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H12/03
Lega A
70.7Avg total
34.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.737.674.3-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.639.278.8+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)33.935.969.8-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)34.136.670.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.671.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.736.672.2-0.956%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.839.976.7-3.127%-
vs Weaker (9)37.435.773.1+1.844%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.6
52.2%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.2
39.2%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.310.9
71.2%
74.0%10.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.315.3
50.5%
51.1%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.2
40.6%
35.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.814.7
78.2%
74.0%14.7
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WLLLLLWLWW
Sassari
LWWWLLLWWW
#3
League position
#5
+6.2
Net rating
+12.0
105.6
Offensive rating
111.2
99.5
Defensive rating
99.2
55.0%
Effective FG%
55.4%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
20.8%
Turnover %
19.9%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.2%
3-point %
40.6%
54.9%
Assist %
60.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 111.2Defence99.5 · 99.2Shooting55.0% · 55.4%3-point %39.2% · 40.6%Ball care20.8% · 19.9%Off. rebounds29.1% · 29.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Avellino   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Avellino wins
7
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
17/02/17Avellino v Sassari68-69
20/11/16Sassari v Avellino70-75
28/02/16Sassari v Avellino94-95
09/11/15Avellino v Sassari88-90
15/03/15Avellino v Sassari70-83
24/11/14Sassari v Avellino81-75
08/03/14Avellino v Sassari68-75
24/11/13Sassari v Avellino78-75
10/03/13Avellino v Sassari86-78
11/11/12Sassari v Avellino102-81
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/17AReggiana90-89 OT
08/03/17HVenezia68-72
05/03/17HVarese75-82
01/03/17AVenezia49-53
26/02/17ABrescia87-91
17/02/17HSassari68-69
12/02/17HPesaro79-62
05/02/17APistoia59-67
30/01/17HOlimpia Milano80-68
25/01/17HJuventus74-64
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/17HOlimpia Milano75-82
07/03/17ALe Mans68-66
04/03/17HPistoia81-75
01/03/17HLe Mans79-63
26/02/17APesaro71-76
21/02/17ANymburk63-84
19/02/17AOlimpia Milano74-84
18/02/17HBrescia77-70
17/02/17AAvellino69-68
12/02/17HCantu80-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW64%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%73%55%
Points / game80.082.177.8
Allowed / game75.674.077.3
Point differential+4.3+8.1+0.5
Avg total155.6156.1155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (4)62% (8)
Overtime %14%9%18%
Sassari
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %55%75%30%
Points / game77.182.570.7
Allowed / game73.671.975.7
Point differential+3.5+10.6-5.0
Avg total150.8154.4146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2219386%87.578.8+8.7
2 Avellino2214864%80.075.6+4.3
3 Venezia2214864%81.578.6+2.9
4 Capo d'Orlando2213959%78.377.6+0.6
5 Sassari22121055%77.173.6+3.5
6 Trento22121055%75.272.0+3.2
7 Brindisi22111150%84.082.7+1.3
8 Reggiana22111150%81.482.6-1.2
9 Torino22111150%81.584.5-2.9
10 Brescia22101245%80.380.1+0.1
11 Pistoia22101245%74.976.4-1.5
12 Cantu2291341%78.081.4-3.5
13 Caserta2291341%79.983.7-3.8
14 Varese2281436%76.780.7-4.0
15 Pesaro2271532%73.378.9-5.6
16 Cremona2261627%78.080.3-2.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2614191877
Sassari1521181165
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