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Trieste vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 97-80
35-24 26-13 22-19 14-24
Position#10
Record12-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game83.2
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#3
Record15-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game77.9
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Trieste v Cremona
10 May 2026
TRI89
CRE94
21 Dec 2024
TRI91
CRE83
16 Apr 2022
TRI84
CRE72
27 Sep 2020
TRI102
CRE77
22 Mar 2020
TRI v CRE
upcoming
23 May 2019
TRI v CRE
upcoming
31 Mar 2019
TRI97
CRE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
97-102
97
102
-5
A06/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H13/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A20/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
115-110 OT
115
110
+5
H27/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A03/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H10/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A03/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
105-68
105
68
+37
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
88-66
88
66
+22
A24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
19-27
24-25
34-26
13-23
22-13
21-16
17-25
13-17
14-18
18-30
29-17
30-27
25-23
22-27
24-24
32-15
20-22
19-16
14-24
24-27
26-34
19-24
27-19
24-22
16-14
25-25
25-16
16-21
30-8
29-20
30-19
25-26
14-14
27-21
9-21
24-22
24-16
23-13
17-15
174.3Avg total
89.8Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.083.2170.3+3.852%
Season at home (11)93.784.4178.1+9.464%
Season away (12)80.982.2163.1-1.242%
Last 10 (10)89.884.5174.3+5.350%
Last 5 (5)90.879.4170.2+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.685.3168.9-1.720%
vs Weaker (20)85.576.7162.2+8.885%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A03/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H14/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#4
W
102-91
102
91
+11
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#2
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H17/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#4
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H10/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A17/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
21-15
20-12
14-16
18-29
10-19
20-14
18-20
22-18
24-20
15-20
26-12
19-15
25-25
16-12
22-21
21-20
38-24
16-24
27-23
23-18
22-19
17-14
21-23
–
–
–
–
23-26
29-19
17-21
21-14
13-23
22-19
16-18
13-23
16-24
16-12
15-15
29-21
142.7Avg total
74.0Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.277.9160.1+4.365%
Season at home (12)86.882.2169.1+4.667%
Season away (11)77.173.2150.3+3.964%
Last 10 (10)74.068.7142.7+5.380%
Last 5 (5)66.661.8128.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.098.0173.0-23.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.469.1139.6+1.356%
vs Weaker (17)91.884.1175.9+7.676%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
TriesteCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A06/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H13/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A20/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H27/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A03/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H10/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/03
Lega A
84.4Avg total
43.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.280.8+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.940.683.5+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.337.978.1+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.384.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.885.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.343.083.3-2.720%-
vs Weaker (20)42.237.479.6+4.965%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A03/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H14/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#4
W
59-44
59
44
+15
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H17/02
Italian Cup
Pistoia
#16
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H10/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H24/03
Lega A
82.3Avg total
41.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.241.683.8+0.662%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.842.685.3+0.256%-
Last 30 away (13)41.540.581.9+1.069%-
Last 10 (9)41.940.482.3+1.467%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.885.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.349.788.0-11.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.836.574.2+1.262%-
vs Weaker (17)44.842.787.5+2.171%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.1
54.4%
51.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.6
37.8%
35.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.611.4
73.1%
72.3%11.4
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.9
51.2%
51.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.3
31.0%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.714.7
71.0%
72.3%14.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WLWWLWWLLL
Cremona
WLWWWWWWLW
#10
League position
#3
+3.1
Net rating
+2.7
113.4
Offensive rating
103.9
110.3
Defensive rating
101.2
55.3%
Effective FG%
49.2%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
17.0%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.8%
3-point %
31.0%
61.8%
Assist %
52.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 103.9Defence110.3 · 101.2Shooting55.3% · 49.2%3-point %37.8% · 31.0%Ball care19.4% · 17.0%Off. rebounds33.2% · 28.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Trieste   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trieste wins
1
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
09/12/18Cremona v Trieste87-78
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/19ACantu88-66
17/03/19ATrento75-82
09/03/19HPesaro105-68
03/03/19APistoia90-77
10/02/19HVarese96-104
03/02/19ABrescia85-77
27/01/19HTorino115-110 OT
20/01/19AVirtus Bologna74-82
13/01/19HOlimpia Milano73-77
06/01/19ASassari97-102
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/19HOlimpia Milano76-72
17/03/19AVarese64-83
10/03/19HPistoia90-80
03/03/19ASassari20-0
17/02/19HBrindisi83-74
16/02/19AVirtus Bologna102-91
14/02/19HVarese82-73
09/02/19HVirtus Bologna87-70
03/02/19ACantu66-82
27/01/19AAvellino70-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeLLWLW64%
AwayLWWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%64%42%
Points / game87.093.780.9
Allowed / game83.284.482.2
Point differential+3.8+9.4-1.2
Avg total170.3178.1163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%67%64%
Points / game82.286.877.1
Allowed / game77.982.273.2
Point differential+4.3+4.6+3.9
Avg total160.1169.1150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2318578%86.777.7+9.0
2 Venezia2317674%82.273.2+9.0
3 Cremona2315865%82.277.9+4.3
4 Brindisi2314961%82.479.5+3.0
5 Avellino2314961%80.179.8+0.3
6 Varese23131057%79.275.0+4.2
7 Trento24131154%79.581.3-1.8
8 Trieste23121152%87.083.2+3.8
9 Virtus Bologna23121152%81.181.1-0.0
10 Cantu23121152%83.886.6-2.7
11 Sassari23111248%84.782.0+2.7
12 Brescia23111248%79.780.5-0.8
13 Reggiana2361726%77.383.0-5.7
14 Pesaro2361726%80.592.4-11.9
15 Torino2461825%83.387.8-4.5
16 Pistoia2351822%75.183.7-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste3526221497
Cremona2413192480
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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