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Trieste vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 105-68
16-21 30-8 29-20 30-19
Position#10
Record10-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game84.9
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record6-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game93.1
ItalyLega ARound 21
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Trieste v Pesaro
02 Oct 2022
TRI74
PES100
23 Jan 2022
TRI89
PES78
18 Apr 2021
TRI101
PES88
26 Apr 2020
TRI v PES
upcoming
09 Mar 2019
TRI105
PES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A23/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
H30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
97-102
97
102
-5
A06/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H13/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A20/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
115-110 OT
115
110
+5
H27/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A03/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H10/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A03/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
19-23
14-15
26-21
12-11
31-20
14-20
26-24
27-16
10-31
17-26
17-19
20-24
19-27
24-25
34-26
13-23
22-13
21-16
17-25
13-17
14-18
18-30
29-17
30-27
25-23
22-27
24-24
32-15
20-22
19-16
14-24
24-27
26-34
19-24
27-19
24-22
16-14
25-25
25-16
173.5Avg total
86.8Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.784.9171.6+1.850%
Season at home (10)92.686.0178.6+6.660%
Season away (10)80.883.8164.6-3.040%
Last 10 (10)86.886.7173.5+0.150%
Last 5 (5)92.090.0182.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)83.685.3168.9-1.720%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.277.5162.7+7.785%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H23/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
73-114
73
114
-41
A26/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
78-98
78
98
-20
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
66-108
66
108
-42
A06/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
H13/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A20/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
80-101
80
101
-21
H26/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H03/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-111
74
111
-37
A10/02
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H03/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
11-27
18-15
12-19
14-28
16-19
16-33
27-34
22-25
20-24
15-28
21-21
15-25
14-32
15-24
22-27
26-26
15-23
26-18
19-19
30-17
16-29
14-16
21-15
19-31
22-29
23-12
16-29
25-18
28-20
14-21
19-30
18-29
10-30
21-21
25-31
26-17
25-26
17-26
18-23
175.6Avg total
79.1Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.093.1175.1-11.030%
Season at home (11)87.392.2179.5-4.936%
Season away (9)75.794.2169.9-18.622%
Last 10 (10)79.196.5175.6-17.420%
Last 5 (5)81.494.0175.4-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)80.192.9173.0-12.824%
vs Similar (4)81.879.8161.5+2.075%
vs Weaker (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -8.2-8.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -4.8-4.8
TriestePesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A23/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A06/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H13/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A20/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H27/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A03/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H10/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/03
Lega A
84.1Avg total
42.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.680.7+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.641.283.8+1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)39.437.977.2+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.984.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.888.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)40.343.083.3-2.720%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.538.079.4+3.560%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H23/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A26/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A06/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H13/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A20/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H26/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H03/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-59
28
59
-31
A10/02
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H03/03
Lega A
88.7Avg total
39.6Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.847.686.5-8.823%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.845.986.7-5.131%-
Last 30 away (14)36.649.686.2-13.114%-
Last 10 (10)39.649.188.7-9.520%-
Last 5 (5)43.849.293.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.848.487.2-9.624%-
vs Similar (4)41.043.584.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker (1)31.045.076.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.4
54.5%
51.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.4
38.7%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.612.3
69.9%
72.3%12.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.521.9
48.1%
51.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.0
29.6%
35.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.416.9
72.2%
72.3%16.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WLWWLLLLWW
Pesaro
LLLLWWLLLL
#10
League position
#15
+5.1
Net rating
-24.3
114.7
Offensive rating
100.6
109.6
Defensive rating
124.8
55.8%
Effective FG%
47.0%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
61.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
18.8%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.7%
3-point %
29.6%
59.7%
Assist %
32.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 100.6Defence109.6 · 124.8Shooting55.8% · 47.0%3-point %38.7% · 29.6%Ball care18.2% · 18.8%Off. rebounds33.0% · 32.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Trieste   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trieste wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
12/11/18Pesaro v Trieste103-77
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19APistoia90-77
10/02/19HVarese96-104
03/02/19ABrescia85-77
27/01/19HTorino115-110 OT
20/01/19AVirtus Bologna74-82
13/01/19HOlimpia Milano73-77
06/01/19ASassari97-102
30/12/18HBrindisi71-92
26/12/18AVenezia83-75
23/12/18AReggiana84-71
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19HBrescia86-92
10/02/19AOlimpia Milano74-111
03/02/19HVenezia86-89
26/01/19HBrindisi80-101
20/01/19APistoia81-77
13/01/19HTorino102-98 OT
06/01/19AReggiana66-108
30/12/18HVarese78-98
26/12/18ASassari73-114
23/12/18HTrento65-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLLWL60%
AwayWLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game86.792.680.8
Allowed / game84.986.083.8
Point differential+1.8+6.6-3.0
Avg total171.6178.6164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeLWLLL36%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %30%36%22%
Points / game82.087.375.7
Allowed / game93.192.294.2
Point differential-11.1-4.9-18.6
Avg total175.2179.5169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2017385%88.377.8+10.4
2 Venezia2014670%81.572.1+9.3
3 Cremona2013765%83.077.8+5.2
4 Varese2012860%79.575.2+4.3
5 Brindisi2012860%82.078.2+3.7
6 Avellino2012860%80.581.5-1.0
7 Trieste20101050%86.784.9+1.8
8 Virtus Bologna20101050%80.781.8-1.1
9 Trento20101050%78.981.2-2.2
10 Cantu20101050%84.386.8-2.5
11 Sassari2091145%84.081.8+2.2
12 Brescia2091145%78.379.9-1.6
13 Torino2061430%83.587.2-3.7
14 Pesaro2061430%82.093.1-11.1
15 Reggiana2051525%78.783.6-5.0
16 Pistoia2051525%74.583.2-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste16302930105
Pesaro218201968
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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