PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Avellino vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 49-79
14-20 11-23 6-16 18-20
Position#9
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Venezia 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game73.1
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Avellino v Venezia
25 Nov 2018
AVE49
VEN79
25 Apr 2018
AVE69
VEN77
02 Dec 2017
AVE87
VEN77
05 Jun 2017
AVE83
VEN84
01 Jun 2017
AVE73
VEN75
30 May 2017
AVE96
VEN83
08 Mar 2017
AVE68
VEN72
04 Dec 2016
AVE78
VEN80
03 Jan 2016
AVE88
VEN76
12 Oct 2014
AVE71
VEN76
30 Mar 2014
AVE82
VEN78
28 Apr 2013
AVE79
VEN91
15 Jan 2012
AVE84
VEN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
90-96
90
96
-6
H21/10
Lega A
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
H23/10
Champions League
Brescia
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A27/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A30/10
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
110-72
110
72
+38
H03/11
Lega A
Banvit
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
H07/11
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A11/11
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A14/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A18/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H21/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
21-22
24-18
20-30
28-26
23-23
24-24
19-21
13-20
21-19
21-15
22-20
14-28
19-8
24-19
12-17
32-18
26-26
28-10
24-18
33-30
26-22
22-25
18-18
22-19
20-24
20-21
21-15
15-20
22-19
26-16
14-19
34-12
17-10
22-23
18-30
22-18
19-28
26-19
7-23
170.2Avg total
87.5Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.081.6172.6+9.471%
Season at home (3)99.383.0182.3+16.367%
Season away (4)84.880.5165.2+4.275%
Last 10 (10)87.582.7170.2+4.870%
Last 5 (5)84.882.2167.0+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)89.088.5177.5+0.550%
vs Similar (20)80.779.2159.9+1.555%
vs Weaker (6)91.274.3165.5+16.8100%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
97-62
97
62
+35
H21/10
Lega A
Opava
#44
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A23/10
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
87-64
87
64
+23
A27/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H31/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H04/11
Lega A
Bonn
#33
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A06/11
Champions League
Sassari
#4
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A10/11
Lega A
Nanterre
#10
L
87-99
87
99
-12
H13/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H18/11
Lega A
Fribourg Olympic
#34
W
96-86 OT
96
86
+10
A20/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-9
25-19
28-14
17-20
29-19
22-17
19-16
20-20
26-18
17-12
21-23
23-11
20-20
12-20
20-7
13-25
21-19
27-16
21-15
25-25
34-20
15-27
21-18
24-19
11-23
22-17
29-20
24-23
19-31
28-14
22-21
18-33
11-31
23-13
26-16
21-24
17-23
23-19
16-13
21-22
165.8Avg total
87.7Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.373.1161.4+15.186%
Season at home (4)87.074.0161.0+13.075%
Season away (3)90.072.0162.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.778.1165.8+9.670%
Last 5 (5)88.887.2176.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.085.5161.5-9.50%
vs Similar (15)80.979.1159.9+1.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.574.9167.5+17.692%
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
AvellinoVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H21/10
Lega A
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H23/10
Champions League
Brescia
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A30/10
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H03/11
Lega A
Banvit
#15
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H07/11
Champions League
Varese
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A11/11
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
51-22
51
22
+29
A18/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H21/11
Champions League
87.0Avg total
45.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.138.381.5+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.740.987.5+5.867%-
Last 30 away (15)39.635.875.4+3.853%-
Last 10 (10)45.241.887.0+3.440%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.486.4+5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)44.042.886.8+1.250%-
vs Similar (20)40.939.180.0+1.750%-
vs Weaker (6)50.232.782.8+17.5100%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H21/10
Lega A
Opava
#44
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/10
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A27/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H31/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H04/11
Lega A
Bonn
#33
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A06/11
Champions League
Sassari
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A10/11
Lega A
Nanterre
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H13/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H18/11
Lega A
Fribourg Olympic
#34
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A20/11
Champions League
81.6Avg total
42.9Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.980.7+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.237.680.8+5.671%-
Last 30 away (13)42.238.380.5+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.781.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.684.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.542.582.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (15)40.438.578.9+1.947%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.136.582.6+9.585%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.924.1
57.5%
51.0%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.3
36.9%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.112.7
78.9%
72.3%12.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.6
56.3%
51.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.310.4
42.8%
35.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws13.310.3
77.4%
72.3%10.3
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LWWWWWLWWL
Venezia
WLLWWWLWWW
#9
League position
#2
+7.6
Net rating
+15.3
111.2
Offensive rating
120.0
103.5
Defensive rating
104.7
56.8%
Effective FG%
59.6%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.9%
3-point %
42.8%
58.6%
Assist %
54.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 120.0Defence103.5 · 104.7Shooting56.8% · 59.6%3-point %36.9% · 42.8%Ball care16.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds22.8% · 28.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Avellino   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Avellino wins
7
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
02/05/18Venezia v Avellino81-79
25/04/18Avellino v Venezia69-77
01/04/18Venezia v Avellino88-74
02/12/17Avellino v Venezia87-77 OT
05/06/17Avellino v Venezia83-84
03/06/17Venezia v Avellino78-66
01/06/17Avellino v Venezia73-75
30/05/17Avellino v Venezia96-83
28/05/17Venezia v Avellino88-77
26/05/17Venezia v Avellino73-80
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/18HVentspils74-88
18/11/18AReggiana91-75
14/11/18ALe Mans77-74
11/11/18AVarese83-79
07/11/18HBanvit99-95
03/11/18HTrento110-72
30/10/18AMurcia69-72
27/10/18ABrescia77-74
23/10/18HAnwil Wloclawek105-102 OT
21/10/18HVirtus Bologna90-96
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/18AFribourg Olympic96-86 OT
18/11/18HOlimpia Milano81-84
13/11/18HNanterre87-99
10/11/18ASassari86-83
06/11/18ABonn94-84
04/11/18HVirtus Bologna94-75
31/10/18HTenerife65-72
27/10/18ATrento87-64
23/10/18AOpava90-72
21/10/18HPesaro97-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game91.099.384.8
Allowed / game81.683.080.5
Point differential+9.4+16.3+4.2
Avg total172.6182.3165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game88.387.090.0
Allowed / game73.174.072.0
Point differential+15.1+13.0+18.0
Avg total161.4161.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano770100%96.080.4+15.6
2 Venezia76186%88.373.1+15.1
3 Avellino75271%91.081.6+9.4
4 Brindisi75271%82.075.7+6.3
5 Cremona75271%87.182.4+4.7
6 Varese74357%77.376.9+0.4
7 Virtus Bologna74357%82.986.3-3.4
8 Trieste84450%84.885.0-0.2
9 Sassari73443%85.984.3+1.6
10 Pesaro73443%82.086.7-4.7
11 Cantu83538%83.987.8-3.9
12 Brescia72529%78.179.4-1.3
13 Torino72529%79.682.6-3.0
14 Reggiana82625%81.287.8-6.5
15 Pistoia82625%81.594.5-13.0
16 Trento71614%77.491.1-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino141161849
Venezia2023162079
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.