Virtus Bologna vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 85-101

25-31 13-23 18-21 29-26

Position#14

Record7-13

FormLWLWL

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game78.5

Virtus Bologna

Olimpia Milano 🏆

Position#1

Record14-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game70.4

Lega ARound 21

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

66-80

-14

A12/12

Lega A

Pistoia

76-72

H20/12

Lega A

Cantu

#11

85-77

H23/12

Lega A

Torino

#15

70-75

-5

A27/12

Lega A

Reggiana

67-77

-10

H03/01

Lega A

Venezia

69-73

-4

A17/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

115-109 OT

115

109

H24/01

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

62-89

-27

A01/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

79-75

H09/02

Lega A

Caserta

#13

65-69

-4

A14/02

Lega A

20-25

19-17

13-21

14-17

12-12

22-22

17-15

25-23

17-22

21-20

23-13

24-22

26-12

9-20

19-16

16-27

22-19

12-17

14-24

19-17

19-23

9-18

26-10

15-22

22-14

24-22

13-16

17-24

16-29

13-18

17-12

16-30

14-21

29-19

18-20

18-15

21-24

12-16

18-7

14-22

155.0Avg total

75.4Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	73.6	78.5	152.1	-5.0	35%
Season at home (10)	81.3	79.4	160.7	+1.9	70%
Season away (10)	65.9	77.7	143.6	-11.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	79.6	155.0	-4.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	83.0	161.0	-5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	75.0	84.5	159.5	-9.5	31%
vs Similar (16)	75.3	81.1	156.4	-5.8	31%
vs Weaker (1)	89.0	85.0	174.0	+4.0	100%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

86-64

+22

A24/01

Lega A

Neptunas

#20

74-73

A26/01

Eurocup

Avellino

80-81

-1

H31/01

Lega A

Alba Berlin

#26

91-78

+13

H03/02

Eurocup

Aris

#11

68-83

-15

A10/02

Eurocup

Pistoia

85-80

A14/02

Lega A

Venezia

88-59

+29

H19/02

Italian Cup

Cremona

90-58

+32

A20/02

Italian Cup

Avellino

82-76

A21/02

Italian Cup

Banvit

#16

72-69

A24/02

Eurocup

13-12

27-10

21-14

25-28

16-15

20-11

28-26

10-21

21-20

17-22

19-15

23-24

24-29

23-16

22-12

22-21

21-26

26-20

12-22

9-15

27-21

23-13

13-29

22-17

18-10

20-21

28-13

22-15

24-17

21-14

31-14

14-13

21-11

22-25

17-19

22-21

11-13

19-25

23-12

19-19

153.7Avg total

81.6Scored

72.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	82.2	70.4	152.6	+11.7	74%
Season at home (9)	84.9	67.7	152.6	+17.2	89%
Season away (10)	79.7	72.9	152.6	+6.8	60%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	72.1	153.7	+9.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	68.4	151.8	+15.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	77.7	83.7	161.3	-6.0	33%
vs Similar (9)	79.0	74.9	153.9	+4.1	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	80.7	70.5	151.2	+10.2	71%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus BolognaOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.7	38.9	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	22.4	40.6	-4.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.5	21.2	38.6	-3.7	23%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.7	38.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	14.4	34.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	21.0	39.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.5	17.9	37.4	+1.5	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.9	38.7	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	20.6	36.4	-4.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.9	35.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.6	36.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.5	21.6	40.2	-3.1	23%	-
vs Similar (16)	16.8	18.4	35.2	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	16.5	37.7	+4.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.8	17.2	40.0	+5.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	15.9	36.0	+4.1	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	17.7	39.5	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.6	16.1	37.7	+5.4	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.6	15.8	37.5	+5.8	76%	-

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

39-42

-3

A12/12

Lega A

Pistoia

34-34

H20/12

Lega A

Cantu

#11

38-42

-4

H23/12

Lega A

Torino

#15

35-32

A27/12

Lega A

Reggiana

34-36

-2

H03/01

Lega A

Venezia

28-41

-13

A17/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

46-36

+10

H24/01

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

29-47

-18

A01/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

43-40

H09/02

Lega A

Caserta

#13

33-40

-7

A14/02

Lega A

74.9Avg total

35.9Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	40.5	76.4	-4.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	37.7	75.6	+0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.1	42.9	77.1	-8.8	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	39.0	74.9	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	40.8	76.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	36.0	42.8	78.8	-6.8	8%	-
vs Similar (16)	35.8	38.9	74.6	-3.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	37.0	73.0	-1.0	0%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

40-22

+18

A24/01

Lega A

Neptunas

#20

36-26

+10

A26/01

Eurocup

Avellino

38-42

-4

H31/01

Lega A

Alba Berlin

#26

47-45

H03/02

Eurocup

Aris

#11

47-46

A10/02

Eurocup

Pistoia

50-34

+16

A14/02

Lega A

Venezia

38-31

H19/02

Italian Cup

Cremona

45-31

+14

A20/02

Italian Cup

Avellino

43-36

A21/02

Italian Cup

Banvit

#16

30-38

-8

A24/02

Eurocup

76.5Avg total

41.4Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	35.2	76.1	+5.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.9	35.2	79.2	+8.7	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.6	35.2	73.8	+3.5	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	35.1	76.5	+6.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	34.0	75.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.7	41.0	77.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.3	36.4	78.8	+5.9	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.1	33.8	74.9	+7.4	76%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.7	38.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	15.4	33.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	13.0	31.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.1	21.4	40.5	-2.3	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.2	18.2	36.5	+0.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.9	17.1	35.0	+0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-0.9	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.4	39.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	35%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	21.8	39.3	-4.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.9	39.7	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.6	38.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	46%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.3	21.1	39.4	-2.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	28.0	55.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.4	16.8	39.2	+5.5	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	22.0	43.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.6	19.7	38.2	-1.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	40.3	77.9	-2.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.2	38.6	77.8	+0.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	41.8	78.1	-5.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	37.3	72.9	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	35.6	70.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.8	40.9	78.7	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	36.6	39.3	75.9	-2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	53.0	48.0	101.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	37.6	76.8	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.3	33.9	74.2	+6.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.4	40.4	78.7	-2.0	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	37.0	77.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	34.4	76.6	+7.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.0	42.7	83.7	-1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.7	38.4	75.1	-1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	39.6	36.8	76.4	+2.8	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Bologna wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
08/11/15	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna	87-72
22/05/15	Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano	65-92
20/05/15	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna	99-72
18/05/15	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna	90-67
26/04/15	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna	117-92
29/12/14	Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano	58-81
23/02/14	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna	89-66
10/11/13	Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano	79-71
27/01/13	Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna	91-68
03/10/12	Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano	67-64

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/02/16	A	Caserta	65-69
09/02/16	H	Pesaro	79-75
01/02/16	A	Capo d'Orlando	62-89
24/01/16	H	Brindisi	115-109 OT
17/01/16	A	Venezia	69-73
03/01/16	H	Reggiana	67-77
27/12/15	A	Torino	70-75
23/12/15	H	Cantu	85-77
20/12/15	H	Pistoia	76-72
12/12/15	A	Trento	66-80

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/02/16	A	Banvit	72-69
21/02/16	A	Avellino	82-76
20/02/16	A	Cremona	90-58
19/02/16	H	Venezia	88-59
14/02/16	A	Pistoia	85-80
10/02/16	A	Aris	68-83
03/02/16	H	Alba Berlin	91-78
31/01/16	H	Avellino	80-81
26/01/16	A	Neptunas	74-73
24/01/16	A	Varese	86-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	35%
Home	WWLWW	70%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	35%	70%	0%
Points / game	73.6	81.3	65.9
Allowed / game	78.5	79.4	77.7
Point differential	-5.0	+1.9	-11.8
Avg total	152.2	160.7	143.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	80% (5)	0% (4)
Overtime %	15%	30%	0%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	74%
Home	WWWWL	89%
Away	LLWWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	74%	89%	60%
Points / game	82.2	84.9	79.7
Allowed / game	70.4	67.7	72.9
Point differential	+11.7	+17.2	+6.8
Avg total	152.6	152.6	152.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	67%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	67% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	19	14	5	74%	82.2	70.4	+11.7
2	Reggiana	21	15	6	71%	78.6	72.9	+5.7
3	Cremona	21	14	7	67%	75.0	73.0	+2.0
4	Pistoia	20	12	8	60%	77.7	76.5	+1.2
5	Avellino	20	12	8	60%	77.0	76.0	+1.1
6	Sassari	20	11	9	55%	82.0	79.2	+2.9
7	Trento	20	11	9	55%	76.2	74.7	+1.6
8	Venezia	21	11	10	52%	76.0	72.2	+3.8
9	Brindisi	21	10	11	48%	80.3	80.8	-0.4
10	Caserta	20	9	11	45%	70.5	72.5	-2.0
11	Cantu	20	8	12	40%	80.3	80.5	-0.2
12	Capo d'Orlando	21	8	13	38%	67.4	72.6	-5.2
13	Varese	21	8	13	38%	73.0	78.8	-5.8
14	Pesaro	20	7	13	35%	74.4	78.6	-4.2
15	Virtus Bologna	20	7	13	35%	73.6	78.5	-5.0
16	Torino	21	6	15	29%	73.9	80.1	-6.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Bologna	25	13	18	29	85
Olimpia Milano	31	23	21	26	101

← all games of the day

Virtus Bologna vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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