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Bahcesehir Kol. vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-73
26-21 21-18 12-12 22-22
Position#4
Record12-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#7
Record11-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game85.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Semi-finals· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bahcesehir Kol. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKol.
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#9
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
no box
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
78avg 84
A14/02
Turkish Cup
Darussafaka
#13
W
75-68
75
68
+7
71avg 84
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#12
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 84
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 84
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#12
W
88-52
88
52
+36
94avg 84
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
68-75
68
75
-7
61avg 84
A18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
89-86
89
86
+3
87avg 84
H23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Varese
#7
L
80-81
80
81
-1
76avg 84
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Karsiyaka
#4
L
76-92
76
92
-16
63avg 84
A30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
26-14
19-25
16-25
20-28
20-14
21-25
20-29
14-25
19-11
21-19
21-13
15-23
17-19
25-20
23-28
23-18
17-15
13-27
14-20
31-14
22-14
18-16
17-8
21-19
16-17
13-21
18-18
23-19
28-24
19-28
19-15
26-19
19-29
25-18
10-15
16-31
23-25
19-15
18-21
160.6Avg total
79.4Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.976.2167.1+14.780%
Season at home (7)99.477.9177.3+21.686%
Season away (8)83.474.8158.1+8.675%
Last 10 (10)79.481.2160.6-1.830%
Last 5 (5)80.277.2157.4+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)88.496.2184.6-7.80%
vs Similar (8)80.083.5163.5-3.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.475.2165.6+15.288%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#17
W
103-96
103
96
+7
88avg 81
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 81
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
49avg 81
A03/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
80-65
80
65
+15
70avg 81
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 81
H10/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 81
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#5
L
80-113
80
113
-33
71avg 81
A17/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 81
A24/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 81
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
92-95
92
95
-3
86avg 81
H30/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
25-23
39-29
21-17
29-21
18-22
22-21
22-16
13-29
17-25
20-27
13-13
16-16
18-16
23-16
23-17
15-16
20-22
28-18
18-17
24-15
21-20
22-19
24-22
15-26
29-25
22-30
14-32
15-21
16-20
28-27
24-22
19-26
29-19
18-25
15-10
22-21
26-23
19-28
25-23
170.7Avg total
84.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)91.385.1176.4+6.173%
Season at home (8)90.882.6173.4+8.175%
Season away (7)91.988.0179.9+3.971%
Last 10 (10)84.586.2170.7-1.760%
Last 5 (5)85.490.8176.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.492.2171.7-12.822%
vs Similar (16)90.688.1178.8+2.562%
vs Weaker (5)85.881.0166.8+4.860%
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
Bahcesehir Kol.Varese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/02
Turkish Cup
Darussafaka
#13
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#12
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#12
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Varese
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Karsiyaka
#4
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.1Avg total
41.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.385.0+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.339.788.9+9.680%-
Last 30 away (15)40.240.981.1-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.581.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.287.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.847.692.4-2.840%-
vs Similar (8)43.041.284.2+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.937.483.3+8.475%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#17
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A03/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H10/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A24/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/03
Lega A
83.8Avg total
40.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.744.387.1-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.942.288.1+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.046.286.2-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.543.383.8-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.286.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.250.291.4-9.033%-
vs Similar (16)43.441.885.1+1.650%-
vs Weaker (5)43.442.085.4+1.460%-
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bahcesehir Kol.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahcesehir Kol.: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.8
51.2%
52.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.6
40.2%
33.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.916.1
77.0%
73.0%16.1
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.1
51.1%
52.2%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.212.2
36.7%
33.8%36.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.7
75.8%
73.0%14.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bahcesehir Kol.
LLWLWLLWLL
Varese
LWLLWWWLWW
#4
League position
#7
+3.1
Net rating
-2.2
116.2
Offensive rating
109.2
113.0
Defensive rating
111.5
55.2%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.2%
3-point %
36.7%
65.3%
Assist %
62.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 109.2Defence113.0 · 111.5Shooting55.2% · 53.2%3-point %40.2% · 36.7%Ball care17.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds31.2% · 22.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Bahcesehir Kol.   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bahcesehir Kol. wins
1
Varese wins
DateGameScore
27/03/24Varese v Bahcesehir Kol.81-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24AKarsiyaka76-92
27/03/24AVarese80-81
23/03/24HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor89-86
18/03/24ABuyukcekmece68-75
13/03/24HFC Porto88-52
10/03/24HBursaspor67-80
06/03/24AFC Porto80-90
01/03/24ADarussafaka75-68
14/02/24ABesiktas81-96
10/02/24HTurk Telekom90-92 OT
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HBrescia92-95
27/03/24HBahcesehir Kol.81-80
24/03/24ATortona83-90
17/03/24AReggiana80-113
13/03/24HNymburk91-76
10/03/24HBrindisi81-73
06/03/24ANymburk80-65
03/03/24AOlimpia Milano63-94
11/02/24HPesaro91-80
07/02/24ACSM Oradea103-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bahcesehir Kol.
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL80%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWLL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%86%75%
Points / game90.999.483.4
Allowed / game76.277.974.8
Point differential+14.7+21.6+8.6
Avg total167.1177.3158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%86%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%75%71%
Points / game91.390.891.9
Allowed / game85.182.688.0
Point differential+6.1+8.1+3.9
Avg total176.4173.4179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Chemnitz1514193%92.772.9+19.8
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1512380%90.976.2+14.7
4 Bilbao1512380%81.871.4+10.4
5 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
6 Varese1511473%91.385.1+6.1
7 Legia1410471%85.378.6+6.7
8 Gottingen128467%86.380.2+6.1
9 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
10 Nymburk149564%80.974.1+6.9
11 Basket Zaragoza149564%80.679.1+1.5
12 FC Porto1610662%82.578.3+4.2
13 Manisa148657%75.475.2+0.2
14 Leiden116555%67.269.7-2.5
15 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque105550%73.670.8+2.8
17 CSM Oradea126650%88.686.7+1.9
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
29 Sporting CP104640%86.388.0-1.7
30 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
31 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
32 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
33 Jonava124833%83.893.3-9.5
34 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
35 Balkan103730%73.985.8-11.9
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bahcesehir Kol.2621122281
Varese2118122273
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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