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Reggiana vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 113-80
26-15 25-29 30-22 32-14
Position#5
Record12-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#12
Record9-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game89.0
ItalyLega ARound 23· PalaBigi
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Reggiana v Varese
14 Nov 2026
REG v VAR
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
REG103
VAR79
22 Dec 2024
REG97
VAR80
17 Mar 2024
REG113
VAR80
22 Oct 2022
REG81
VAR87
18 Feb 2022
REG82
VAR84
11 Apr 2021
REG95
VAR77
23 Nov 2019
REG81
VAR74
04 Nov 2018
REG74
VAR68
16 Dec 2017
REG76
VAR66
09 Apr 2017
REG73
VAR68
27 Dec 2015
REG86
VAR69
08 Feb 2015
REG86
VAR70
18 Jan 2014
REG73
VAR80
24 Mar 2013
REG74
VAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
72-66
72
66
+6
62avg 71
H07/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
76-102
76
102
-26
71avg 71
A14/01
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
69avg 71
H21/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
64-93
64
93
-29
54avg 71
A28/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
77-60
77
60
+17
68avg 71
H03/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
63-86
63
86
-23
50avg 71
A11/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
78avg 71
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#1
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
no box
H17/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 71
H02/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
63-71
63
71
-8
57avg 71
A09/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
18-13
14-24
23-13
13-31
19-25
20-24
24-22
24-18
16-13
17-15
21-25
4-26
15-20
17-20
28-27
17-16
21-14
22-14
17-16
10-29
17-24
9-14
27-19
15-20
19-17
19-17
28-18
24-14
17-25
17-14
15-20
14-23
18-18
24-17
21-17
24-7
6-18
12-22
21-24
151.2Avg total
72.9Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.881.1160.9-1.355%
Season at home (11)81.773.5155.2+8.382%
Season away (11)77.888.7166.5-10.927%
Last 10 (10)72.978.3151.2-5.450%
Last 5 (5)72.478.2150.6-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.279.0149.2-8.820%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.381.8162.1-1.553%
vs Weaker (5)87.477.4164.8+10.080%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
88avg 81
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 81
A28/01
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
77-81
77
81
-4
64avg 81
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 81
A04/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
103-96
103
96
+7
88avg 81
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 81
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
49avg 81
A03/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
80-65
80
65
+15
70avg 81
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 81
H10/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 81
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
20-16
18-20
27-21
19-12
20-23
26-22
18-25
27-19
13-27
18-19
19-16
29-20
15-25
21-21
19-24
18-27
25-23
39-29
21-17
29-21
18-22
22-21
22-16
13-29
17-25
20-27
13-13
16-16
18-16
23-16
23-17
15-16
20-22
28-18
18-17
24-15
21-20
22-19
24-22
165.8Avg total
84.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.489.0173.4-4.541%
Season at home (12)84.783.2167.8+1.550%
Season away (10)84.195.9180.0-11.830%
Last 10 (10)84.381.5165.8+2.870%
Last 5 (5)81.277.6158.8+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.894.6173.4-15.912%
vs Similar ◀ (15)91.885.7177.5+6.173%
vs Weaker (7)90.782.6173.3+8.171%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
ReggianaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H07/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A14/01
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H21/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
19-46
19
46
-27
A28/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H03/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A11/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H17/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#6
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H02/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A09/03
Lega A
71.5Avg total
32.8Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.280.4-2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.536.978.5+4.680%-
Last 30 away (15)36.745.582.3-8.833%-
Last 10 (10)32.838.771.5-5.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.839.071.8-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.639.473.0-5.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.341.781.0-2.558%-
vs Weaker (5)45.242.087.2+3.280%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/01
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A04/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A03/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H10/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
81.7Avg total
40.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.544.188.6+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.941.189.0+6.767%-
Last 30 away (15)41.147.088.1-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.581.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.478.6-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.952.693.5-11.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.741.185.8+3.760%-
vs Weaker (7)48.140.788.9+7.471%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.218.8
46.8%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.5
33.6%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.010.5
75.0%
76.3%10.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.8
50.5%
53.1%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.012.5
35.7%
35.7%37.5
🏀 Free throws18.214.0
76.9%
76.3%14.0
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
LWLWLWLWLW
Varese
WWWLWWLLWW
#5
League position
#12
-9.7
Net rating
+3.1
100.5
Offensive rating
108.6
110.2
Defensive rating
105.5
48.2%
Effective FG%
52.1%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
15.5%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.6%
3-point %
35.7%
53.8%
Assist %
58.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 108.6Defence110.2 · 105.5Shooting48.2% · 52.1%3-point %33.6% · 35.7%Ball care17.8% · 15.5%Off. rebounds29.9% · 25.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Reggiana   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Reggiana wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
29/12/23Varese v Reggiana116-93
08/04/23Varese v Reggiana81-85
22/10/22Reggiana v Varese81-87
18/02/22Reggiana v Varese82-84
24/10/21Varese v Reggiana67-106
11/04/21Reggiana v Varese95-77
13/12/20Varese v Reggiana76-89
23/11/19Reggiana v Varese81-74
03/03/19Varese v Reggiana92-80
04/11/18Reggiana v Varese74-68
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24ATreviso63-71
02/03/24HTrento77-75
17/02/24HBasket Napoli78-87 OT
15/02/24AVirtus Bologna81-72
11/02/24ABrescia63-86
03/02/24HVenezia77-60
28/01/24ATortona64-93
21/01/24HCremona78-71
14/01/24AScafati76-102
07/01/24HVirtus Bologna72-66
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24HNymburk91-76
10/03/24HBrindisi81-73
06/03/24ANymburk80-65
03/03/24AOlimpia Milano63-94
11/02/24HPesaro91-80
07/02/24ACSM Oradea103-96
04/02/24ATrento84-90
31/01/24ALeiden77-81
28/01/24ACremona83-82
24/01/24HChemnitz90-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%82%27%
Points / game79.881.777.8
Allowed / game81.173.588.7
Point differential-1.3+8.3-10.9
Avg total160.9155.2166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW41%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %41%50%30%
Points / game84.484.784.1
Allowed / game89.083.295.9
Point differential-4.5+1.5-11.8
Avg total173.4167.8180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2217577%88.176.2+11.9
2 Virtus Bologna2216673%88.476.3+12.1
3 Olimpia Milano2215768%79.372.9+6.4
4 Venezia2215768%82.176.5+5.7
5 Reggiana22121055%79.881.1-1.3
6 Basket Napoli23121152%86.085.0+1.0
7 Pistoia23121152%78.782.3-3.6
8 Tortona22111150%79.678.3+1.3
9 Trento22111150%83.383.4-0.1
10 Scafati22101245%82.986.8-3.9
11 Sassari22101245%76.581.4-4.9
12 Cremona2291341%80.579.0+1.6
13 Varese2291341%84.489.0-4.5
14 Treviso2271532%79.584.5-4.9
15 Pesaro2261627%79.187.1-8.0
16 Brindisi2251723%73.582.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Reggiana26253032113
Varese1529221480
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