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Tortona vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-83
21-15 20-16 27-28 22-24
Position#9
Record11-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.0
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record9-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game90.0
ItalyLega ARound 24· PalaFerraris
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tortona v Varese
14 Mar 2027
TOR v VAR
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
TOR90
VAR87
09 Mar 2025
TOR89
VAR82
24 Mar 2024
TOR90
VAR83
05 Feb 2023
TOR103
VAR91
16 Apr 2022
TOR104
VAR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
W
89-52
89
52
+37
89avg 71
H07/01
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
89-95
89
95
-6
76avg 71
A09/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
71avg 71
A14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 71
H21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
93-64
93
64
+29
94avg 71
H28/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
79avg 71
A04/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
79-62
79
62
+17
72avg 71
H10/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
61avg 71
A03/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
97-72
97
72
+25
95avg 71
H10/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
91-94
91
94
-3
89avg 71
A17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-9
21-14
30-18
19-11
14-26
20-20
22-26
33-23
18-20
17-22
21-16
26-25
22-12
19-19
16-19
18-19
26-4
20-15
20-17
27-28
16-18
26-21
21-11
23-27
22-25
15-12
22-13
20-12
17-23
13-22
24-12
17-27
21-11
23-22
34-17
19-22
20-31
23-19
26-18
22-26
160.4Avg total
85.2Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.179.0159.1+1.148%
Season at home (11)80.474.1154.5+6.364%
Season away (12)79.983.5163.4-3.633%
Last 10 (10)85.275.2160.4+10.060%
Last 5 (5)84.877.8162.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.284.8158.0-11.717%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.776.9159.5+5.867%
vs Weaker (9)84.881.0165.8+3.856%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cremona
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 81
A28/01
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
77-81
77
81
-4
64avg 81
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 81
A04/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
103-96
103
96
+7
88avg 81
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 81
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
49avg 81
A03/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
80-65
80
65
+15
70avg 81
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 81
H10/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 81
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#5
L
80-113
80
113
-33
71avg 81
A17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
20-23
26-22
18-25
27-19
13-27
18-19
19-16
29-20
15-25
21-21
19-24
18-27
25-23
39-29
21-17
29-21
18-22
22-21
22-16
13-29
17-25
20-27
13-13
16-16
18-16
23-16
23-17
15-16
20-22
28-18
18-17
24-15
21-20
22-19
24-22
15-26
29-25
22-30
14-32
168.3Avg total
83.3Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.290.0174.2-5.839%
Season at home (12)84.783.2167.8+1.550%
Season away (11)83.797.5181.2-13.727%
Last 10 (10)83.385.0168.3-1.760%
Last 5 (5)79.084.2163.2-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.493.6171.0-16.114%
vs Similar ◀ (16)91.187.4178.5+3.669%
vs Weaker (7)90.782.6173.3+8.171%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
TortonaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H07/01
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A09/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H28/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A04/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A03/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A17/03
Lega A
75.7Avg total
39.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.178.2-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.836.676.4+3.247%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.780.0-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.575.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.880.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.042.376.3-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.536.776.2+2.953%-
vs Weaker (9)41.741.182.8+0.644%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/01
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A04/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A03/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H10/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A17/03
Lega A
83.0Avg total
40.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.243.888.1+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.941.189.0+6.767%-
Last 30 away (15)40.646.587.1-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.983.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.079.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.351.991.1-12.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.741.786.4+3.056%-
vs Weaker (7)48.140.788.9+7.471%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.0
50.0%
53.1%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.712.8
39.1%
35.7%38.4
🏀 Free throws17.813.8
77.5%
76.3%13.8
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.115.7
48.9%
53.1%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.112.1
34.5%
35.7%36.3
🏀 Free throws17.814.2
79.8%
76.3%14.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LWLWWWWLLW
Varese
LWWWLWWLLW
#9
League position
#12
+13.0
Net rating
-3.3
115.1
Offensive rating
107.6
102.1
Defensive rating
110.9
54.4%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.1%
3-point %
34.5%
68.4%
Assist %
58.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 107.6Defence102.1 · 110.9Shooting54.4% · 50.4%3-point %39.1% · 34.5%Ball care14.9% · 15.0%Off. rebounds27.5% · 26.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Tortona   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tortona wins
1
Varese wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Varese v Tortona78-80
05/02/23Tortona v Varese103-91
02/01/23Varese v Tortona88-89
16/04/22Tortona v Varese104-99
20/11/21Varese v Tortona85-76
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24AScafati91-94
10/03/24HBasket Napoli97-72
03/03/24APistoia71-84
10/02/24HSassari79-62
04/02/24ABrindisi86-77
28/01/24HReggiana93-64
21/01/24HVenezia75-69
14/01/24AOlimpia Milano82-83
09/01/24AGalatasaray89-95
07/01/24HScafati89-52
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24AReggiana80-113
13/03/24HNymburk91-76
10/03/24HBrindisi81-73
06/03/24ANymburk80-65
03/03/24AOlimpia Milano63-94
11/02/24HPesaro91-80
07/02/24ACSM Oradea103-96
04/02/24ATrento84-90
31/01/24ALeiden77-81
28/01/24ACremona83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%64%33%
Points / game80.180.479.9
Allowed / game79.074.183.5
Point differential+1.1+6.3-3.6
Avg total159.1154.5163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL39%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%50%27%
Points / game84.284.783.7
Allowed / game90.083.297.5
Point differential-5.8+1.5-13.7
Avg total174.2167.8181.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2317674%88.777.5+11.2
2 Virtus Bologna2316770%88.376.8+11.5
3 Venezia2416867%82.376.9+5.4
4 Olimpia Milano2315865%79.073.1+5.9
5 Reggiana23131057%81.281.0+0.2
6 Basket Napoli23121152%86.085.0+1.0
7 Trento24121250%83.483.3+0.0
8 Pistoia24121250%78.982.4-3.5
9 Tortona23111248%80.179.0+1.1
10 Scafati23111248%83.487.0-3.6
11 Sassari24111346%77.882.5-4.7
12 Cremona24101442%80.679.4+1.2
13 Varese2391439%84.290.0-5.8
14 Treviso2491538%79.783.8-4.2
15 Pesaro2371630%79.587.0-7.6
16 Brindisi2361726%74.282.2-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2120272290
Varese1516282483
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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