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Varese vs Bahcesehir Kol. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 81-80
19-26 29-19 18-25 15-10
Position#7
Record10-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game85.5
Varese 🏆
vs
Position#4
Record12-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game75.9
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Semi-finals· Palasport Lino Oldrini
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bahcesehir Kol. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Leiden
#14
L
77-81
77
81
-4
64avg 81
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 81
A04/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
103-96
103
96
+7
88avg 81
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 81
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
49avg 81
A03/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
80-65
80
65
+15
70avg 81
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 81
H10/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 81
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#5
L
80-113
80
113
-33
71avg 81
A17/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 81
A24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
13-27
18-19
19-16
29-20
15-25
21-21
19-24
18-27
25-23
39-29
21-17
29-21
18-22
22-21
22-16
13-29
17-25
20-27
13-13
16-16
18-16
23-16
23-17
15-16
20-22
28-18
18-17
24-15
21-20
22-19
24-22
15-26
29-25
22-30
14-32
15-21
16-20
28-27
24-22
169.1Avg total
83.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.085.5177.5+6.571%
Season at home (7)92.183.0175.1+9.171%
Season away (7)91.988.0179.9+3.971%
Last 10 (10)83.385.8169.1-2.550%
Last 5 (5)83.083.4166.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.493.6171.0-16.114%
vs Similar (17)90.687.6178.2+3.065%
vs Weaker (6)87.782.5170.2+5.267%
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKol.
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
83avg 85
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Jonava
#33
W
119-79
119
79
+40
127avg 85
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#9
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
no box
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
78avg 85
A14/02
Turkish Cup
Darussafaka
#13
W
75-68
75
68
+7
71avg 85
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#12
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 85
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 85
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#12
W
88-52
88
52
+36
94avg 85
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
68-75
68
75
-7
61avg 85
A18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
89-86
89
86
+3
87avg 85
H23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
28-17
14-27
20-25
31-18
25-23
37-17
26-21
20-17
26-14
19-25
16-25
20-28
20-14
21-25
20-29
14-25
19-11
21-19
21-13
15-23
17-19
25-20
23-28
23-18
17-15
13-27
14-20
31-14
22-14
18-16
17-8
21-19
16-17
13-21
18-18
23-19
28-24
19-28
19-15
164.8Avg total
83.9Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.675.9167.5+15.886%
Season at home (7)99.477.9177.3+21.686%
Season away (7)83.973.9157.7+10.086%
Last 10 (10)83.980.9164.8+3.040%
Last 5 (5)78.476.6155.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)91.597.2188.8-5.80%
vs Similar (9)81.285.8167.0-4.622%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.475.8167.2+15.694%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
VareseBahcesehir Kol.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A04/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A03/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H10/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A24/03
Lega A
82.8Avg total
39.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.944.187.0-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.241.787.9+4.564%-
Last 30 away (16)40.046.286.2-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.343.582.8-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.477.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.351.991.1-12.614%-
vs Similar (17)43.941.685.5+2.253%-
vs Weaker (6)44.342.086.3+2.367%-
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Jonava
#33
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/02
Turkish Cup
Darussafaka
#13
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#12
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#12
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.7Avg total
43.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.240.085.2+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.339.788.9+9.680%-
Last 30 away (15)41.140.381.5+0.847%-
Last 10 (10)43.637.180.7+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.479.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.245.591.8+0.850%-
vs Similar (9)43.642.686.1+1.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.237.183.2+9.181%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.315.9
47.7%
52.2%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.012.0
35.3%
33.8%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.1
78.3%
73.0%14.1
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bahcesehir Kol.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahcesehir Kol.: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.517.4
53.5%
52.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.811.2
43.4%
33.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.915.8
79.4%
73.0%15.8
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLWWWLWWLL
Bahcesehir Kol.
WLWLLWLLWL
#7
League position
#4
-4.3
Net rating
+6.5
106.7
Offensive rating
119.1
111.0
Defensive rating
112.6
50.4%
Effective FG%
58.7%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
15.4%
Turnover %
19.1%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.3%
3-point %
43.4%
59.1%
Assist %
70.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 119.1Defence111.0 · 112.6Shooting50.4% · 58.7%3-point %35.3% · 43.4%Ball care15.4% · 19.1%Off. rebounds25.7% · 32.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Bahcesehir Kol.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
Bahcesehir Kol. wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24ATortona83-90
17/03/24AReggiana80-113
13/03/24HNymburk91-76
10/03/24HBrindisi81-73
06/03/24ANymburk80-65
03/03/24AOlimpia Milano63-94
11/02/24HPesaro91-80
07/02/24ACSM Oradea103-96
04/02/24ATrento84-90
31/01/24ALeiden77-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor89-86
18/03/24ABuyukcekmece68-75
13/03/24HFC Porto88-52
10/03/24HBursaspor67-80
06/03/24AFC Porto80-90
01/03/24ADarussafaka75-68
14/02/24ABesiktas81-96
10/02/24HTurk Telekom90-92 OT
07/02/24HJonava119-79
04/02/24AAnadolu Efes82-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game92.092.191.9
Allowed / game85.583.088.0
Point differential+6.5+9.1+3.9
Avg total177.5175.1179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Bahcesehir Kol.
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%86%86%
Points / game91.699.483.9
Allowed / game75.977.973.9
Point differential+15.8+21.6+10.0
Avg total167.5177.3157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%86%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Chemnitz1514193%92.772.9+19.8
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1412286%91.675.9+15.8
4 Bilbao1512380%81.871.4+10.4
5 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
6 Legia1410471%85.378.6+6.7
7 Varese1410471%92.085.5+6.5
8 Gottingen128467%86.380.2+6.1
9 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
10 Nymburk149564%80.974.1+6.9
11 Basket Zaragoza149564%80.679.1+1.5
12 FC Porto1610662%82.578.3+4.2
13 Manisa148657%75.475.2+0.2
14 Leiden116555%67.269.7-2.5
15 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque105550%73.670.8+2.8
17 CSM Oradea126650%88.686.7+1.9
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
29 Sporting CP104640%86.388.0-1.7
30 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
31 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
32 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
33 Jonava124833%83.893.3-9.5
34 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
35 Balkan103730%73.985.8-11.9
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1929181581
Bahcesehir Kol.2619251080
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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