Bakken Bears vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 107-81

35-18 29-15 21-20 22-28

Position#1

Record22-2

FormWLWWW

Points / game101.8

Allowed / game81.2

Bakken Bears 🏆

Vaerlose

Position#7

Record7-15

FormLLWLW

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game86.6

BasketligaenBasketligaen - Quarter-finals

Other2018-19

Meetings · Bakken Bears v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken Bears Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

101-94

101

A08/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

87-78

H10/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

124-80

124

+44

A22/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

111-72

111

+39

H25/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

97-78

+19

H28/02

Basketligaen

Nes Ziona

91-74

+17

H06/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Horsens

75-86

-11

A08/03

Basketligaen

Nes Ziona

81-76

A13/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Team FOG Naestved

93-88

A15/03

Basketligaen

s.Oliver Wurzburg

76-75

H20/03

FIBA Europe Cup

25-31

24-28

23-13

29-22

28-20

24-13

25-28

10-17

25-18

41-24

32-26

26-12

25-18

29-10

32-19

25-25

19-16

24-17

26-22

28-23

17-22

22-19

28-14

24-19

20-20

20-29

16-23

19-14

20-21

11-19

20-11

30-25

19-19

26-22

16-30

32-17

19-17

21-29

24-17

12-12

173.7Avg total

93.6Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	101.8	81.2	183.0	+20.7	92%
Season at home (12)	106.3	81.9	188.2	+24.4	100%
Season away (12)	97.3	80.4	177.8	+16.9	83%
Last 10 (10)	93.6	80.1	173.7	+13.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	79.8	163.0	+3.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	98.9	81.4	180.4	+17.5	83%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amager

#11

111-77

111

+34

A07/01

Denmark Cup

Team FOG Naestved

70-112

112

-42

A13/01

Denmark Cup

Horsens

94-101

101

-7

H16/01

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

79-71

A26/01

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

88-60

+28

H30/01

Basketligaen

Randers

85-114

114

-29

A09/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

74-84

-10

A13/02

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

68-64

H03/03

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

89-97

-8

H10/03

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

99-73

+26

H16/03

Basketligaen

–

20-33

19-28

15-23

16-28

23-20

21-28

27-24

23-29

15-18

27-14

25-20

12-19

22-11

25-19

23-13

18-17

28-29

19-29

17-27

21-29

18-16

21-26

13-20

22-22

12-16

17-23

27-11

12-14

17-25

22-25

19-19

31-28

20-18

33-18

22-11

24-26

171.0Avg total

85.7Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	78.2	86.6	164.8	-8.5	32%
Season at home (11)	84.2	87.0	171.2	-2.8	36%
Season away (11)	72.2	86.3	158.5	-14.1	27%
Last 10 (10)	85.7	85.3	171.0	+0.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	86.4	169.4	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	73.7	98.5	172.2	-24.8	0%
vs Similar (8)	79.2	81.8	161.0	-2.5	50%
vs Weaker (5)	80.2	75.0	155.2	+5.2	60%

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bakken BearsVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	20.2	43.6	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.9	19.6	45.5	+6.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.2	41.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	23.4	20.0	43.4	+3.5	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	17.4	20.9	38.3	-3.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.4	23.2	39.7	-6.8	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.4	20.7	40.1	-1.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.5	24.1	41.6	-6.6	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	15.9	18.8	34.6	-2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	17.5	36.2	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	20.4	44.9	+4.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.6	20.4	44.9	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.4	20.4	44.9	+4.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	21.0	45.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.6	43.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	24.6	20.2	44.8	+4.3	66%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	21.4	22.8	44.1	-1.4	28%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	23.3	45.8	-0.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	22.2	42.3	-2.0	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.7	23.3	46.0	-0.7	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	24.2	46.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.8	25.7	46.5	-4.8	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.0	21.9	44.9	+1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	18.5	40.8	+3.8	50%	-

Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

49-59

-10

A08/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

52-33

+19

H10/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

66-42

+24

A22/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

54-28

+26

H25/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

43-33

+10

H28/02

Basketligaen

Nes Ziona

39-41

-2

H06/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Horsens

40-49

-9

A08/03

Basketligaen

Nes Ziona

31-40

-9

A13/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Team FOG Naestved

45-41

A15/03

Basketligaen

s.Oliver Wurzburg

40-46

-6

H20/03

FIBA Europe Cup

87.1Avg total

45.9Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.9	40.6	88.5	+7.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	50.4	40.0	90.4	+10.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.8	41.1	86.9	+4.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	41.2	87.1	+4.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	43.4	82.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	48.0	40.2	88.2	+7.8	69%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

39-61

-22

A13/01

Denmark Cup

Horsens

44-48

-4

H16/01

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

42-32

+10

A26/01

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

47-30

+17

H30/01

Basketligaen

Randers

47-58

-11

A09/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

39-42

-3

A13/02

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

29-39

-10

H03/03

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

39-50

-11

H10/03

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

53-36

+17

H16/03

Basketligaen

86.1Avg total

42.1Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	38.8	43.7	82.4	-4.9	32%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.8	42.1	82.8	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.6	45.4	82.0	-8.8	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	42.1	44.0	86.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	45.0	86.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.3	49.8	88.1	-11.4	8%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.9	40.6	79.5	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.0	36.0	77.0	+5.0	75%	-

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	21.4	46.5	+3.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	27.5	21.9	49.4	+5.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	20.9	44.0	+2.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	20.3	44.5	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	25.2	21.4	46.6	+3.8	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	17.8	20.7	38.4	-2.9	36%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.1	21.0	37.1	-4.9	17%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.2	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	15.8	23.2	39.0	-7.3	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	16.8	37.2	+3.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.3	19.5	44.8	+5.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.1	20.6	45.7	+4.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	25.4	18.5	43.9	+6.9	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	18.6	42.1	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.4	40.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	25.2	19.3	44.5	+5.9	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	22.8	45.2	-0.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.9	23.6	43.4	-3.7	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.8	45.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.0	24.6	45.6	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	50.4	40.8	91.3	+9.6	83%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	52.6	42.4	95.1	+10.2	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	48.5	39.4	87.9	+9.1	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.7	38.9	86.6	+8.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	36.4	80.6	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	50.4	40.7	91.1	+9.7	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	38.7	43.1	81.8	-4.4	32%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.8	43.2	84.9	-1.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.4	43.0	78.4	-7.6	17%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.8	42.2	83.0	-1.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	41.4	83.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	36.8	47.8	84.6	-10.9	8%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.4	41.1	81.5	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.8	36.0	75.8	+3.8	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bakken Bears wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
15/12/18	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	113-74
14/10/18	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	78-90
10/11/17	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	69-94
17/11/16	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	56-110
04/03/15	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	66-90
04/01/15	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	88-66
07/11/14	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	100-70
22/02/14	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	76-103
15/02/14	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	108-88
29/09/13	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	74-85

Bakken Bearslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/03/19	H	s.Oliver Wurzburg	76-75
15/03/19	A	Team FOG Naestved	93-88
13/03/19	A	Nes Ziona	81-76
08/03/19	A	Horsens	75-86
06/03/19	H	Nes Ziona	91-74
28/02/19	H	Svendborg	97-78
25/02/19	H	Herlev Wolfpack	111-72
22/02/19	A	Herlev Wolfpack	124-80
10/02/19	H	Svendborg	87-78
08/02/19	A	Horsens	101-94

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/19	H	EBAA Aarhus	99-73
10/03/19	H	Stevnsgade	89-97
03/03/19	H	EBAA Aarhus	68-64
13/02/19	A	Herlev Wolfpack	74-84
09/02/19	A	Randers	85-114
30/01/19	H	Stevnsgade	88-60
26/01/19	A	Stevnsgade	79-71
16/01/19	H	Horsens	94-101
13/01/19	A	Team FOG Naestved	70-112
07/01/19	A	Amager	111-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears

Basketligaen 2018-19

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	92%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWLW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	92%	100%	83%
Points / game	101.8	106.3	97.3
Allowed / game	81.2	81.9	80.4
Point differential	+20.7	+24.4	+16.9
Avg total	183.0	188.2	177.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	92%	58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	32%
Home	LWWLW	36%
Away	LLWLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	32%	36%	27%
Points / game	78.2	84.2	72.2
Allowed / game	86.6	87.0	86.3
Point differential	-8.5	-2.8	-14.1
Avg total	164.8	171.2	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	18%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	24	22	2	92%	101.8	81.2	+20.7
2	Horsens	25	19	6	76%	94.7	80.8	+13.9
3	Team FOG Naestved	25	15	10	60%	91.2	81.4	+9.8
4	Svendborg	25	14	11	56%	82.4	81.8	+0.6
5	Randers	25	13	12	52%	89.0	90.6	-1.6
6	EBAA Aarhus	23	8	15	35%	75.3	84.2	-8.8
7	Vaerlose	22	7	15	32%	78.2	86.6	-8.5
8	Herlev Wolfpack	23	7	16	30%	80.6	92.5	-11.9
9	Stevnsgade	22	2	20	9%	71.2	89.5	-18.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bakken Bears	35	29	21	22	107
Vaerlose	18	15	20	28	81

← all games of the day

Bakken Bears vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature