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Bakken Bears vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 96-81
19-16 18-17 32-32 27-16
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game82.6
Bakken Bears 🏆
Denmark
vs
Vaerlose
Denmark
Position#10
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game87.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Vejlby-Risskov Hallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bakken Bears v Vaerlose
13 Feb 2027
BBE v VAER
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
BBE114
VAER70
19 Oct 2024
BBE96
VAER81
15 Apr 2024
BBE103
VAER86
05 Nov 2023
BBE118
VAER72
17 Dec 2022
BBE101
VAER45
09 Dec 2022
BBE108
VAER78
19 Feb 2022
BBE96
VAER87
09 Jan 2021
BBE108
VAER68
17 Nov 2019
BBE102
VAER81
31 Mar 2019
BBE90
VAER71
22 Mar 2019
BBE107
VAER81
15 Dec 2018
BBE113
VAER74
04 Jan 2015
BBE88
VAER66
07 Nov 2014
BBE100
VAER70
15 Feb 2014
BBE108
VAER88
27 Jan 2013
BBE107
VAER65
29 Nov 2012
BBE82
VAER62
16 Feb 2012
BBE93
VAER69
30 Jan 2011
BBE61
VAER53
10 Oct 2010
BBE87
VAER64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
94-81
94
81
+13
97avg 91
A13/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 91
H16/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
82avg 91
A20/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
72-90
72
90
-18
61avg 91
H19/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
103-77
103
77
+26
93avg 91
A25/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
69avg 91
A29/09
Basketligaen
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
83-72
83
72
+11
84avg 91
H02/10
ENBL
Copenhagen
#8
W
96-92
96
92
+4
92avg 91
A04/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
93-81
93
81
+12
97avg 91
A08/10
Basketligaen
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
82-48
82
48
+34
81avg 91
A15/10
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
23-24
22-16
23-17
20-11
21-25
24-21
23-26
28-36
19-17
16-19
25-14
17-31
18-22
18-17
19-20
25-20
28-25
25-14
25-18
27-11
10-22
19-21
24-19
20-18
13-19
23-17
27-18
24-20
21-23
29-20
22-29
21-19
23-20
19-23
30-19
16-11
23-14
23-12
20-11
166.2Avg total
87.9Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.882.6171.4+6.280%
Season at home (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
Season away (4)93.080.8173.8+12.2100%
Last 10 (10)87.978.3166.2+9.690%
Last 5 (5)86.873.2160.0+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)86.076.7162.7+9.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)91.781.0172.7+10.681%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 70
A25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 70
A28/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
87-103
87
103
-16
76avg 70
H04/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
83-88
83
88
-5
68avg 70
A08/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-105
70
105
-35
54avg 70
H11/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
86-103
86
103
-17
80avg 70
A15/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
65-106
65
106
-41
51avg 70
A21/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 70
H24/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
56avg 70
H03/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
62-76
62
76
-14
49avg 70
A10/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
17-18
17-14
27-31
23-21
15-11
17-16
23-22
24-27
26-27
23-22
14-27
16-25
23-11
21-20
23-32
21-26
19-18
9-28
21-33
20-25
19-19
29-26
18-33
18-25
20-25
18-27
9-29
25-23
22-14
22-26
22-19
15-16
21-20
15-28
20-22
11-23
20-16
16-18
15-19
169.0Avg total
78.5Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.287.5159.8-15.225%
Season at home (2)81.084.0165.0-3.050%
Season away (2)63.591.0154.5-27.50%
Last 10 (10)78.590.5169.0-12.030%
Last 5 (5)75.090.6165.6-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.593.5171.9-15.014%
vs Similar (3)78.076.3154.3+1.767%
vs Weaker (4)87.278.8166.0+8.5100%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -7.5-7.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -7.5-7.5
Bakken BearsVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A13/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H16/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A20/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H19/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A25/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/09
Basketligaen
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H02/10
ENBL
Copenhagen
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A08/10
Basketligaen
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A15/10
ENBL
83.5Avg total
42.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.385.0+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.839.083.8+5.877%-
Last 30 away (17)44.641.485.9+3.271%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.283.5+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.475.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)36.734.070.7+2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.641.086.6+4.678%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A28/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H04/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A08/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H11/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A15/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A21/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H24/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H03/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A10/10
Basketligaen
81.9Avg total
40.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.384.2-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.244.687.8-1.431%-
Last 30 away (14)38.341.780.0-3.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.381.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.044.784.8-4.732%-
vs Similar (3)39.735.074.7+4.767%-
vs Weaker (4)47.840.288.0+7.575%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.023.3
58.2%
51.9%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.3
33.3%
32.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.6
72.0%
70.2%13.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.0
49.6%
51.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.8
29.3%
32.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.413.9
68.1%
70.2%13.9
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bakken Bears
WWWWWWLWWW
Vaerlose
LLWLLLLLWW
#1
League position
#10
+7.9
Net rating
-15.9
112.1
Offensive rating
97.8
104.2
Defensive rating
113.8
54.9%
Effective FG%
47.4%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.3%
3-point %
29.3%
63.8%
Assist %
62.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 97.8Defence104.2 · 113.8Shooting54.9% · 47.4%3-point %33.3% · 29.3%Ball care19.1% · 18.2%Off. rebounds35.2% · 27.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Bakken Bears   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Bakken Bears wins
1
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
15/04/24Bakken Bears v Vaerlose103-86
21/03/24Vaerlose v Bakken Bears79-103
03/02/24Vaerlose v Bakken Bears76-98
05/11/23Bakken Bears v Vaerlose118-72
17/12/22Bakken Bears v Vaerlose101-45
09/12/22Bakken Bears v Vaerlose108-78
01/10/22Vaerlose v Bakken Bears84-75
19/02/22Bakken Bears v Vaerlose96-87
21/11/21Vaerlose v Bakken Bears64-90
09/01/21Bakken Bears v Vaerlose108-68
Bakken Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24AKeila Coolbet82-48
08/10/24ARanders93-81
04/10/24ACopenhagen96-92
02/10/24HBristol Flyers83-72
29/09/24AAmager80-73
25/09/24AHolbaek-Stenhus103-77
19/09/24HHorsens72-90
20/05/24ATeam FOG Naestved88-86
16/05/24HTeam FOG Naestved88-83
13/05/24ATeam FOG Naestved94-81
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/24ASvendborg62-76
03/10/24HHerlev Wolfpack71-86
24/09/24HBears Academy91-82
21/09/24ARanders65-106
15/04/24ABakken Bears86-103
11/04/24HTeam FOG Naestved70-105
08/04/24ASvendborg83-88
04/04/24HRanders87-103
28/03/24AHorsens78-70
25/03/24ATeam FOG Naestved92-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeL0%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %80%0%100%
Points / game88.872.093.0
Allowed / game82.690.080.8
Point differential+6.2-18.0+12.2
Avg total171.4162.0173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game72.281.063.5
Allowed / game87.584.091.0
Point differential-15.2-3.0-27.5
Avg total159.8165.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved660100%99.392.3+7.0
2 Svendborg65183%86.276.0+10.2
3 Horsens54180%87.679.8+7.8
4 Bakken Bears54180%88.882.6+6.2
5 Randers73443%89.384.3+5.0
6 Herlev Wolfpack52340%79.883.8-4.0
7 Holbaek-Stenhus52340%80.088.8-8.8
8 Vaerlose41325%72.287.5-15.2
9 Amager51420%90.490.6-0.2
10 Bears Academy51420%76.483.6-7.2
11 Copenhagen5050%83.092.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bakken Bears1918322796
Vaerlose1617321681
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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