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Bakken Bears vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 103-86
25-20 19-19 26-29 33-18
Position#1
Record25-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game99.1
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#7
Record12-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game87.9
DenmarkBasketligaen· Vejlby-Risskov Hallen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bakken Bears v Vaerlose
13 Feb 2027
BBE v VAER
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
BBE114
VAER70
19 Oct 2024
BBE96
VAER81
15 Apr 2024
BBE103
VAER86
05 Nov 2023
BBE118
VAER72
17 Dec 2022
BBE101
VAER45
09 Dec 2022
BBE108
VAER78
19 Feb 2022
BBE96
VAER87
09 Jan 2021
BBE108
VAER68
17 Nov 2019
BBE102
VAER81
31 Mar 2019
BBE90
VAER71
22 Mar 2019
BBE107
VAER81
15 Dec 2018
BBE113
VAER74
04 Jan 2015
BBE88
VAER66
07 Nov 2014
BBE100
VAER70
15 Feb 2014
BBE108
VAER88
27 Jan 2013
BBE107
VAER65
29 Nov 2012
BBE82
VAER62
16 Feb 2012
BBE93
VAER69
30 Jan 2011
BBE61
VAER53
10 Oct 2010
BBE87
VAER64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Newcastle Eagles
#7
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
99avg 91
H13/03
ENBL
Randers
#6
W
96-83
96
83
+13
98avg 91
A18/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
103-79
103
79
+24
104avg 91
A21/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
100-70
100
70
+30
98avg 91
H25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
83-66
83
66
+17
82avg 91
H30/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
76avg 91
H01/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
103avg 91
A04/04
Basketligaen
Siauliai
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
82avg 91
A09/04
ENBL
Voluntari
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
67avg 91
A10/04
ENBL
Svendborg
#5
W
86-62
86
62
+24
76avg 91
A12/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
27-18
12-32
20-17
30-24
27-26
24-21
15-12
23-24
24-18
28-13
28-24
18-22
25-9
30-20
27-19
20-17
32-19
18-12
13-18
23-20
26-21
16-28
20-18
21-24
23-18
22-24
25-25
22-14
20-16
21-26
27-21
18-14
17-21
28-18
22-28
15-17
19-14
24-14
28-17
173.6Avg total
93.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)99.177.4176.4+21.786%
Season at home (14)101.475.4176.7+26.093%
Season away (15)96.979.3176.2+17.780%
Last 10 (10)93.380.3173.6+13.090%
Last 5 (5)91.082.6173.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)89.282.0171.2+7.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)96.378.8175.1+17.673%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
W
72-61
72
61
+11
70avg 72
A17/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
95-98
95
98
-3
88avg 72
H07/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 72
A14/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
64-86
64
86
-22
52avg 72
H18/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
79-103
79
103
-24
72avg 72
H21/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 72
A25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 72
A28/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
87-103
87
103
-16
76avg 72
H04/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
83-88
83
88
-5
68avg 72
A08/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-105
70
105
-35
54avg 72
H11/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
19-13
18-16
18-13
23-31
18-17
31-29
23-21
27-21
21-21
18-24
18-25
17-24
20-22
11-19
16-21
24-23
18-24
13-28
24-28
31-23
17-18
17-14
27-31
23-21
15-11
17-16
23-22
24-27
26-27
23-22
14-27
16-25
23-11
21-20
23-32
21-26
19-18
9-28
21-33
169.5Avg total
80.4Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.387.9169.2-6.641%
Season at home (15)82.790.7173.4-8.133%
Season away (14)79.984.8164.6-4.950%
Last 10 (10)80.489.1169.5-8.730%
Last 5 (5)82.090.4172.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)79.692.4172.0-12.919%
vs Similar (2)78.569.5148.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (6)88.378.0166.3+10.3100%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -4.6-4.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -4.6-4.6
Bakken BearsVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Eagles
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H13/03
ENBL
Randers
#6
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A18/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A21/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H30/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H01/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/04
Basketligaen
Siauliai
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A09/04
ENBL
Voluntari
#3
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A10/04
ENBL
Svendborg
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A12/04
Basketligaen
82.7Avg total
45.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.538.985.4+7.677%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.938.187.1+10.886%-
Last 30 away (16)44.439.583.9+4.969%-
Last 10 (10)45.237.582.7+7.790%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.876.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)42.039.281.2+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)47.238.886.0+8.481%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A17/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H07/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A14/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H18/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H21/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A28/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H04/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A08/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H11/04
Basketligaen
84.1Avg total
41.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.084.3-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.244.687.8-1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)39.341.180.4-1.857%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.284.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.484.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.844.785.5-3.938%-
vs Similar (2)37.535.072.5+2.5100%-
vs Weaker (6)45.538.884.3+6.767%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.3
54.3%
51.8%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.8
34.4%
31.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.114.9
70.6%
67.0%14.9
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.0
47.1%
51.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.3
29.7%
31.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.516.5
73.3%
67.0%16.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bakken Bears
WWWWLWWWWW
Vaerlose
LLLWWLLLLW
#1
League position
#7
+14.6
Net rating
-11.1
111.6
Offensive rating
99.1
97.0
Defensive rating
110.2
53.1%
Effective FG%
46.1%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.2%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.4%
3-point %
29.7%
68.3%
Assist %
69.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 99.1Defence97.0 · 110.2Shooting53.1% · 46.1%3-point %34.4% · 29.7%Ball care16.7% · 17.2%Off. rebounds32.2% · 28.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Bakken Bears   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Bakken Bears wins
1
Vaerlose wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24ASvendborg86-62
10/04/24AVoluntari85-81
09/04/24ASiauliai90-77
04/04/24ATeam FOG Naestved109-106 OT
01/04/24HRanders85-87
30/03/24HHorsens83-66
25/03/24HSvendborg100-70
21/03/24AVaerlose103-79
18/03/24ARanders96-83
13/03/24HNewcastle Eagles96-92 OT
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/24HTeam FOG Naestved70-105
08/04/24ASvendborg83-88
04/04/24HRanders87-103
28/03/24AHorsens78-70
25/03/24ATeam FOG Naestved92-86
21/03/24HBakken Bears79-103
18/03/24HHorsens64-86
14/03/24ARanders84-91
07/03/24HSvendborg95-98
17/02/24ABears Academy72-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWWL93%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %86%93%80%
Points / game99.1101.496.9
Allowed / game77.475.479.3
Point differential+21.7+26.0+17.7
Avg total176.4176.7176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%86%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL41%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%33%50%
Points / game81.382.779.9
Allowed / game87.990.784.8
Point differential-6.6-8.1-4.9
Avg total169.2173.4164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%7%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2925486%99.177.4+21.7
2 Horsens2924583%88.473.8+14.6
3 Team FOG Naestved2920969%96.785.0+11.6
4 Svendborg29181162%88.683.9+4.7
5 Copenhagen26151158%82.878.9+3.9
6 Randers29161355%93.088.4+4.6
7 Vaerlose29121741%81.387.9-6.6
8 Bears Academy2681831%76.682.5-5.9
9 Herlev Wolfpack2662023%75.990.4-14.5
10 Holbaek-Stenhus2652119%72.490.4-18.0
11 Amager2632312%75.797.5-21.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bakken Bears25192633103
Vaerlose2019291886
← all games of the day
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