Bakken Bears vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2021

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 108-68

32-17 21-8 26-18 29-25

Position#1

Record12-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game103.5

Allowed / game75.2

Bakken Bears 🏆

Vaerlose

Position#6

Record4-8

FormWLLWL

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game87.4

BasketligaenRound 17

Other2020-21

Meetings · Bakken Bears v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken Bears Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

96-87

H14/11

Basketligaen

Sassari

#23

84-91

-7

H18/11

Champions League

Bears Academy

92-80

+12

H20/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

108-89

108

+19

H02/12

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

103-77

103

+26

A05/12

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

112-59

112

+53

H12/12

Basketligaen

Sassari

#23

93-71

+22

A16/12

Champions League

Horsens

95-92

H28/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

100-78

100

+22

A30/12

Basketligaen

Galatasaray

#34

96-78

+18

H05/01

Champions League

24-25

20-25

33-17

19-20

25-26

18-23

17-20

24-22

18-21

29-15

28-21

17-23

27-25

25-21

37-19

19-24

30-13

25-25

21-15

27-24

26-15

40-11

20-18

26-15

19-29

22-8

27-20

25-14

21-23

27-15

19-22

28-32

19-21

30-19

24-19

27-19

29-20

29-19

14-16

24-23

178.1Avg total

97.9Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	103.5	75.2	178.8	+28.3	92%
Season at home (8)	103.4	74.9	178.2	+28.5	100%
Season away (5)	103.8	75.8	179.6	+28.0	80%
Last 10 (10)	97.9	80.2	178.1	+17.7	90%
Last 5 (5)	99.2	75.6	174.8	+23.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	73.0	98.0	171.0	-25.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	98.2	77.9	176.1	+20.3	82%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

88-96

-8

A11/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

82-77

H18/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

87-72

+15

H23/10

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

76-83

-7

A31/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

71-75

-4

H06/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

78-64

+14

A14/11

Basketligaen

Randers

84-103

103

-19

H03/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

68-84

-16

A07/12

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

74-73

A13/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

84-100

100

-16

H03/01

Basketligaen

20-28

26-28

23-18

19-22

19-21

19-16

20-15

24-25

25-25

23-13

19-18

20-16

19-27

17-20

28-12

12-24

18-19

11-23

22-18

20-15

24-18

17-16

20-14

17-16

21-25

20-24

24-31

19-23

12-19

26-25

19-19

11-21

19-19

16-13

17-24

22-17

12-21

14-23

21-27

37-29

161.9Avg total

79.2Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	78.2	87.4	165.6	-9.2	33%
Season at home (6)	80.3	88.8	169.2	-8.5	33%
Season away (6)	76.0	86.0	162.0	-10.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	82.7	161.9	-3.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	84.8	162.4	-7.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	79.5	96.9	176.4	-17.4	0%
vs Similar (6)	84.3	83.8	168.2	+0.5	83%
vs Weaker (10)	85.4	75.2	160.6	+10.2	80%

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bakken BearsVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.0	20.5	45.6	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.5	21.3	46.8	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.6	19.7	44.3	+4.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	21.8	45.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.6	44.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	25.0	23.0	48.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	25.1	20.4	45.6	+4.7	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.9	41.8	-0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.2	41.1	-3.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.1	22.9	43.0	-2.9	36%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.3	18.6	40.9	+3.7	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.6	17.9	42.5	+6.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.5	16.1	42.7	+10.4	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	19.6	42.3	+3.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.5	18.1	44.6	+8.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	14.4	44.0	+15.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	10.0	25.0	35.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	25.2	17.7	42.9	+7.5	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.5	41.1	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	22.3	41.6	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.6	25.3	43.9	-6.7	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.3	83%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	40%	-

Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

44-50

-6

H14/11

Basketligaen

Sassari

#23

43-49

-6

H18/11

Champions League

Bears Academy

47-36

+11

H20/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

52-46

H02/12

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

55-38

+17

A05/12

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

66-26

+40

H12/12

Basketligaen

Sassari

#23

41-37

A16/12

Champions League

Horsens

48-38

+10

H28/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

49-40

A30/12

Basketligaen

Galatasaray

#34

58-39

+19

H05/01

Champions League

90.2Avg total

50.3Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.6	38.4	88.0	+11.2	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	52.0	37.5	89.5	+14.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.3	39.3	86.6	+7.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.3	39.9	90.2	+10.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.4	36.0	88.4	+16.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	35.0	48.0	83.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	50.3	38.1	88.5	+12.2	82%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

46-56

-10

A11/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

38-37

H18/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

48-38

+10

H23/10

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

36-47

-11

A31/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

29-42

-13

H06/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

41-34

A14/11

Basketligaen

Randers

41-49

-8

H03/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

38-44

-6

A07/12

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

35-32

A13/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

26-44

-18

H03/01

Basketligaen

80.1Avg total

37.8Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	42.6	83.0	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	43.5	83.6	-3.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	41.7	82.4	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	42.3	80.1	-4.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	40.6	76.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.6	48.2	86.9	-9.6	7%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.8	39.2	81.0	+2.7	83%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.0	36.8	78.8	+5.2	80%	-

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	19.2	42.9	+4.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	19.0	43.7	+5.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	19.4	42.1	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	18.7	42.7	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	15.0	28.0	43.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	23.8	18.9	42.7	+5.0	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.5	42.3	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	21.7	41.7	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	21.3	42.9	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.2	23.8	45.0	-2.6	36%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	21.7	41.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	20.7	44.5	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	22.0	45.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	19.5	43.2	+4.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	21.6	45.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	20.6	46.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	24.0	20.9	44.9	+3.1	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.9	44.2	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	22.0	44.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	23.9	44.0	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.6	24.9	44.6	-5.3	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.2	23.0	46.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.5	20.1	42.6	+2.4	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.5	39.9	87.4	+7.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.5	41.0	89.5	+7.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.4	38.9	85.3	+7.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.6	40.3	87.9	+7.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	39.6	86.4	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	38.0	50.0	88.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	47.9	39.8	87.6	+8.1	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	44.5	86.5	-2.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	43.7	86.1	-1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	45.2	86.9	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	40.4	81.8	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	44.2	85.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	40.9	48.7	89.6	-7.9	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	42.5	44.7	87.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.4	38.4	81.8	+5.0	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 85.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.3 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.4 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 10% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game

50%

31%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	23.1	56.1%	54.7%	46.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.4	10.1	32.3%	32.5%	30.4
🏀 Free throws	12.4	8.4	67.8%	69.6%	8.4

They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	21.7	52.1%	54.7%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	8.9	37.8%	32.5%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	15.1	10.7	70.8%	69.6%	10.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	21.7	52.1%	54.7%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	8.9	37.8%	32.5%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	15.1	10.7	70.8%	69.6%	10.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bakken Bears wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
06/10/20	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	74-106
10/01/20	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	71-85
17/11/19	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	102-81
31/03/19	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	90-71
29/03/19	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	87-98
22/03/19	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	107-81
15/12/18	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	113-74
14/10/18	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	78-90
10/11/17	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	69-94
17/11/16	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	56-110

Bakken Bearslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/01/21	H	Galatasaray	96-78
30/12/20	A	Team FOG Naestved	100-78
28/12/20	H	Horsens	95-92
16/12/20	A	Sassari	93-71
12/12/20	H	Amager	112-59
05/12/20	A	Herlev Wolfpack	103-77
02/12/20	H	Horsens	108-89
20/11/20	H	Bears Academy	92-80
18/11/20	H	Sassari	84-91
14/11/20	H	Svendborg	96-87

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/01/21	H	Horsens	84-100
13/12/20	A	Bears Academy	74-73
07/12/20	A	Team FOG Naestved	68-84
03/12/20	H	Randers	84-103
14/11/20	A	Herlev Wolfpack	78-64
06/11/20	H	Team FOG Naestved	71-75
31/10/20	A	Amager	76-83
23/10/20	H	Copenhagen	87-72
18/10/20	H	Bears Academy	82-77
11/10/20	A	Horsens	88-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears

Basketligaen 2020-21

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	92%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	8	5
Win %	92%	100%	80%
Points / game	103.5	103.4	103.8
Allowed / game	75.2	74.9	75.8
Point differential	+28.3	+28.5	+28.0
Avg total	178.8	178.2	179.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	77%	75%	80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	33%
Home	WWLLL	33%
Away	LLWLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	33%	33%	33%
Points / game	78.2	80.3	76.0
Allowed / game	87.4	88.8	86.0
Point differential	-9.2	-8.5	-10.0
Avg total	165.6	169.2	162.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	17%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	13	12	1	92%	103.5	75.2	+28.3
2	Randers	14	11	3	79%	95.9	89.3	+6.6
3	Svendborg	16	11	5	69%	90.2	80.6	+9.6
4	Horsens	14	9	5	64%	90.8	83.9	+6.9
5	Team FOG Naestved	17	9	8	53%	79.8	79.2	+0.6
6	Herlev Wolfpack	11	4	7	36%	73.8	82.2	-8.4
7	Vaerlose	12	4	8	33%	78.2	87.4	-9.2
8	Copenhagen	12	3	9	25%	71.1	88.9	-17.8
9	Bears Academy	12	2	10	17%	81.4	88.5	-7.1
10	Amager	11	1	10	9%	74.7	94.7	-20.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bakken Bears	32	21	26	29	108
Vaerlose	17	8	18	25	68

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Bakken Bears vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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