Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Oct 2018

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 78-90

15-14 16-26 19-23 28-27

Position#7

Record0-2

FormLWLLL

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game90.0

Vaerlose

Bakken Bears 🏆

Position#1

Record2-0

FormWWLWW

Points / game114.0

Allowed / game78.5

Basketligaen

Other2018-19

Meetings · Vaerlose v Bakken Bears

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bakken Bears winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aalborg

#10

87-83

A28/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

89-74

+15

H01/04

Basketligaen

Egedal

#15

89-41

+48

A20/10

Denmark Cup

Randers

78-87

-9

H27/11

Denmark Cup

Skjold Birkerod

#12

78-57

+21

H01/11

Denmark Cup

Bakken Bears

56-110

110

-54

H17/11

Denmark Cup

Vejen

#16

95-38

+57

A22/10

Denmark Cup

Bakken Bears

69-94

-25

H10/11

Denmark Cup

Herlev Wolfpack

86-95

-9

A06/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

73-85

-12

A10/10

Basketligaen

21-16

17-20

19-24

30-23

30-14

17-13

23-22

19-25

–

23-14

11-12

17-16

27-15

–

13-17

29-23

12-34

15-20

15-28

16-24

24-22

31-21

13-23

26-23

16-21

18-18

156.4Avg total

80.0Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	79.5	90.0	169.5	-10.5	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (2)	79.5	90.0	169.5	-10.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	76.4	156.4	+3.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	84.4	160.2	-8.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	69.2	90.1	159.2	-20.9	8%
vs Similar (7)	81.4	86.4	167.9	-5.0	29%
vs Weaker (7)	85.1	73.7	158.9	+11.4	86%

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bakken Bears Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

71-57

+14

A26/04

Basketligaen

Horsens

100-77

100

+23

H30/04

Basketligaen

Horsens

79-68

+11

A03/05

Basketligaen

Horsens

83-76

H07/05

Basketligaen

Leicester Riders

#52

90-77

+13

A20/09

Champions League

Leicester Riders

#52

103-84

103

+19

H22/09

Champions League

Spirou Charleroi

#22

61-59

A26/09

Champions League

Spirou Charleroi

#22

69-74

-5

H29/09

Champions League

EBAA Aarhus

119-83

119

+36

H08/10

Basketligaen

Randers

109-74

109

+35

H11/10

Basketligaen

22-17

21-17

13-13

15-10

36-16

18-18

27-23

19-20

17-12

19-20

21-17

22-19

26-21

17-20

16-25

24-10

26-23

23-12

29-22

12-20

22-13

32-24

31-21

18-26

15-18

14-9

16-20

16-12

14-29

16-18

27-12

12-15

28-16

36-23

21-24

34-20

23-22

36-10

24-15

26-27

161.3Avg total

88.4Scored

72.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	114.0	78.5	192.5	+35.5	100%
Season at home (2)	114.0	78.5	192.5	+35.5	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	88.4	72.9	161.3	+15.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	92.2	74.8	167.0	+17.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	78.0	74.0	152.0	+4.0	50%
vs Similar (6)	79.5	72.5	152.0	+7.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	91.9	79.5	171.5	+12.4	77%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseBakken Bears

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.9	20.2	41.0	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.4	22.5	42.8	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (6)	19.2	18.7	37.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	22.1	41.4	-2.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.2	16.8	42.0	+8.3	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.5	43.2	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	25.2	20.2	45.4	+5.0	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	18.7	41.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.8	16.5	38.3	+5.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.3	21.6	44.9	+1.7	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.5	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.9	19.2	37.2	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	54%	-
Last 10 (6)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	42%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.5	16.0	33.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	19.6	41.8	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.9	19.9	43.8	+4.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	19.2	39.3	+1.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	17.1	40.3	+6.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	16.8	43.6	+10.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	21.2	39.3	-3.0	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.7	19.2	42.9	+4.5	73%	-

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aalborg

#10

38-36

A28/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

47-27

+20

H01/04

Basketligaen

Skjold Birkerod

#12

34-26

H01/11

Denmark Cup

Bakken Bears

42-40

H10/11

Denmark Cup

Herlev Wolfpack

31-52

-21

A06/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

39-46

-7

A10/10

Basketligaen

76.3Avg total

38.5Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	40.3	40.1	80.4	+0.3	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.3	37.1	76.4	+2.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.4	43.1	84.5	-1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (6)	38.5	37.8	76.3	+0.7	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	38.2	76.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	40.5	42.7	83.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.0	43.9	82.9	-4.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.7	32.8	75.5	+9.8	83%	-

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

43-34

A26/04

Basketligaen

Horsens

54-34

+20

H30/04

Basketligaen

Horsens

36-32

A03/05

Basketligaen

Horsens

43-41

H07/05

Basketligaen

Leicester Riders

#52

49-35

+14

A20/09

Champions League

Leicester Riders

#52

54-37

+17

H22/09

Champions League

Spirou Charleroi

#22

29-27

A26/09

Champions League

Spirou Charleroi

#22

30-47

-17

H29/09

Champions League

EBAA Aarhus

64-39

+25

H08/10

Basketligaen

Randers

59-32

+27

H11/10

Basketligaen

81.9Avg total

46.1Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	40.1	85.1	+4.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	49.1	40.1	89.1	+9.0	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.6	40.2	79.8	-0.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	35.8	81.9	+10.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	36.4	83.6	+10.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.5	39.5	77.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.0	37.7	77.7	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	47.0	40.8	87.8	+6.2	73%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.8	20.6	39.5	-1.8	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	21.2	41.8	-0.7	54%	-
Last 10 (6)	18.5	23.2	41.7	-4.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.0	41.4	-4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	15.6	22.7	38.2	-7.1	8%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.8	18.3	41.2	+4.5	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.1	39.7	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	18.5	41.2	+4.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	17.6	37.8	+2.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.2	41.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.4	42.2	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	17.5	34.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.5	17.8	40.3	+4.7	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	17.2	21.5	38.8	-4.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.1	21.9	38.0	-5.8	15%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.4	21.2	39.5	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (6)	23.3	20.3	43.7	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	14.2	23.1	37.2	-8.9	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.6	22.0	42.6	-1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	13.0	29.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.5	15.2	34.7	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.9	20.5	42.4	+1.3	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	36.1	42.2	78.2	-6.1	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	33.2	41.9	75.2	-8.7	23%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.9	42.4	81.3	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (6)	41.8	43.5	85.3	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	42.8	83.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	29.8	45.8	75.5	-16.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.9	41.7	83.6	+0.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.7	37.3	78.0	+3.3	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	37.1	79.7	+5.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.8	39.0	82.8	+4.8	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.1	34.6	75.7	+6.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	37.1	79.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	38.4	83.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.5	30.5	63.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.5	34.8	74.3	+4.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.4	38.3	82.7	+6.0	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Bakken Bears wins

Date	Game	Score
10/11/17	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	69-94
17/11/16	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	56-110
04/03/15	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	66-90
04/01/15	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	88-66
07/11/14	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	100-70
22/02/14	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	76-103
15/02/14	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	108-88
29/09/13	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	74-85
27/01/13	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	107-65
29/11/12	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	82-62

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/10/18	A	Svendborg	73-85
06/10/18	A	Herlev Wolfpack	86-95
10/11/17	H	Bakken Bears	69-94
22/10/17	A	Vejen	95-38
17/11/16	H	Bakken Bears	56-110
01/11/16	H	Skjold Birkerod	78-57
27/11/15	H	Randers	78-87
20/10/15	A	Egedal	89-41
01/04/15	H	Aalborg	89-74
28/03/15	A	Aalborg	87-83

Bakken Bearslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/10/18	H	Randers	109-74
08/10/18	H	EBAA Aarhus	119-83
29/09/18	H	Spirou Charleroi	69-74
26/09/18	A	Spirou Charleroi	61-59
22/09/18	H	Leicester Riders	103-84
20/09/18	A	Leicester Riders	90-77
07/05/18	H	Horsens	83-76
03/05/18	A	Horsens	79-68
30/04/18	H	Horsens	100-77
26/04/18	A	Horsens	71-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	-	-
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	-	2
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	79.5	-	79.5
Allowed / game	90.0	-	90.0
Point differential	-10.5	-	-10.5
Avg total	169.5	-	169.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Bakken Bears

Basketligaen 2018-19

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	2	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	114.0	114.0	-
Allowed / game	78.5	78.5	-
Point differential	+35.5	+35.5	-
Avg total	192.5	192.5	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	2	2	0	100%	114.0	78.5	+35.5
2	Horsens	3	3	0	100%	94.3	71.7	+22.7
3	Svendborg	3	3	0	100%	89.0	76.0	+13.0
4	Team FOG Naestved	2	1	1	50%	100.0	78.0	+22.0
5	Herlev Wolfpack	2	1	1	50%	80.5	87.0	-6.5
6	Randers	3	1	2	33%	85.3	98.0	-12.7
7	EBAA Aarhus	4	1	3	25%	78.8	91.5	-12.8
8	Vaerlose	2	0	2	0%	79.5	90.0	-10.5
9	Stevnsgade	3	0	3	0%	65.3	98.3	-33.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vaerlose	15	16	19	28	78
Bakken Bears	14	26	23	27	90

← all games of the day

Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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