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Ballarat vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 93-73
33-17 23-20 20-18 17-18
Position#5
Record11-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#14
Record6-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game95.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Ballarat v Dandenong
12 Jul 2025
BALL93
DAND73
27 Jul 2024
BALL91
DAND78
15 Jun 2024
BALL84
DAND86
29 Apr 2023
BALL97
DAND88
26 Aug 2017
BALL94
DAND102
16 Jul 2017
BALL100
DAND87
14 May 2016
BALL94
DAND92
23 May 2015
BALL90
DAND101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A17/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
69-116
69
116
-47
H24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
112-109
112
109
+3
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A15/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H21/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
97-118
97
118
-21
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
102-61
102
61
+41
A29/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H05/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H11/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
15-20
24-33
22-28
11-42
18-31
19-20
21-23
33-27
31-31
20-30
28-21
21-22
16-10
14-23
15-22
24-34
22-21
25-12
25-16
16-34
26-18
24-16
20-16
24-34
23-23
27-36
23-25
26-24
29-10
20-6
27-21
26-24
20-20
15-28
21-13
25-22
18-18
13-11
23-18
178.4Avg total
87.6Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.790.4178.1-2.758%
Season at home (10)88.591.2179.7-2.760%
Season away (9)86.889.4176.2-2.756%
Last 10 (10)87.690.8178.4-3.250%
Last 5 (5)89.283.4172.6+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.596.5178.0-15.025%
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.984.6172.4+3.371%
vs Weaker (11)91.585.7177.2+5.782%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#9
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A18/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
91-106
91
106
-15
H24/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
98-96
98
96
+2
A30/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H01/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
93-97
93
97
-4
H14/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
105-112
105
112
-7
H21/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A28/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
104-103
104
103
+1
H29/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
99-86
99
86
+13
H05/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
106-84
106
84
+22
H11/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
16-17
24-23
36-29
20-16
27-28
27-27
17-35
24-35
27-16
20-27
27-18
19-23
21-23
23-18
21-23
21-28
23-22
26-23
23-24
24-30
27-25
27-22
27-35
22-26
16-15
20-31
19-26
35-27
17-18
18-24
34-34
25-26
18-20
26-23
30-17
21-25
26-28
34-13
25-18
191.3Avg total
95.3Scored
96.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)90.595.4185.9-4.832%
Season at home (11)94.396.9191.2-2.636%
Season away (8)85.493.2178.6-7.925%
Last 10 (10)95.396.0191.3-0.750%
Last 5 (5)98.296.6194.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)87.994.2182.1-6.335%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.489.6176.0-3.238%
vs Weaker (5)88.288.0176.2+0.260%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
BallaratDandenong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
29-73
29
73
-44
H24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A15/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H21/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A29/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H05/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/07
NBL1 South
94.0Avg total
45.0Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.146.190.2-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.844.689.4+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)43.247.991.1-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)45.049.094.0-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.645.492.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.548.789.2-8.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.644.688.1-1.029%-
vs Weaker (11)48.344.492.6+3.964%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H24/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A30/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H01/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H14/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H21/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H29/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H05/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H11/07
NBL1 South
91.9Avg total
44.9Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.145.488.5-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.545.691.2-0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)39.945.185.0-5.215%-
Last 10 (10)44.947.091.9-2.120%-
Last 5 (5)46.248.094.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)42.445.888.2-3.529%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.946.289.1-3.438%-
vs Weaker (5)46.042.688.6+3.440%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ballarat wins
3
Dandenong wins
DateGameScore
27/07/24Ballarat v Dandenong91-78
15/06/24Ballarat v Dandenong84-86
29/04/23Ballarat v Dandenong97-88
19/06/22Dandenong v Ballarat70-72
13/04/19Dandenong v Ballarat73-80
26/08/17Ballarat v Dandenong94-102 OT
16/07/17Ballarat v Dandenong100-87
07/05/17Dandenong v Ballarat79-95
05/06/16Dandenong v Ballarat104-93 OT
14/05/16Ballarat v Dandenong94-92
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/07/25HKeilor Thunder79-69
05/07/25HKilsyth82-85
29/06/25ARingwood102-61
28/06/25HSandringham Sabres97-118
21/06/25HFrankston86-84
15/06/25ANunawading96-83
14/06/25AKeilor Thunder66-77
31/05/25ABendigo Braves112-109
24/05/25HMt Gambier69-116
17/05/25ASandringham Sabres87-106
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/07/25HGeelong106-84
05/07/25HCasey Cavaliers99-86
29/06/25HFrankston104-103
28/06/25AKilsyth77-98
21/06/25HSandringham Sabres105-112
14/06/25HHobart Chargers93-97
01/06/25HNunawading84-87
30/05/25AMt Gambier98-96
24/05/25HWaverley91-106
18/05/25ARingwood96-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeLWLLW60%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game87.788.586.8
Allowed / game90.491.289.4
Point differential-2.7-2.7-2.7
Avg total178.1179.7176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dandenong
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW32%
HomeLLWWW36%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %32%36%25%
Points / game90.594.385.4
Allowed / game95.496.993.2
Point differential-4.8-2.6-7.9
Avg total185.9191.2178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1915479%90.882.9+7.9
2 Mt Gambier2014670%96.383.0+13.3
3 Sandringham Sabres2013765%93.590.0+3.5
4 Melbourne Tigers2012860%86.580.7+5.8
5 Kilsyth2012860%88.285.3+2.9
6 Eltham1911858%88.186.7+1.4
7 Ballarat1911858%87.790.4-2.7
8 Hobart Chargers1810856%86.984.5+2.4
9 Ringwood2011955%94.889.3+5.5
10 Casey Cavaliers2011955%88.286.2+2.0
11 Frankston1991047%91.888.7+3.1
12 Nunawading1991047%86.587.0-0.5
13 Waverley2091145%93.396.3-3.0
14 Bendigo Braves2181338%82.094.0-12.0
15 Keilor Thunder1971237%82.588.2-5.7
16 Geelong2071335%83.088.8-5.8
17 Dandenong1961332%90.595.4-4.8
18 NW Tasmania1951426%86.390.2-3.9
19 Diamond Valley1951426%84.894.2-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat3323201793
Dandenong1720181873
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