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Barcelona vs Bayern Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 06 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:45
Scheduled
Position#9
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game94.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 36· Palau Blaugrana
European cup2026
Meetings · Barcelona v Bayern
06 Apr 2027
BAR v BAY
upcoming
17 Apr 2026
BAR95
BAY69
25 Mar 2025
BAR101
BAY102
20 Oct 2023
BAR98
BAY59
02 Feb 2023
BAR72
BAY70
03 May 2022
BAR81
BAY72
21 Apr 2022
BAR75
BAY90
19 Apr 2022
BAR77
BAY67
01 Feb 2022
BAR71
BAY66
09 Apr 2021
BAR72
BAY82
18 Oct 2018
BAR83
BAY73
17 Oct 2014
BAR83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
L
94-100
94
100
-6
A04/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H09/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H11/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
89-113
89
113
-24
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#8
W
99-81
99
81
+18
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
28-28
27-24
21-30
18-23
23-16
24-16
16-33
19-26
20-14
29-20
21-26
23-24
17-18
27-22
23-23
30-26
17-31
19-20
26-15
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
183.6Avg total
91.7Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.888.6179.3+2.267%
Season at home (5)91.691.2182.8+0.460%
Season away (4)89.885.2175.0+4.575%
Last 10 (10)91.791.9183.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)92.690.6183.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.3100.4188.7-12.129%
vs Similar (9)91.987.3179.2+4.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)95.485.9181.3+9.693%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#12
W
113-60
113
60
+53
H04/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H08/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#17
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
101-93
101
93
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
91-107
91
107
-16
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
96-77
96
77
+19
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#9
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
73-103
73
103
-30
A29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
20-24
18-11
19-29
17-18
40-13
32-18
24-11
21-35
22-17
25-23
19-19
21-25
24-25
22-12
20-21
26-22
28-24
21-22
26-25
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
178.9Avg total
90.3Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.494.4179.9-9.022%
Season at home (4)86.593.8180.2-7.20%
Season away (5)84.695.0179.6-10.440%
Last 10 (10)90.388.6178.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)86.294.0180.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)85.494.4179.9-9.022%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (21)89.574.2163.7+15.386%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
BarcelonaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A04/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
87.2Avg total
43.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.785.5+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.241.384.5+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)44.542.286.7+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.787.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.687.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.446.785.1-8.30%-
vs Similar (9)45.041.286.2+3.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.739.685.3+6.171%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H02/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#12
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H04/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#17
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
90.3Avg total
43.2Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.884.2+4.677%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.238.383.5+6.984%-
Last 30 away (11)43.042.385.3+0.764%-
Last 10 (10)43.247.190.3-3.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.249.286.4-12.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.348.789.0-8.344%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (21)46.136.082.1+10.290%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.9
57.6%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.9
39.2%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
77.1%15.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
55.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.9
37.8%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.816.2
81.8%
77.1%16.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWLLWWLL
Bayern
LLWLLWWLWL
#9
League position
#18
-0.3
Net rating
+2.0
104.9
Offensive rating
103.8
105.3
Defensive rating
101.8
58.1%
Effective FG%
57.5%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.2%
3-point %
37.8%
50.9%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 103.8Defence105.3 · 101.8Shooting58.1% · 57.5%3-point %39.2% · 37.8%Ball care14.9% · 16.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Barcelona   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Barcelona wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
27/10/26Bayern v Barcelona84-88
17/04/26Barcelona v Bayern95-69
12/11/25Bayern v Barcelona74-75
25/03/25Barcelona v Bayern101-102
22/11/24Bayern v Barcelona100-78
28/03/24Bayern v Barcelona79-87
20/10/23Barcelona v Bayern98-59
02/02/23Barcelona v Bayern72-70
18/10/22Bayern v Barcelona73-84
03/05/22Barcelona v Bayern81-72
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
16/10/26HOlympiacos100-105 OT
13/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-87
11/10/26HValencia89-86
09/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas81-88
04/10/26AMurcia94-100
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95
14/10/26AAnadolu Efes101-93
10/10/26AChemnitz87-83
08/10/26HVirtus Bologna87-94
04/10/26HOldenburg113-60
02/10/26HPartizan84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game90.891.689.8
Allowed / game88.691.285.2
Point differential+2.2+0.4+4.5
Avg total179.3182.8175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%0%40%
Points / game85.486.584.6
Allowed / game94.493.895.0
Point differential-9.0-7.2-10.4
Avg total179.9180.2179.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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