PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bayern vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-87
19-25 11-22 23-24 26-16
Position#15
Record13-18
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.7
Bayern
vs
Barcelona 🏆
Position#5
Record20-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32· BMW Park
European cup2023
Meetings · Bayern v Barcelona
27 Oct 2026
BAY84
BAR88
12 Nov 2025
BAY74
BAR75
22 Nov 2024
BAY100
BAR78
28 Mar 2024
BAY79
BAR87
18 Oct 2022
BAY73
BAR84
29 Apr 2022
BAY59
BAR52
27 Apr 2022
BAY66
BAR75
07 Oct 2021
BAY72
BAR80
30 Dec 2020
BAY90
BAR77
21 Mar 2019
BAY73
BAR71
20 Nov 2014
BAY77
BAR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
86-74
86
74
+12
95avg 78
H28/02
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
74-66
74
66
+8
72avg 78
H01/03
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
90avg 78
H03/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
86-109
86
109
-23
81avg 78
A07/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
no box
H10/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-58
64
58
+6
61avg 78
H15/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 78
A17/03
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
68-70
68
70
-2
61avg 78
A20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 78
H22/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
no box
A24/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
17-17
22-23
18-13
20-19
12-8
21-19
21-20
25-15
31-21
22-22
12-23
28-26
21-27
16-35
21-21
24-21
32-19
14-18
10-22
18-10
15-11
17-16
14-21
13-23
19-23
22-11
23-14
15-28
22-17
19-12
12-13
21-22
14-26
27-15
12-26
12-17
26-17
18-14
17-25
157.6Avg total
78.8Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.581.7160.2-3.142%
Season at home (15)80.380.1160.3+0.260%
Season away (16)76.983.2160.1-6.225%
Last 10 (10)78.878.8157.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)72.873.6146.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.088.8165.8-11.80%
vs Similar (12)79.380.3159.7-1.058%
vs Weaker (14)88.474.2162.6+14.293%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
85-96
85
96
-11
62avg 81
A18/02
Spanish Cup
Monaco
#3
L
67-77
67
77
-10
54avg 81
H01/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
109-68
109
68
+41
114avg 81
H03/03
ACB
Valencia
#14
W
88-78
88
78
+10
92avg 81
A07/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
96-103
96
103
-7
89avg 81
A10/03
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
94-76
94
76
+18
100avg 81
H14/03
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
L
85-88
85
88
-3
81avg 81
H17/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
74-88
74
88
-14
61avg 81
A20/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
75avg 81
A22/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 81
A24/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
26-24
18-23
22-30
21-12
14-21
16-27
16-17
21-16
29-18
29-20
30-14
18-18
19-24
22-15
29-21
19-23
23-27
28-32
26-21
29-24
22-24
23-20
20-8
23-26
24-20
25-21
13-21
11-23
14-23
32-16
17-26
23-20
23-14
15-26
20-29
28-21
17-19
25-15
23-20
171.0Avg total
87.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.679.0161.6+3.665%
Season at home (16)87.076.2163.2+10.888%
Season away (15)77.981.9159.8-3.940%
Last 10 (10)87.283.8171.0+3.440%
Last 5 (5)85.483.2168.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.084.5161.5-7.550%
vs Similar (14)80.182.5162.6-2.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.879.2173.0+14.785%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
BayernBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/02
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/03
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H03/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A07/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H10/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H15/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/03
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H22/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/03
BBL
80.2Avg total
41.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.081.1+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.938.079.9+3.971%-
Last 30 away (13)42.340.482.7+1.954%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.880.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.873.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.041.578.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (12)38.841.280.0-2.533%-
vs Weaker (14)46.436.482.8+9.993%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A18/02
Spanish Cup
Monaco
#3
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H01/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H03/03
ACB
Valencia
#14
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A07/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A10/03
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H14/03
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H17/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A20/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A22/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A24/03
ACB
83.9Avg total
42.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.483.5+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.738.784.4+6.987%-
Last 30 away (15)40.642.182.7-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.683.9+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.885.6+0.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.047.588.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (14)40.941.382.2-0.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.338.283.5+7.277%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.118.5
59.5%
53.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.2
33.2%
36.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.212.9
79.6%
77.4%12.9
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.524.3
60.0%
53.4%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.7
36.6%
36.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
77.4%11.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLLWWLLWWW
Barcelona
WLLLWLWWLL
#15
League position
#5
+5.7
Net rating
+4.7
110.2
Offensive rating
118.3
104.5
Defensive rating
113.6
54.9%
Effective FG%
58.1%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
17.6%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.2%
3-point %
36.6%
65.0%
Assist %
59.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 118.3Defence104.5 · 113.6Shooting54.9% · 58.1%3-point %33.2% · 36.6%Ball care18.8% · 17.6%Off. rebounds28.8% · 34.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Bayern   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bayern wins
8
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
20/10/23Barcelona v Bayern98-59
02/02/23Barcelona v Bayern72-70
18/10/22Bayern v Barcelona73-84
03/05/22Barcelona v Bayern81-72
29/04/22Bayern v Barcelona59-52
27/04/22Bayern v Barcelona66-75
21/04/22Barcelona v Bayern75-90
19/04/22Barcelona v Bayern77-67
01/02/22Barcelona v Bayern71-66
07/10/21Bayern v Barcelona72-80
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24AHamburg81-80 OT
22/03/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv74-89
20/03/24AValencia68-70
17/03/24AGottingen77-71
15/03/24HZalgiris Kaunas64-58
10/03/24HVechta88-90 OT
07/03/24AAnadolu Efes86-109
03/03/24HBonn90-81
01/03/24HCrvena zvezda74-66
28/02/24HGottingen86-74
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24AJoventut Badalona93-75
22/03/24APanathinaikos81-89
20/03/24AFenerbahce74-88
17/03/24HBreogan85-88
14/03/24HPartizan94-76
10/03/24ABaskonia96-103
07/03/24AValencia88-78
03/03/24HBasket Zaragoza109-68
01/03/24HMonaco67-77
18/02/24AReal Madrid85-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL42%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %42%60%25%
Points / game78.580.376.9
Allowed / game81.780.183.2
Point differential-3.1+0.2-6.2
Avg total160.2160.3160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%20%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %13%13%12%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL65%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%88%40%
Points / game82.687.077.9
Allowed / game79.076.281.9
Point differential+3.6+10.8-3.9
Avg total161.6163.2159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)80% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3125681%88.580.4+8.1
2 Panathinaikos31201165%81.577.2+4.3
3 Barcelona31201165%82.679.0+3.6
4 Monaco31201165%81.979.4+2.5
5 Olympiacos31191261%78.674.7+4.0
6 Fenerbahce31191261%84.881.2+3.6
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv32191359%87.686.6+1.0
8 Virtus Bologna31171455%80.181.9-1.8
9 Baskonia31161552%83.884.1-0.3
10 Partizan31141745%83.284.3-1.1
11 Anadolu Efes31141745%85.587.1-1.7
12 Zalgiris Kaunas32141844%80.480.3+0.1
13 Olimpia Milano32141844%77.677.8-0.2
14 Valencia32141844%76.578.5-2.0
15 Bayern31131842%78.581.7-3.1
16 Crvena zvezda31112035%81.681.5+0.1
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3172423%78.285.8-7.6
18 Alba Berlin3152616%76.385.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1911232679
Barcelona2522241687
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.