PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Varese vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 70-96
18-20 14-35 18-22 20-19
Position#12
Record4-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#2
Record9-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game68.4
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Varese v Olimpia Milano
18 Apr 2027
VAR v MIL
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
VAR61
MIL94
15 Dec 2024
VAR94
MIL92
17 Dec 2023
VAR70
MIL74
12 Feb 2023
VAR75
MIL87
10 Oct 2021
VAR79
MIL82
06 Dec 2020
VAR70
MIL96
29 Aug 2020
VAR77
MIL110
08 Mar 2020
VAR v MIL
upcoming
13 Apr 2019
VAR84
MIL94
29 Jan 2018
VAR76
MIL72
05 Feb 2017
VAR82
MIL98
24 Jan 2016
VAR64
MIL86
23 Nov 2014
VAR97
MIL105
27 Jan 2014
VAR71
MIL76
14 Apr 2013
VAR95
MIL81
07 Feb 2013
VAR92
MIL74
22 Jan 2012
VAR74
MIL64
17 Apr 2011
VAR82
MIL71
11 Oct 2009
VAR73
MIL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#10
W
102-100
102
100
+2
no box
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#11
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
no box
H27/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
88-83
88
83
+5
89avg 76
A04/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
80-90
80
90
-10
69avg 76
H11/10
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
55avg 76
A17/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
58avg 76
H24/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
82-104
82
104
-22
73avg 76
A01/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 76
A08/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
96avg 76
H15/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
77-74
77
74
+3
74avg 76
A22/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-29
17-24
32-30
20-17
17-23
16-20
26-16
22-22
29-22
14-23
19-22
26-16
29-23
15-21
20-14
16-32
18-26
15-21
16-15
18-18
23-29
16-24
21-15
13-17
18-36
14-31
26-17
24-20
21-16
18-18
18-27
21-24
20-17
28-16
23-28
27-27
14-21
20-15
25-21
18-17
171.7Avg total
83.9Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.986.4168.3-4.644%
Season at home (4)86.288.0174.2-1.850%
Season away (5)78.485.2163.6-6.840%
Last 10 (10)83.987.8171.7-3.950%
Last 5 (5)81.687.2168.8-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.893.7174.4-12.911%
vs Similar (11)82.585.7168.3-3.245%
vs Weaker (10)86.577.9164.4+8.670%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 78
H01/11
Lega A
Valencia
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
74avg 78
A06/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
87-56
87
56
+31
91avg 78
H08/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 78
A15/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
79-87
79
87
-8
65avg 78
H18/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 78
H20/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
79avg 78
H22/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
no box
A26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
75-55
75
55
+20
75avg 78
H01/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
77-80
77
80
-3
65avg 78
H03/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
22-32
19-18
22-13
18-24
26-18
17-24
20-20
23-9
21-15
28-13
15-19
20-24
23-20
30-14
16-13
23-18
21-30
16-18
19-21
21-25
31-15
21-24
25-28
21-25
23-14
27-16
15-17
18-20
28-15
13-18
11-17
19-13
23-9
22-19
11-14
22-18
20-12
18-24
17-26
159.9Avg total
84.0Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.668.4157.0+20.1100%
Season at home (5)90.467.6158.0+22.8100%
Season away (4)86.269.5155.8+16.8100%
Last 10 (10)84.075.9159.9+8.170%
Last 5 (5)84.476.8161.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)83.080.2163.2+2.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.671.6158.2+15.088%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
VareseOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#10
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A04/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/10
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H24/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
32-67
32
67
-35
A01/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H15/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A22/11
Lega A
85.0Avg total
39.5Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.543.785.2-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.342.686.9+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)39.144.683.6-5.525%-
Last 10 (10)39.545.585.0-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.444.683.0-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.651.291.8-10.711%-
vs Similar (11)39.940.780.6-0.836%-
vs Weaker (10)44.140.184.2+4.060%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H01/11
Lega A
Valencia
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A06/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H08/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A15/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H18/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H20/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H22/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H01/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/12
Euroleague
81.0Avg total
44.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.236.280.5+8.080%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.535.479.9+9.182%-
Last 30 away (13)43.837.381.2+6.577%-
Last 10 (10)44.236.881.0+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)45.233.278.4+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)38.237.876.0+0.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.435.981.4+9.584%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.3
49.8%
51.2%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.811.8
36.0%
35.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.714.0
74.9%
75.8%14.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.0
53.6%
51.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.0
39.1%
35.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.114.0
81.9%
75.8%14.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWLLLLLWWW
Olimpia Milano
LWWWWLWWLW
#12
League position
#2
-6.1
Net rating
+13.6
109.2
Offensive rating
116.6
115.3
Defensive rating
102.9
52.0%
Effective FG%
55.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
13.7%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.0%
3-point %
39.1%
60.1%
Assist %
54.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 116.6Defence115.3 · 102.9Shooting52.0% · 55.5%3-point %36.0% · 39.1%Ball care17.3% · 13.7%Off. rebounds28.9% · 26.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Varese   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
9
Olimpia Milano wins
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/20ATrento77-74
15/11/20HVirtus Roma98-88
08/11/20APesaro78-85
01/11/20ASassari82-104
24/10/20HVirtus Bologna73-85
17/10/20ACremona67-80
11/10/20HCantu80-90
04/10/20AFortitudo Bologna88-83
27/09/20HBrescia94-89 OT
13/09/20HBrescia102-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/20HPanathinaikos77-80
01/12/20HAlba Berlin75-55
26/11/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv86-85 OT
22/11/20HVenezia86-72
20/11/20HZalgiris Kaunas98-92
18/11/20HCrvena zvezda79-87
15/11/20ACantu89-71
08/11/20HBrescia87-56
06/11/20AValencia81-86
01/11/20HTrento82-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game81.986.278.4
Allowed / game86.488.085.2
Point differential-4.6-1.8-6.8
Avg total168.3174.2163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.690.486.2
Allowed / game68.467.669.5
Point differential+20.1+22.8+16.8
Avg total157.0158.0155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+89%80%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano990100%88.668.4+20.1
2 Brindisi98189%87.777.4+10.2
3 Pesaro85362%81.576.5+5.0
4 Reggiana74357%79.377.1+2.1
5 Virtus Bologna95456%83.278.9+4.3
6 Sassari95456%88.085.3+2.7
7 Venezia95456%78.277.9+0.3
8 Trento105550%78.778.5+0.2
9 Varese94544%81.986.4-4.6
10 Cantu73443%79.682.0-2.4
11 Treviso73443%82.792.0-9.3
12 Trieste52340%76.078.0-2.0
13 Cremona62433%80.787.3-6.7
14 Brescia103730%76.880.4-3.6
15 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
16 Fortitudo Bologna91811%80.788.7-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1814182070
Olimpia Milano2035221996
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.