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Olimpia Milano vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 77-80
22-18 20-12 18-24 17-26
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#16
Record3-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game84.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12
European cup2020
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos
05 Feb 2027
MIL v PAO
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
MIL96
PAO89
30 Jan 2025
MIL87
PAO75
22 Dec 2023
MIL68
PAO76
23 Feb 2023
MIL78
PAO76
14 Dec 2021
MIL75
PAO54
03 Dec 2020
MIL77
PAO80
22 Mar 2019
MIL83
PAO95
05 Apr 2018
MIL95
PAO96
21 Dec 2016
MIL72
PAO86
11 Dec 2014
MIL66
PAO64
27 Feb 2014
MIL77
PAO75
19 Jan 2012
MIL57
PAO78
18 Nov 2010
MIL71
PAO81
22 Oct 2009
MIL67
PAO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 78
A25/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 78
H01/11
Lega A
Valencia
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
74avg 78
A06/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
87-56
87
56
+31
91avg 78
H08/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 78
A15/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
79-87
79
87
-8
65avg 78
H18/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 78
H20/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
79avg 78
H22/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
no box
A26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
75-55
75
55
+20
75avg 78
H01/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
18-29
25-14
19-15
19-12
22-32
19-18
22-13
18-24
26-18
17-24
20-20
23-9
21-15
28-13
15-19
20-24
23-20
30-14
16-13
23-18
21-30
16-18
19-21
21-25
31-15
21-24
25-28
21-25
23-14
27-16
15-17
18-20
28-15
13-18
11-17
19-13
23-9
22-19
11-14
159.5Avg total
84.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.279.2161.4+3.067%
Season at home (5)83.475.4158.8+8.080%
Season away (4)80.884.0164.8-3.250%
Last 10 (10)84.575.0159.5+9.580%
Last 5 (5)84.878.2163.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)81.279.8161.0+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.071.3158.3+15.792%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
W
82-68
82
68
+14
78avg 74
H22/10
Euroleague
Larisa
#11
W
69-60
69
60
+9
73avg 74
H25/10
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 74
H06/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#5
W
96-67
96
67
+29
103avg 74
H08/11
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 74
H13/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
83-95
83
95
-12
83avg 74
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 74
A19/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
90-67
90
67
+23
85avg 74
H22/11
Basket League
Bayern
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
77avg 74
H27/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
73-97
73
97
-24
60avg 74
A01/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
15-17
25-26
20-12
13-11
18-19
20-14
18-16
24-24
18-27
16-14
25-24
23-11
28-17
26-22
19-17
22-21
18-15
14-23
23-21
21-22
20-23
25-25
17-25
23-20
16-26
19-20
14-27
23-12
21-18
21-20
25-17
18-13
26-22
16-19
23-22
17-20
13-24
21-24
22-29
160.0Avg total
80.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.184.9164.0-5.830%
Season at home (5)79.278.2157.4+1.040%
Season away (5)79.091.6170.6-12.620%
Last 10 (10)80.879.2160.0+1.650%
Last 5 (5)80.285.6165.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)81.288.3169.5-7.217%
vs Similar (4)77.083.2160.2-6.225%
vs Weaker (20)98.874.5173.2+24.390%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
Olimpia MilanoPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A25/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H01/11
Lega A
Valencia
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A06/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H08/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A15/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H18/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H20/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H22/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H01/12
Euroleague
81.8Avg total
43.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.036.280.2+7.880%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.735.880.4+8.981%-
Last 30 away (14)43.136.779.9+6.479%-
Last 10 (10)43.838.081.8+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.882.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)37.536.373.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.636.281.8+9.483%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H22/10
Euroleague
Larisa
#11
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H25/10
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H06/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#5
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H08/11
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H22/11
Basket League
Bayern
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H27/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A01/12
Euroleague
77.4Avg total
39.9Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.239.086.2+8.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.036.583.5+10.581%-
Last 30 away (14)47.541.889.3+5.750%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.577.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.079.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.241.581.7-1.333%-
vs Similar (4)36.040.076.0-4.025%-
vs Weaker (20)51.638.089.6+13.685%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.5
53.9%
52.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.7
40.9%
38.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.614.5
82.4%
79.3%14.5
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.6
54.2%
52.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.6
38.1%
38.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.113.4
74.0%
79.3%13.4
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWWLWWLWW
Panathinaikos
LWWLLLWLWW
#4
League position
#16
+17.0
Net rating
+3.6
117.7
Offensive rating
110.3
100.7
Defensive rating
106.8
56.8%
Effective FG%
55.3%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
14.2%
Turnover %
19.8%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.9%
3-point %
38.1%
57.0%
Assist %
61.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 110.3Defence100.7 · 106.8Shooting56.8% · 55.3%3-point %40.9% · 38.1%Ball care14.2% · 19.8%Off. rebounds25.4% · 30.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
7
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/20HAlba Berlin75-55
26/11/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv86-85 OT
22/11/20HVenezia86-72
20/11/20HZalgiris Kaunas98-92
18/11/20HCrvena zvezda79-87
15/11/20ACantu89-71
08/11/20HBrescia87-56
06/11/20AValencia81-86
01/11/20HTrento82-75
25/10/20AFortitudo Bologna82-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/20ALyon-Villeurbanne73-97
27/11/20HBayern83-76
22/11/20HKolossos Rhodes90-67
19/11/20ABaskonia72-93
17/11/20AValencia83-95
13/11/20HAnadolu Efes77-80
08/11/20HPAOK96-67
06/11/20HCSKA Moscow83-89
25/10/20HLarisa69-60
22/10/20HFenerbahce82-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game82.283.480.8
Allowed / game79.275.484.0
Point differential+3.0+8.0-3.2
Avg total161.4158.8164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %22%0%50%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game79.179.279.0
Allowed / game84.978.291.6
Point differential-5.8+1.0-12.6
Avg total164.0157.4170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona108280%80.970.5+10.4
2 CSKA Moscow129375%82.078.4+3.6
3 Valencia107370%82.579.7+2.8
4 Olimpia Milano96367%82.279.2+3.0
5 Zenit Petersburg96367%73.371.0+2.3
6 Bayern117464%80.077.7+2.3
7 Anadolu Efes106460%81.277.4+3.8
8 Real Madrid116555%80.778.3+2.5
9 Baskonia105550%80.875.5+5.3
10 Olympiacos105550%75.076.1-1.1
11 Zalgiris Kaunas115645%79.481.2-1.8
12 Fenerbahce125742%73.978.1-4.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv124833%79.479.3+0.1
14 Crvena zvezda124833%74.376.5-2.2
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne93633%74.677.0-2.4
16 Panathinaikos103730%79.184.9-5.8
17 Alba Berlin103730%74.583.2-8.7
18 Khimki M.102820%77.787.0-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2220181777
Panathinaikos1812242680
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