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Olimpia Milano vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 98-92
21-25 31-15 21-24 25-28
Position#4
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#11
Record5-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game79.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 10
European cup2020
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas
12 Nov 2026
MIL v ZAL
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
MIL82
ZAL86
17 Oct 2024
MIL82
ZAL85
30 Nov 2023
MIL70
ZAL83
13 Jan 2023
MIL61
ZAL66
28 Jan 2022
MIL65
ZAL58
20 Nov 2020
MIL98
ZAL92
24 Jan 2019
MIL80
ZAL70
09 Nov 2017
MIL62
ZAL94
29 Dec 2016
MIL70
ZAL78
24 Oct 2013
MIL82
ZAL75
07 Dec 2012
MIL65
ZAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
87-65
87
65
+22
78avg 79
A11/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#12
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 79
A14/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
63avg 79
H16/10
Euroleague
Virtus Roma
#16
W
93-71
93
71
+22
94avg 79
H18/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 79
A25/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 79
H01/11
Lega A
Valencia
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
74avg 79
A06/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
87-56
87
56
+31
91avg 79
H08/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 79
A15/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
79-87
79
87
-8
65avg 79
H18/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
19-24
24-9
18-20
21-18
21-18
16-27
17-23
10-19
21-23
23-13
24-15
25-16
28-14
24-17
16-24
20-13
18-29
25-14
19-15
19-12
22-32
19-18
22-13
18-24
26-18
17-24
20-20
23-9
21-15
28-13
15-19
20-24
23-20
30-14
16-13
23-18
21-30
16-18
19-21
157.1Avg total
83.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.280.2160.3+0.050%
Season at home (3)81.376.7158.0+4.767%
Season away (3)79.083.7162.7-4.733%
Last 10 (10)83.373.8157.1+9.570%
Last 5 (5)83.675.0158.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.083.0153.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)77.877.4155.2+0.460%
vs Weaker (24)87.371.8159.2+15.588%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
89-73
89
73
+16
92avg 78
H15/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
84-63
84
63
+21
81avg 78
H18/10
LKL
Valencia
#8
L
82-94
82
94
-12
73avg 78
H22/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
84-72
84
72
+12
81avg 78
A25/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A29/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
90-93
90
93
-3
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
CBet
#5
W
96-72
96
72
+24
93avg 78
A08/11
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
57-85
57
85
-28
44avg 78
A12/11
Euroleague
CBet
#5
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
no box
H15/11
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
79avg 78
H17/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
16-19
25-20
23-18
19-17
21-14
24-17
20-15
27-22
18-15
12-30
25-27
16-24
18-18
28-10
22-20
13-23
28-27
16-10
26-14
24-32
30-16
19-19
17-26
28-9
18-22
30-25
20-16
14-24
9-29
21-19
13-13
31-24
20-26
26-21
14-20
17-26
21-19
20-21
20-21
165.9Avg total
84.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.479.1157.6-0.756%
Season at home (4)84.886.8171.5-2.025%
Season away (5)73.473.0146.4+0.480%
Last 10 (10)84.681.3165.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)84.887.4172.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.580.0163.5+3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (5)76.082.6158.6-6.640%
vs Weaker (23)86.673.5160.0+13.187%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
Olimpia MilanoZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A11/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A14/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H16/10
Euroleague
Virtus Roma
#16
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H18/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A25/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H01/11
Lega A
Valencia
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A06/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H08/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A15/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H18/11
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
42.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.237.480.6+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.637.480.9+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)42.737.580.2+5.271%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.881.3+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.483.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.046.086.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.635.670.2-1.060%-
vs Weaker (24)45.137.582.5+7.675%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H15/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/10
LKL
Valencia
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A25/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A29/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H06/11
Euroleague
CBet
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A08/11
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
23-53
23
53
-30
A12/11
Euroleague
CBet
#5
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H15/11
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/11
Euroleague
83.5Avg total
41.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.180.9+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.839.181.9+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)42.837.179.9+5.762%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.283.5-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.487.8-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.540.079.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.445.084.4-5.640%-
vs Weaker (23)43.836.480.2+7.474%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.7
50.4%
52.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.8
41.0%
38.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.213.5
78.5%
79.3%13.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.8
53.1%
52.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.08.6
41.0%
38.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.513.8
83.6%
79.3%13.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWWLWWWWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWLWLWWLWW
#4
League position
#11
+13.3
Net rating
+5.4
115.2
Offensive rating
115.1
101.9
Defensive rating
109.7
54.6%
Effective FG%
56.0%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
13.4%
Turnover %
15.9%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
41.0%
3-point %
41.0%
53.6%
Assist %
66.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 115.1Defence101.9 · 109.7Shooting54.6% · 56.0%3-point %41.0% · 41.0%Ball care13.4% · 15.9%Off. rebounds26.0% · 26.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/20HCrvena zvezda79-87
15/11/20ACantu89-71
08/11/20HBrescia87-56
06/11/20AValencia81-86
01/11/20HTrento82-75
25/10/20AFortitudo Bologna82-71
18/10/20HVirtus Roma93-71
16/10/20HReal Madrid78-70
14/10/20AOlympiacos75-86
11/10/20ATrieste87-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/20HCSKA Moscow78-87
15/11/20HCBet103-100 OT
12/11/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv57-85
08/11/20ACBet96-72
06/11/20HReal Madrid90-93
29/10/20ALyon-Villeurbanne83-74
25/10/20ARytas84-72
22/10/20HValencia82-94
18/10/20HJuventus84-63
15/10/20HAnadolu Efes89-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game80.281.379.0
Allowed / game80.276.783.7
Point differential+0.0+4.7-4.7
Avg total160.3158.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL56%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%25%80%
Points / game78.484.873.4
Allowed / game79.186.873.0
Point differential-0.7-2.0+0.4
Avg total157.6171.5146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona87188%83.170.0+13.1
2 Bayern107370%80.477.2+3.2
3 CSKA Moscow107370%83.080.7+2.3
4 Zenit Petersburg64267%72.570.2+2.3
5 Olympiacos85362%76.673.9+2.8
6 Valencia85362%81.678.9+2.8
7 Anadolu Efes95456%81.978.9+3.0
8 Real Madrid95456%80.179.2+0.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%78.479.1-0.7
10 Baskonia84450%81.075.2+5.8
11 Olimpia Milano63350%80.280.2+0.0
12 Crvena zvezda94544%76.376.2+0.1
13 Fenerbahce94544%72.776.4-3.8
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv93633%78.678.7-0.1
15 Panathinaikos82625%79.484.5-5.1
16 Alba Berlin82625%73.884.6-10.9
17 Khimki M.92722%77.485.6-8.1
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne71614%70.678.9-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2131212598
Zalgiris Kaunas2515242892
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