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Basket Napoli vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 77-68
23-13 12-22 23-12 19-21
Position#7
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game80.0
ItalyLega ARound 2· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano
18 Oct 2026
NAP82
MIL98
12 Jan 2026
NAP71
MIL77
31 Mar 2025
NAP95
MIL87
08 Oct 2023
NAP77
MIL68
08 Jan 2023
NAP87
MIL81
25 Sep 2021
NAP63
MIL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
80-96
80
96
-16
73avg 71
H19/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
A26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
55avg 71
H01/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 71
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
82avg 71
H16/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
76-88
76
88
-12
64avg 71
A19/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
82-69
82
69
+13
70avg 71
H23/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
98-87
98
87
+11
95avg 71
H29/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
88-82
88
82
+6
74avg 71
A07/05
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
111-90
111
90
+21
110avg 71
A01/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
26-19
18-22
11-31
20-19
24-18
17-22
26-20
16-19
16-17
10-19
27-17
21-14
20-20
28-15
20-32
27-24
21-32
14-14
29-23
17-24
18-20
14-25
27-19
16-24
19-9
27-20
20-16
30-27
22-23
21-23
25-14
25-16
22-31
13-16
28-19
27-19
28-21
31-22
25-28
170.8Avg total
87.1Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)111.090.0201.0+21.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)111.090.0201.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.183.7170.8+3.460%
Last 5 (5)91.083.2174.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.685.6165.2-6.027%
vs Similar (15)81.382.1163.4-0.960%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
92-82
92
82
+10
84avg 77
H09/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
79-76
79
76
+3
73avg 77
H11/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
61-69
61
69
-8
50avg 77
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
no box
A16/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
78avg 77
H19/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-85
66
85
-19
56avg 77
A21/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
67-55
67
55
+12
63avg 77
H23/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 77
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
78avg 77
H01/10
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
79avg 77
A06/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
15-25
27-20
29-18
14-17
24-18
19-19
22-22
17-15
12-19
13-18
19-17
14-24
17-16
16-20
29-16
26-24
16-13
17-17
20-18
27-23
16-26
16-18
7-18
21-9
17-20
10-5
19-21
12-14
20-20
21-25
20-19
17-24
21-16
24-21
24-19
23-19
12-19
19-24
22-14
154.9Avg total
77.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.080.0166.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)86.080.0166.0+6.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.477.5154.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)74.876.6151.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.083.3156.3-10.333%
vs Similar (10)79.878.0157.8+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.272.9159.1+13.281%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
Basket NapoliOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H19/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H01/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H16/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H23/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H29/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/05
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A01/10
Lega A
86.0Avg total
44.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.079.8-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.440.381.6+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)36.641.678.2-5.025%-
Last 10 (10)44.042.086.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.887.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.142.282.3-2.147%-
vs Similar (15)37.539.877.3-2.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H09/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H11/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A16/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H19/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A21/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H23/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/10
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/10
Euroleague
74.2Avg total
36.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.776.9+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.234.275.4+7.071%-
Last 30 away (13)39.039.978.9-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)36.238.074.2-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.075.2-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.745.381.0-9.733%-
vs Similar (10)38.838.176.9+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.534.376.8+8.269%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.1
54.0%
53.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.19.8
42.4%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.416.5
73.7%
76.3%16.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.9
53.3%
53.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.7
35.5%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.614.1
80.1%
76.3%14.1
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
WWWWLLWLWL
Olimpia Milano
LWLWLWLLWW
#7
League position
#1
+3.8
Net rating
+5.3
117.6
Offensive rating
109.3
113.8
Defensive rating
104.0
57.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
13.1%
Turnover %
19.4%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
42.4%
3-point %
35.5%
50.8%
Assist %
60.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 109.3Defence113.8 · 104.0Shooting57.7% · 53.3%3-point %42.4% · 35.5%Ball care13.1% · 19.4%Off. rebounds21.6% · 29.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Napoli wins
3
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23ASassari111-90
07/05/23AVerona88-82
29/04/23HPesaro98-87
23/04/23HTortona82-69
19/04/23AOlimpia Milano76-88
16/04/23HVenezia91-93
08/04/23AVirtus Bologna89-81
01/04/23HBrescia69-72
26/03/23ATrento87-79
19/03/23HBrindisi80-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/23AFenerbahce82-85 OT
01/10/23HTreviso86-80
23/09/23HVirtus Bologna73-78
23/06/23HVirtus Bologna67-55
21/06/23AVirtus Bologna66-85
19/06/23HVirtus Bologna79-72
16/06/23AVirtus Bologna89-93 OT
14/06/23AVirtus Bologna61-69
11/06/23HVirtus Bologna79-76
09/06/23HVirtus Bologna92-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game111.0-111.0
Allowed / game90.0-90.0
Point differential+21.0-+21.0
Avg total201.0-201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential+6.0+6.0-
Avg total166.0166.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Reggiana110100%87.063.0+24.0
2 Basket Napoli110100%111.090.0+21.0
3 Venezia110100%76.060.0+16.0
4 Brescia220100%90.075.0+15.0
5 Trento110100%91.084.0+7.0
6 Olimpia Milano110100%86.080.0+6.0
7 Virtus Bologna110100%81.075.0+6.0
8 Varese110100%83.082.0+1.0
9 Pistoia1010%82.083.0-1.0
10 Pesaro1010%79.081.0-2.0
11 Scafati1010%75.081.0-6.0
12 Cremona1010%84.091.0-7.0
13 Tortona1010%60.076.0-16.0
14 Treviso2020%75.592.5-17.0
15 Sassari1010%90.0111.0-21.0
16 Brindisi1010%63.087.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli2312231977
Olimpia Milano1322122168
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