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Olimpia Milano vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 90-67
18-14 25-23 34-10 13-20
Position#1
Record20-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Position#13
Record10-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game82.5
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli
17 Jan 2027
MIL v NAP
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
MIL125
NAP97
26 Oct 2024
MIL89
NAP82
24 Mar 2024
MIL86
NAP84
18 Feb 2024
MIL72
NAP77
19 Apr 2023
MIL88
NAP76
16 Apr 2022
MIL90
NAP67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 72
A20/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
58-75
58
75
-17
48avg 72
A22/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
A24/03
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
95-77
95
77
+18
97avg 72
H26/03
Lega A
Bayern
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 72
H29/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#8
L
63-72
63
72
-9
55avg 72
H31/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
L
90-92
90
92
-2
88avg 72
A03/04
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
81-80
81
80
+1
71avg 72
A07/04
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
65-83
65
83
-18
49avg 72
A10/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
70-61
70
61
+9
57avg 72
H13/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
16-24
27-23
16-18
11-23
26-17
9-16
12-19
21-30
15-21
26-10
21-16
20-6
34-26
23-15
18-30
15-19
18-17
23-14
28-27
17-16
20-15
6-20
20-21
24-27
19-29
30-19
17-17
20-23
20-18
23-15
18-24
16-22
18-24
15-25
16-12
21-14
14-16
18-15
17-16
153.9Avg total
76.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.771.6154.3+11.280%
Season at home (13)85.867.9153.8+17.9100%
Season away (12)79.375.5154.8+3.858%
Last 10 (10)76.377.6153.9-1.350%
Last 5 (5)73.877.6151.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.582.5164.0-1.050%
vs Similar (9)66.870.7137.4-3.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)80.872.2153.0+8.683%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Trieste
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 73
H31/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
76-81
76
81
-5
68avg 73
H19/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
A06/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
no box
A09/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
74-82
74
82
-8
54avg 73
H14/03
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 73
A19/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
79-69
79
69
+10
75avg 73
H27/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
77-67
77
67
+10
74avg 73
A03/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
57avg 73
H09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 73
H13/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
28-31
12-23
21-11
21-24
18-23
16-18
21-16
17-27
15-20
22-25
21-14
11-25
19-18
34-23
22-20
22-25
13-24
18-14
21-19
19-24
16-22
20-20
22-17
18-22
21-16
25-13
15-18
17-10
20-3
15-27
25-27
11-26
18-12
26-18
13-14
20-23
14-20
25-22
23-20
159.1Avg total
79.0Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.082.5163.5-1.538%
Season at home (13)79.779.8159.5-0.246%
Season away (13)82.385.2167.5-2.931%
Last 10 (10)79.080.1159.1-1.130%
Last 5 (5)76.674.8151.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.881.7158.5-4.833%
vs Similar (22)80.381.5161.7-1.236%
vs Weaker (2)86.085.5171.5+0.550%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.8+2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.8+2.8
Olimpia MilanoBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A20/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A22/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A24/03
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H26/03
Lega A
Bayern
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#8
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H31/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A03/04
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/04
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A10/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H13/04
Lega A
78.4Avg total
38.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.474.2+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.434.173.5+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)36.438.474.8-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.478.4-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.878.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.534.572.0+3.050%-
vs Similar (9)33.836.770.4-2.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.636.476.1+3.256%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#7
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H31/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H19/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A06/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A09/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H14/03
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A19/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
37-13
37
13
+24
A03/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H13/04
Lega A
77.8Avg total
36.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.979.5-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.241.379.5-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)39.040.479.4-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)36.641.277.8-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.670.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.040.377.3-3.333%-
vs Similar (22)38.440.679.0-2.245%-
vs Weaker (2)45.545.090.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.0
50.8%
51.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.0
34.1%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.39.6
67.1%
74.7%9.6
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.8
48.4%
51.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.5
29.6%
35.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
74.7%14.7
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWLLWWWLL
Basket Napoli
LLWWLLLLLW
#1
League position
#13
-1.7
Net rating
-1.3
107.0
Offensive rating
102.0
108.7
Defensive rating
103.3
51.0%
Effective FG%
46.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.1%
3-point %
29.6%
59.6%
Assist %
60.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 102.0Defence108.7 · 103.3Shooting51.0% · 46.9%3-point %34.1% · 29.6%Ball care14.7% · 15.6%Off. rebounds28.2% · 29.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Olimpia Milano wins
0
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
25/09/21Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano63-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/22HCremona70-61
10/04/22AVirtus Bologna65-83
07/04/22ALyon-Villeurbanne81-80
03/04/22ASassari90-92
31/03/22HMonaco63-72
29/03/22HBayern84-77
26/03/22HVarese95-77
24/03/22AAnadolu Efes83-77
22/03/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv58-75
20/03/22ABrescia74-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/22HReggiana82-85
09/04/22HBrescia68-70
03/04/22ATreviso77-67
27/03/22HBrindisi79-69
19/03/22ATortona77-83
14/03/22HVarese74-82
09/03/22ACremona93-96 OT
06/03/22AVirtus Bologna75-86
19/02/22HVenezia76-81
31/01/22HTrieste89-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%100%58%
Points / game82.785.879.3
Allowed / game71.667.975.5
Point differential+11.2+17.9+3.8
Avg total154.3153.8154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%85%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeLLWLL46%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%46%31%
Points / game81.079.782.3
Allowed / game82.579.885.2
Point differential-1.5-0.2-2.9
Avg total163.5159.5167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)43% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2522388%88.278.5+9.6
2 Olimpia Milano2520580%82.771.6+11.2
3 Brescia2618869%83.877.7+6.1
4 Venezia27151256%77.777.0+0.7
5 Tortona26141254%78.979.1-0.2
6 Reggiana26131350%81.480.3+1.1
7 Sassari26131350%82.681.8+0.8
8 Trieste26121446%79.382.0-2.8
9 Pesaro26121446%80.383.5-3.2
10 Brindisi26111542%80.281.7-1.5
11 Trento26111542%77.780.2-2.5
12 Varese26111542%80.886.4-5.6
13 Treviso25101540%78.582.8-4.3
14 Basket Napoli26101638%81.082.5-1.5
15 Fortitudo Bologna2681831%81.384.1-2.8
16 Cremona2671927%78.683.1-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1825341390
Basket Napoli1423102067
← all games of the day
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