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Basket Napoli vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 98-87
30-27 22-23 21-23 25-14
Position#12
Record10-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#10
Record13-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game87.0
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Pesaro
14 Jan 2024
NAP93
PES75
29 Apr 2023
NAP98
PES87
08 May 2022
NAP84
PES85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
82-85
82
85
-3
71avg 67
A11/02
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
93-101
93
101
-8
78avg 67
H05/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
62-80
62
80
-18
49avg 67
A12/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
80-96
80
96
-16
73avg 67
H19/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
A26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
55avg 67
H01/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 67
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
82avg 67
H16/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
76-88
76
88
-12
64avg 67
A19/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
82-69
82
69
+13
70avg 67
H23/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
14-23
27-21
24-22
29-28
33-28
16-25
15-20
14-21
9-20
22-21
17-18
25-24
26-19
18-22
11-31
20-19
24-18
17-22
26-20
16-19
16-17
10-19
27-17
21-14
20-20
28-15
20-32
27-24
21-32
14-14
29-23
17-24
18-20
14-25
27-19
16-24
19-9
27-20
20-16
165.5Avg total
81.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.383.8162.1-5.536%
Season at home (14)81.181.1162.1+0.050%
Season away (14)75.686.5162.1-10.921%
Last 10 (10)81.184.4165.5-3.330%
Last 5 (5)81.480.6162.0+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.485.8165.2-6.425%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.479.6156.0-3.150%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Brescia
#1
L
57-74
57
74
-17
no box
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#9
L
70-100
70
100
-30
50avg 73
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
99-110
99
110
-11
92avg 73
A11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
88avg 73
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 73
A26/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 73
H02/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-102
70
102
-32
61avg 73
A09/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 73
H16/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
82-96
82
96
-14
75avg 73
A19/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 73
H23/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
6-22
14-15
21-23
15-15
10-26
24-27
21-32
23-34
36-28
21-26
19-22
18-22
17-15
24-22
29-20
24-32
18-13
12-23
22-20
16-20
17-24
19-20
18-20
22-19
9-31
27-30
12-22
18-15
19-16
19-22
23-33
20-27
25-16
26-26
11-27
22-21
24-19
18-23
30-20
168.7Avg total
78.5Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.487.0171.4-2.746%
Season at home (14)84.684.2168.9+0.457%
Season away (14)84.189.9173.9-5.836%
Last 10 (10)78.590.2168.7-11.720%
Last 5 (5)79.090.2169.2-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)81.889.8171.6-8.038%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.482.6168.0+2.854%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
Basket NapoliPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A11/02
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H05/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A12/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H19/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H01/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H16/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H23/04
Lega A
82.4Avg total
40.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.077.7-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.239.580.7+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)34.240.574.7-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.282.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.678.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.242.283.4-1.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.737.571.2-3.821%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#1
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#9
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A26/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H02/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A09/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A19/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H23/04
Lega A
80.4Avg total
37.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.083.2-0.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.438.980.3+2.573%-
Last 30 away (15)41.145.086.1-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.542.980.4-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.680.0-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.644.184.8-3.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.839.881.7+2.077%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.5
50.2%
51.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.6
37.9%
36.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.314.5
71.4%
76.1%14.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.4
49.3%
51.3%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.5
38.7%
36.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.812.8
76.2%
76.1%12.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
WLLWLWLLLL
Pesaro
WLLLLLWLLL
#12
League position
#10
-3.4
Net rating
-16.0
110.0
Offensive rating
107.1
113.4
Defensive rating
123.0
52.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
61.5%
12.9%
Turnover %
17.3%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.9%
3-point %
38.7%
46.4%
Assist %
57.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 107.1Defence113.4 · 123.0Shooting52.6% · 53.1%3-point %37.9% · 38.7%Ball care12.9% · 17.3%Off. rebounds21.4% · 24.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Basket Napoli wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
23/10/22Pesaro v Basket Napoli97-99 OT
08/05/22Basket Napoli v Pesaro84-85 OT
13/11/21Pesaro v Basket Napoli83-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23HTortona82-69
19/04/23AOlimpia Milano76-88
16/04/23HVenezia91-93
08/04/23AVirtus Bologna89-81
01/04/23HBrescia69-72
26/03/23ATrento87-79
19/03/23HBrindisi80-96
12/03/23AReggiana62-80
05/03/23HVarese93-101
11/02/23ATreviso82-85
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23HTrieste94-83
19/04/23ATreviso82-96
16/04/23HScafati79-86
09/04/23AOlimpia Milano70-102
02/04/23HTrento70-84
26/03/23AVirtus Bologna76-88
18/03/23HBrescia88-79
11/03/23AVarese99-110
05/03/23HBrindisi70-100
18/02/23ABrescia57-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW36%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayLLWWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %36%50%21%
Points / game78.381.175.6
Allowed / game83.881.186.5
Point differential-5.5+0.0-10.9
Avg total162.1162.1162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %11%14%7%
Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW46%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %46%57%36%
Points / game84.484.684.1
Allowed / game87.084.289.9
Point differential-2.7+0.4-5.8
Avg total171.4168.9173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2822679%84.177.2+6.9
2 Olimpia Milano2821775%83.073.2+9.9
3 Tortona28181064%80.577.8+2.7
4 Sassari28161257%84.880.6+4.2
5 Venezia28161257%82.880.1+2.7
6 Varese28161257%91.090.8+0.2
7 Brindisi28141450%83.382.2+1.1
8 Trento28141450%76.177.0-0.9
9 Brescia28131546%82.580.9+1.6
10 Pesaro28131546%84.487.0-2.7
11 Scafati28111739%78.879.7-0.9
12 Treviso28111739%81.186.2-5.1
13 Reggiana28101836%75.676.9-1.3
14 Basket Napoli28101836%78.383.8-5.5
15 Trieste28101836%78.283.9-5.7
16 Verona2891932%78.485.6-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli3022212598
Pesaro2723231487
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