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Basket Napoli vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-81 (OT)
23-18 18-19 11-21 23-17 12-6
Position#12
Record4-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#1
Record11-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game73.0
ItalyLega ARound 14
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano
18 Oct 2026
NAP82
MIL98
12 Jan 2026
NAP71
MIL77
31 Mar 2025
NAP95
MIL87
08 Oct 2023
NAP77
MIL68
08 Jan 2023
NAP87
MIL81
25 Sep 2021
NAP63
MIL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
no box
A23/10
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
H30/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
56avg 65
A06/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
84-82
84
82
+2
77avg 65
H20/11
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
68avg 65
A27/11
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
72-95
72
95
-23
62avg 65
A04/12
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
69-58
69
58
+11
68avg 65
H10/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
69-86
69
86
-17
61avg 65
A17/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
74-80
74
80
-6
61avg 65
H26/12
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
61-96
61
96
-35
49avg 65
A02/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
22-23
22-22
23-16
26-16
13-26
21-16
20-22
18-15
15-25
20-20
18-22
17-22
16-19
29-18
22-23
23-20
12-10
18-23
20-21
15-26
23-21
22-34
12-14
16-15
14-14
18-16
21-13
18-22
10-21
23-21
18-22
20-21
16-18
21-13
17-28
15-21
14-19
18-33
14-23
160.9Avg total
76.4Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.782.9158.6-7.231%
Season at home (6)78.278.5156.7-0.350%
Season away (7)73.686.7160.3-13.114%
Last 10 (10)76.484.5160.9-8.130%
Last 5 (5)69.083.0152.0-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.482.7154.1-11.30%
vs Similar (19)79.381.2160.4-1.942%
vs Weaker (1)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
L
77-90 OT
77
90
-13
no box
A08/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
81-63
81
63
+18
74avg 71
H11/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
63avg 71
H13/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
64avg 71
A15/12
Euroleague
Trento
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 71
A18/12
Lega A
Monaco
#4
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 71
H23/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
101avg 71
H26/12
Lega A
Valencia
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 71
H29/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
96-74
96
74
+22
95avg 71
A02/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
66avg 71
A06/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
20-20
17-19
13-20
21-13
22-20
25-17
13-13
21-21
19-11
19-27
12-18
26-16
17-13
14-20
14-18
16-21
12-18
19-18
28-20
24-21
10-26
17-15
28-9
36-21
21-11
25-28
14-24
29-22
21-21
21-17
19-19
19-15
21-17
25-18
31-24
15-27
23-17
6-15
22-23
156.6Avg total
80.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.573.0157.5+11.585%
Season at home (6)85.773.5159.2+12.2100%
Season away (7)83.672.6156.1+11.071%
Last 10 (10)80.276.4156.6+3.860%
Last 5 (5)85.478.0163.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.978.9145.8-12.012%
vs Similar (9)76.875.2152.0+1.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.572.1154.5+10.485%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
Basket NapoliOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A23/10
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H30/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H20/11
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A27/11
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A04/12
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H10/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A17/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H26/12
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A02/01
Lega A
74.3Avg total
34.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.640.475.9-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.140.378.5-2.233%-
Last 30 away (15)33.040.473.4-7.413%-
Last 10 (10)34.340.074.3-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.239.671.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.741.877.5-6.120%-
vs Similar (19)35.539.274.7-3.626%-
vs Weaker (1)35.049.084.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H13/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/12
Euroleague
Trento
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A18/12
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H26/12
Lega A
Valencia
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H29/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A02/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A06/01
Euroleague
77.9Avg total
41.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.577.1+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.837.177.9+3.757%-
Last 30 away (16)38.637.976.4+0.744%-
Last 10 (10)41.536.477.9+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.683.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.039.976.9-2.938%-
vs Similar (9)37.237.674.8-0.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.836.078.8+6.862%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.119.3
47.0%
51.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.0
32.1%
36.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.610.9
65.7%
76.1%10.9
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.117.6
56.6%
51.3%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.2
38.1%
36.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
76.1%14.9
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
LLLWLLWLLW
Olimpia Milano
LWWWWLWLWL
#12
League position
#1
-12.2
Net rating
+11.4
95.6
Offensive rating
114.8
107.8
Defensive rating
103.4
47.4%
Effective FG%
56.8%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
15.7%
Turnover %
18.0%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.1%
3-point %
38.1%
55.1%
Assist %
60.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 114.8Defence107.8 · 103.4Shooting47.4% · 56.8%3-point %32.1% · 38.1%Ball care15.7% · 18.0%Off. rebounds23.5% · 28.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Basket Napoli wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/23AScafati61-96
26/12/22HVerona74-80
17/12/22ASassari69-86
10/12/22HTrento69-58
04/12/22ABrescia72-95
27/11/22ATortona73-74
20/11/22HTreviso84-82
06/11/22AVenezia71-82
30/10/22HTrieste92-95 OT
23/10/22APesaro99-97 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23AOlympiacos66-82
02/01/23AVirtus Bologna96-74
29/12/22HValencia90-79
26/12/22HVarese96-84
23/12/22HMonaco79-71
18/12/22ATrento75-77
15/12/22ACrvena zvezda71-67
13/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-77
11/12/22HReggiana81-63
08/12/22APanathinaikos77-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%50%14%
Points / game75.778.273.6
Allowed / game82.978.586.7
Point differential-7.2-0.3-13.1
Avg total158.6156.7160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %15%17%14%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%100%71%
Points / game84.585.783.6
Allowed / game73.073.572.6
Point differential+11.5+12.2+11.0
Avg total157.5159.2156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1311285%84.573.0+11.5
2 Virtus Bologna1411379%85.377.3+8.0
3 Tortona1410471%82.275.9+6.3
4 Venezia148657%83.279.1+4.1
5 Pesaro148657%88.685.0+3.6
6 Varese148657%92.991.9+1.0
7 Trento148657%74.174.7-0.6
8 Brescia147750%85.283.5+1.7
9 Sassari146843%80.880.1+0.7
10 Scafati146843%77.277.2+0.0
11 Brindisi146843%79.282.9-3.7
12 Treviso145936%78.784.9-6.1
13 Trieste145936%78.685.6-7.0
14 Verona145936%78.686.9-8.2
15 Basket Napoli134931%75.782.9-7.2
16 Reggiana1431121%75.479.1-3.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Basket Napoli231811231287
Olimpia Milano18192117681
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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