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Basket Napoli vs Trento Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#11
Record3-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.1
ItalyLega ARound 22· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Trento
14 Mar 2027
NAP v TRE
upcoming
03 Nov 2026
NAP90
TRE79
25 Apr 2026
NAP84
TRE74
10 May 2025
NAP89
TRE114
21 Apr 2024
NAP93
TRE103
10 Dec 2022
NAP69
TRE58
19 Dec 2021
NAP72
TRE81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
86-82
86
82
+4
84avg 86
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 86
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
99avg 86
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#12
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 86
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
94-85
94
85
+9
98avg 86
A28/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
100avg 86
H01/11
Lega A
Trento
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
W
112-90
112
90
+22
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
18-19
21-24
25-21
25-18
13-23
23-25
21-32
29-20
24-22
20-24
20-27
19-26
22-21
26-17
25-26
24-20
23-25
24-20
23-20
19-16
25-22
30-20
25-23
24-21
13-18
28-15
25-25
22-19
15-28
27-28
27-14
24-22
35-19
20-28
33-21
34-27
11-24
20-22
25-16
182.5Avg total
94.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.286.9180.1+6.488%
Season at home (4)92.590.2182.8+2.275%
Season away (4)94.083.5177.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)94.188.4182.5+5.790%
Last 5 (5)96.485.6182.0+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.694.2171.8-16.60%
vs Similar (14)87.685.5173.1+2.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.583.6178.1+10.8100%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 75
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 75
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
L
79-90
79
90
-11
70avg 75
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
81-87
81
87
-6
69avg 75
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
W
94-92
94
92
+2
88avg 75
H27/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
62-88
62
88
-26
51avg 75
H01/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Tofas
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
no box
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
17-18
24-18
22-33
23-17
26-24
23-21
15-23
24-19
21-34
15-22
19-15
26-22
19-16
19-24
17-25
23-16
24-34
20-17
27-25
10-13
16-15
17-22
19-38
21-24
18-13
15-28
25-25
28-26
20-30
22-19
16-13
24-21
20-23
22-23
20-29
13-24
19-15
16-31
27-18
170.1Avg total
80.9Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.884.1163.9-4.438%
Season at home (4)78.588.5167.0-10.025%
Season away (4)81.079.8160.8+1.250%
Last 10 (10)80.989.2170.1-8.320%
Last 5 (5)77.690.0167.6-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)83.489.1172.6-5.731%
vs Similar (13)81.884.1165.9-2.246%
vs Weaker (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
Basket NapoliTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#12
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/11
Lega A
Trento
#27
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/11
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A11/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H15/11
Lega A
86.9Avg total
44.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.484.0+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.038.779.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)44.144.288.3-0.167%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.886.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.287.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.243.482.6-4.260%-
vs Similar (14)41.140.982.0+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.841.387.1+4.573%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H01/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A08/11
Lega A
Tofas
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H15/11
Lega A
83.2Avg total
40.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.743.784.4-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.743.281.8-4.523%-
Last 30 away (17)42.344.186.4-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.383.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.878.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.944.285.2-3.325%-
vs Similar (13)40.243.583.6-3.338%-
vs Weaker (1)45.038.083.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.5
59.1%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.5
41.7%
34.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.8
72.1%
74.6%17.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.0
48.2%
54.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.4
33.2%
34.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
74.6%15.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
WWWWWWWWLW
Trento
LLLLLWLLWL
#2
League position
#11
+8.2
Net rating
-5.3
106.6
Offensive rating
87.9
98.4
Defensive rating
93.1
60.6%
Effective FG%
48.9%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.30
41.7%
3-point %
33.2%
68.1%
Assist %
66.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 87.9Defence98.4 · 93.1Shooting60.6% · 48.9%3-point %41.7% · 33.2%Ball care15.8% · 17.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Basket Napoli wins
5
Trento wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTrieste90-89
11/11/26AChemnitz112-90
08/11/26AScafati91-89
03/11/26HTrento90-79
01/11/26HVenezia99-81
28/10/26ANeptunas94-85
25/10/26ATortona92-90
21/10/26HTofas105-101 OT
18/10/26HOlimpia Milano82-98
14/10/26ASlask Wroclaw86-82
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HVirtus Bologna75-88
10/11/26HTofas86-96
08/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-88
03/11/26ABasket Napoli79-90
01/11/26HMaxima Roma62-88
27/10/26HBuducnost94-92
24/10/26AScafati81-87
21/10/26AJL Bourg79-90
18/10/26HVarese87-85
13/10/26HChemnitz80-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game93.292.594.0
Allowed / game86.990.283.5
Point differential+6.4+2.2+10.5
Avg total180.1182.8177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game79.878.581.0
Allowed / game84.188.579.8
Point differential-4.4-10.0+1.2
Avg total163.9167.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna87188%95.484.6+10.8
2 Basket Napoli87188%93.286.9+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano86275%89.981.1+8.8
4 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
5 Maxima Roma85362%87.284.2+3.0
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Venezia85362%87.987.6+0.2
8 Trieste84450%93.888.6+5.1
9 Udine84450%79.980.6-0.8
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento83538%79.884.1-4.4
12 Tortona83538%86.591.1-4.6
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu8080%78.892.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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