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Murcia vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 88-76
18-13 20-11 23-24 27-28
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game101.0
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Baskonia
Spain
Position#8
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game79.0
SpainACBRound 2· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Murcia v Baskonia
14 Mar 2027
MUR v BAS
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
MUR89
BAS84
12 Apr 2025
MUR82
BAS91
27 Sep 2023
MUR88
BAS76
29 Jan 2023
MUR80
BAS87
24 Oct 2021
MUR80
BAS79
11 Apr 2021
MUR92
BAS87
07 Apr 2019
MUR75
BAS86
31 Dec 2017
MUR78
BAS67
22 Jan 2017
MUR71
BAS92
31 Jan 2016
MUR68
BAS66
21 Dec 2014
MUR93
BAS88
06 Apr 2014
MUR89
BAS80
05 May 2013
MUR95
BAS98
11 Dec 2011
MUR67
BAS75
11 Oct 2009
MUR66
BAS88
29 Mar 2009
MUR85
BAS94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H16/04
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 68
H19/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
74avg 68
A23/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
83-64
83
64
+19
71avg 68
H29/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
A03/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
65-60
65
60
+5
57avg 68
A07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
67-55
67
55
+12
59avg 68
H14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
57-86
57
86
-29
36avg 68
A24/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
67avg 68
H16/09
Supercopa ACB
Granada
#17
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
no box
A23/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-8
13-15
18-25
31-26
25-24
22-22
20-19
23-17
19-14
23-25
20-28
21-26
12-23
16-11
30-15
25-15
18-24
24-25
29-12
25-35
16-15
18-12
20-8
11-25
18-7
12-17
19-17
18-14
15-23
11-18
18-21
13-24
20-20
17-21
19-19
18-19
24-25
15-15
18-17
19-19
161.6Avg total
81.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)104.0101.0205.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)104.0101.0205.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.380.3161.6+1.070%
Last 5 (5)73.476.2149.6-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.589.0166.5-11.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.178.2161.3+4.867%
vs Weaker (5)87.682.8170.4+4.880%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
110-94
110
94
+16
-791avg 69
H19/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
112-93
112
93
+19
111avg 69
A23/04
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
97-76
97
76
+21
91avg 69
H30/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
no box
H07/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
86-77
86
77
+9
76avg 69
A11/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 69
H14/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
75-70
75
70
+5
68avg 69
A24/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
81avg 69
H27/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 69
A30/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
88-79
88
79
+9
89avg 69
A24/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-9
24-31
20-23
32-31
32-18
23-23
20-22
37-30
22-18
23-19
22-13
30-26
19-20
26-23
28-33
18-15
21-28
18-17
25-18
22-14
21-24
24-21
19-28
20-18
21-15
19-19
19-18
16-18
16-28
23-20
27-30
25-21
19-21
21-25
22-25
14-12
23-19
26-18
18-20
21-22
177.9Avg total
92.0Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.085.9177.9+6.170%
Last 5 (5)82.884.4167.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.086.0164.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.684.7169.2-0.144%
vs Weaker (19)94.884.2179.0+10.679%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
MurciaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H16/04
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H19/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A23/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H29/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A03/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A24/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/09
Supercopa ACB
Granada
#17
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/09
ACB
71.9Avg total
35.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.376.5-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.236.876.0+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)35.441.676.9-6.225%-
Last 10 (10)35.536.471.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)33.234.667.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.341.878.2-5.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.735.574.2+3.275%-
vs Weaker (5)35.642.277.8-6.60%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H19/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A23/04
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H30/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H27/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A30/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A24/09
ACB
87.1Avg total
45.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.286.6+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.743.792.4+5.062%-
Last 30 away (17)41.141.182.2+0.041%-
Last 10 (10)45.541.687.1+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.084.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.244.484.7-4.20%-
vs Weaker (19)47.141.488.5+5.774%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.717.4
47.4%
53.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.29.2
29.5%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.311.9
73.0%
75.6%11.9
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.719.6
59.9%
53.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.8
37.8%
34.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.2
75.5%
75.6%14.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLLWWWWLWW
Baskonia
WLLWLWWWWW
#6
League position
#8
-2.5
Net rating
+7.0
98.1
Offensive rating
121.7
100.6
Defensive rating
114.7
45.9%
Effective FG%
58.4%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
16.3%
Turnover %
14.1%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.5%
3-point %
37.8%
55.6%
Assist %
61.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 121.7Defence100.6 · 114.7Shooting45.9% · 58.4%3-point %29.5% · 37.8%Ball care16.3% · 14.1%Off. rebounds28.3% · 28.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Murcia   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murcia wins
6
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
29/01/23Murcia v Baskonia80-87
04/12/22Baskonia v Murcia102-73
13/04/22Baskonia v Murcia93-83
24/10/21Murcia v Baskonia80-79
11/04/21Murcia v Baskonia92-87 OT
04/10/20Baskonia v Murcia75-83
07/04/19Murcia v Baskonia75-86
21/10/18Baskonia v Murcia93-49
29/04/18Baskonia v Murcia87-85
31/12/17Murcia v Baskonia78-67
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23AGranada104-101 OT
16/09/23HUnicaja74-79
24/05/23ABarcelona57-86
14/05/23HBilbao67-55
07/05/23ABreogan65-60
03/05/23ATenerife111-109 OT
29/04/23HFuenlabrada83-64
23/04/23AManresa83-93
19/04/23HValencia90-82
16/04/23HBasket Zaragoza79-74
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/23ABreogan88-79
30/05/23AJoventut Badalona76-83
27/05/23HJoventut Badalona91-99
24/05/23ABasquet Girona75-70
14/05/23HBarcelona84-91
11/05/23AJoventut Badalona86-77
07/05/23HGran Canaria101-97 OT
30/04/23HBreogan97-76
23/04/23AFuenlabrada112-93
19/04/23HObradoiro CAB110-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game104.0-104.0
Allowed / game101.0-101.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total205.0-205.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
Baskonia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game88.0-88.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential+9.0-+9.0
Avg total167.0-167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid110100%101.070.0+31.0
2 Bilbao110100%95.073.0+22.0
3 Obradoiro CAB110100%84.064.0+20.0
4 Barcelona110100%95.079.0+16.0
5 Baskonia110100%88.079.0+9.0
6 Gran Canaria110100%97.092.0+5.0
7 Basquet Girona110100%89.085.0+4.0
8 Murcia110100%104.0101.0+3.0
9 Unicaja21150%95.087.5+7.5
10 Basket Zaragoza21150%85.096.5-11.5
11 Granada1010%101.0104.0-3.0
12 Valencia1010%85.089.0-4.0
13 Manresa1010%92.097.0-5.0
14 Breogan1010%79.088.0-9.0
15 Joventut Badalona1010%79.095.0-16.0
16 Palencia1010%64.084.0-20.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra1010%73.095.0-22.0
18 Tenerife1010%75.098.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1820232788
Baskonia1311242876
← all games of the day
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