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Breogan vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-88
19-23 18-26 20-18 22-21
Position#16
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Breogan
Spain
vs
Baskonia 🏆
Spain
Position#8
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SpainACBRound 1· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Breogan v Baskonia
21 May 2027
BRE v BAS
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
BRE100
BAS103
30 Mar 2025
BRE88
BAS82
24 Sep 2023
BRE79
BAS88
27 Dec 2022
BRE77
BAS86
19 Jan 2022
BRE89
BAS83
10 Mar 2019
BRE72
BAS90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
42avg 65
H01/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
96-72
96
72
+24
85avg 65
H08/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
39avg 65
A15/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
63avg 65
H20/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
67-85
67
85
-18
53avg 65
A23/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 65
A30/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
60-65
60
65
-5
44avg 65
H07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
66-83
66
83
-17
57avg 65
A10/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
64avg 65
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
68avg 65
A24/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
10-27
22-23
14-16
21-12
18-22
31-17
26-21
14-13
21-26
11-23
20-15
15-20
22-24
25-24
12-22
19-21
13-19
15-18
20-27
18-22
19-23
13-22
26-30
15-16
12-18
8-20
25-11
15-17
21-22
12-27
18-17
19-22
23-14
19-23
20-23
18-20
18-14
20-19
24-24
154.4Avg total
73.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.181.3154.4-8.220%
Last 5 (5)72.680.8153.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.885.8156.5-15.08%
vs Similar (15)81.978.1160.0+3.960%
vs Weaker (3)87.073.3160.3+13.767%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
74avg 68
A16/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
110-94
110
94
+16
-791avg 68
H19/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
112-93
112
93
+19
111avg 68
A23/04
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
97-76
97
76
+21
91avg 68
H30/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
no box
H07/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
86-77
86
77
+9
76avg 68
A11/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 68
H14/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
75-70
75
70
+5
68avg 68
A24/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
81avg 68
H27/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 68
A30/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
19-21
14-16
27-23
34-9
24-31
20-23
32-31
32-18
23-23
20-22
37-30
22-18
23-19
22-13
30-26
19-20
26-23
28-33
18-15
21-28
18-17
25-18
22-14
21-24
24-21
19-28
20-18
21-15
19-19
19-18
16-18
16-28
23-20
27-30
25-21
19-21
21-25
22-25
14-12
177.6Avg total
91.3Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.386.3177.6+5.060%
Last 5 (5)82.484.0166.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.086.0164.0-8.00%
vs Similar (9)84.684.7169.2-0.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.984.2179.2+10.779%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
BreoganBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H01/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A23/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/05
ACB
74.1Avg total
35.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.639.375.8-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.138.876.9-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)35.139.774.8-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)35.039.174.1-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.673.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.242.575.8-9.28%-
vs Similar (15)37.937.475.3+0.553%-
vs Weaker (3)43.335.779.0+7.733%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A16/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H19/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A23/04
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H30/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H27/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A30/05
ACB
86.9Avg total
44.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.186.1+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.042.990.9+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)40.641.482.0-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)44.642.386.9+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.684.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (9)40.244.484.7-4.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.641.287.7+5.474%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.221.0
47.5%
53.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.9
31.4%
34.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws15.89.6
60.8%
75.6%9.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.819.3
58.8%
53.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.9
36.1%
34.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
75.6%13.5
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLLLLLLLWL
Baskonia
LLWLWWWWWL
#16
League position
#8
-11.4
Net rating
+4.7
100.6
Offensive rating
120.1
112.0
Defensive rating
115.4
47.4%
Effective FG%
56.5%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
12.9%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.4%
3-point %
36.1%
44.4%
Assist %
61.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 120.1Defence112.0 · 115.4Shooting47.4% · 56.5%3-point %31.4% · 36.1%Ball care16.1% · 12.9%Off. rebounds33.2% · 28.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Breogan wins
5
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
30/04/23Baskonia v Breogan97-76
27/12/22Breogan v Baskonia77-86
20/03/22Baskonia v Breogan89-84
19/01/22Breogan v Baskonia89-83
10/03/19Breogan v Baskonia72-90
09/12/18Baskonia v Breogan100-78
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/23AValencia80-77
14/05/23HManresa81-82
10/05/23ABilbao66-83
07/05/23HMurcia60-65
30/04/23ABaskonia76-97
23/04/23ATenerife67-85
20/04/23HUnicaja74-90
15/04/23AGran Canaria66-77
08/04/23HReal Madrid96-72
01/04/23HJoventut Badalona65-85
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/23AJoventut Badalona76-83
27/05/23HJoventut Badalona91-99
24/05/23ABasquet Girona75-70
14/05/23HBarcelona84-91
11/05/23AJoventut Badalona86-77
07/05/23HGran Canaria101-97 OT
30/04/23HBreogan97-76
23/04/23AFuenlabrada112-93
19/04/23HObradoiro CAB110-94
16/04/23ATenerife81-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Baskonia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid110100%101.070.0+31.0
2 Unicaja110100%98.075.0+23.0
3 Obradoiro CAB110100%84.064.0+20.0
4 Gran Canaria110100%97.092.0+5.0
5 Basquet Girona110100%89.085.0+4.0
6 Murcia110100%104.0101.0+3.0
7 Granada1010%101.0104.0-3.0
8 Valencia1010%85.089.0-4.0
9 Manresa1010%92.097.0-5.0
10 Palencia1010%64.084.0-20.0
11 Tenerife1010%75.098.0-23.0
12 Basket Zaragoza1010%70.0101.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1918202279
Baskonia2326182188
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