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Baskonia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 77-79
23-19 24-24 20-19 10-17
Position#9
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Baskonia
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#1
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroleagueRound 1· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Baskonia v Real Madrid
15 Nov 2026
BAS v MAD
upcoming
27 Oct 2026
BAS86
MAD104
03 Apr 2026
BAS98
MAD96
12 Oct 2025
BAS105
MAD100
06 Jun 2025
BAS103
MAD112
06 Jan 2025
BAS82
MAD89
15 Oct 2024
BAS76
MAD72
01 May 2024
BAS98
MAD102
07 Jan 2024
BAS85
MAD99
06 Oct 2023
BAS77
MAD79
29 Dec 2022
BAS92
MAD86
23 Oct 2022
BAS88
MAD82
07 Jun 2022
BAS77
MAD85
25 Nov 2021
BAS60
MAD88
31 Oct 2021
BAS65
MAD83
14 Mar 2021
BAS74
MAD85
02 Oct 2020
BAS76
MAD63
22 Mar 2019
BAS86
MAD76
30 Dec 2018
BAS74
MAD91
19 Jun 2018
BAS85
MAD96
17 Jun 2018
BAS78
MAD83
03 Jan 2018
BAS69
MAD81
14 Nov 2017
BAS105
MAD75
18 Feb 2017
BAS99
MAD103
03 Feb 2017
BAS71
MAD79
03 Jan 2017
BAS77
MAD62
01 Apr 2016
BAS89
MAD88
20 Feb 2016
BAS80
MAD86
03 Jan 2016
BAS86
MAD80
20 May 2015
BAS94
MAD81
15 Feb 2014
BAS74
MAD90
10 Mar 2013
BAS92
MAD100
31 May 2012
BAS66
MAD76
29 May 2012
BAS82
MAD79
09 Apr 2012
BAS67
MAD66
18 Dec 2010
BAS67
MAD72
06 Jun 2010
BAS64
MAD56
30 May 2010
BAS85
MAD80
28 May 2010
BAS62
MAD60
20 Feb 2010
BAS50
MAD78
19 Dec 2009
BAS80
MAD62
06 Jun 2009
BAS89
MAD80
30 May 2009
BAS91
MAD80
01 Nov 2008
BAS91
MAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Breogan
#10
W
97-76
97
76
+21
91avg 68
H30/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
no box
H07/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
86-77
86
77
+9
76avg 68
A11/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 68
H14/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
75-70
75
70
+5
68avg 68
A24/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
81avg 68
H27/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 68
A30/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
88-79
88
79
+9
89avg 68
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
65avg 68
A27/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
92-72
92
72
+20
85avg 68
H30/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
23-19
22-13
30-26
19-20
26-23
28-33
18-15
21-28
18-17
25-18
22-14
21-24
24-21
19-28
20-18
21-15
19-19
19-18
16-18
16-28
23-20
27-30
25-21
19-21
21-25
22-25
14-12
23-19
26-18
18-20
21-22
13-18
11-20
24-23
28-27
18-20
22-11
27-16
25-25
169.8Avg total
86.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.683.2169.8+3.460%
Last 5 (5)84.684.2168.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)78.086.0164.0-8.00%
vs Similar (10)84.084.1168.1-0.140%
vs Weaker (18)95.984.5180.4+11.483%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 73
A10/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
94-73
94
73
+21
88avg 73
A12/06
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
88-97
88
97
-9
78avg 73
A16/06
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
82avg 73
A18/06
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
75avg 73
H20/06
ACB
Barcelona
#4
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 73
A16/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
88-81
88
81
+7
78avg 73
A17/09
Supercopa ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
101-70
101
70
+31
102avg 73
H24/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
89avg 73
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
86-79
86
79
+7
71avg 73
H01/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
23-16
22-11
13-30
17-17
21-18
25-14
31-24
23-28
27-19
11-16
27-34
19-20
22-25
24-23
20-18
21-20
20-18
25-29
16-26
22-25
20-15
25-19
23-21
21-17
23-14
17-25
27-25
33-18
24-13
26-19
18-20
22-26
21-16
30-25
21-21
14-13
23-20
22-17
27-29
171.1Avg total
89.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.182.0171.1+7.170%
Last 5 (5)91.879.6171.4+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)86.587.9174.4-1.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.076.4165.4+12.694%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
BaskoniaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#10
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H30/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H27/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A30/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A27/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/09
ACB
81.0Avg total
40.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.086.1+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.142.890.9+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)40.741.281.9-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.481.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.078.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (10)39.643.082.6-3.410%-
vs Weaker (18)47.441.689.0+5.872%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A10/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A12/06
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A16/06
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A18/06
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/06
ACB
Barcelona
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A16/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A17/09
Supercopa ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H24/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H01/10
ACB
81.5Avg total
44.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.283.1+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.139.982.0+2.246%-
Last 30 away (17)43.640.484.0+3.371%-
Last 10 (10)44.137.481.5+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.480.0+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)43.145.588.5-2.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.935.978.8+7.175%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.9
57.8%
53.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.7
36.1%
36.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.414.6
75.3%
77.4%14.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.322.2
59.5%
53.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.6
34.5%
36.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.617.5
77.4%
77.4%17.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLWLLWLWWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWLLLWW
#9
League position
#1
+6.1
Net rating
+8.5
116.4
Offensive rating
117.8
110.3
Defensive rating
109.4
56.2%
Effective FG%
56.4%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.9%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.1%
3-point %
34.5%
58.2%
Assist %
58.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 117.8Defence110.3 · 109.4Shooting56.2% · 56.4%3-point %36.1% · 34.5%Ball care15.4% · 14.9%Off. rebounds28.0% · 27.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Baskonia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Baskonia wins
5
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
19/03/23Real Madrid v Baskonia88-95
07/03/23Real Madrid v Baskonia81-85
29/12/22Baskonia v Real Madrid92-86
23/10/22Baskonia v Real Madrid88-82
07/06/22Baskonia v Real Madrid77-85
04/06/22Real Madrid v Baskonia83-71
02/06/22Real Madrid v Baskonia94-84
06/03/22Real Madrid v Baskonia72-80
14/01/22Real Madrid v Baskonia89-74
25/11/21Baskonia v Real Madrid60-88
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23HBilbao92-72
27/09/23AMurcia76-88
24/09/23ABreogan88-79
30/05/23AJoventut Badalona76-83
27/05/23HJoventut Badalona91-99
24/05/23ABasquet Girona75-70
14/05/23HBarcelona84-91
11/05/23AJoventut Badalona86-77
07/05/23HGran Canaria101-97 OT
30/04/23HBreogan97-76
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23HBarcelona86-79
29/09/23AManresa94-88
24/09/23HBasket Zaragoza101-70
17/09/23AUnicaja88-81
16/09/23ABarcelona90-80
20/06/23HBarcelona82-93
18/06/23ABarcelona85-86
16/06/23ABarcelona88-97
12/06/23AJoventut Badalona94-73
10/06/23AJoventut Badalona83-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda110100%94.073.0+21.0
2 Barcelona110100%91.074.0+17.0
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv110100%96.081.0+15.0
4 Bayern110100%80.068.0+12.0
5 Olympiacos110100%88.078.0+10.0
6 Fenerbahce110100%85.082.0+3.0
7 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%82.079.0+3.0
8 Olimpia Milano1010%82.085.0-3.0
9 Virtus Bologna1010%79.082.0-3.0
10 Panathinaikos1010%78.088.0-10.0
11 Alba Berlin1010%68.080.0-12.0
12 Partizan1010%81.096.0-15.0
13 Anadolu Efes1010%74.091.0-17.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne1010%73.094.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2324201077
Real Madrid1924191779
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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