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Basket Zaragoza vs Murcia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 04 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#14
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game93.0
SpainACBRound 27· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Murcia
04 Apr 2027
ZAR v MUR
upcoming
24 May 2026
ZAR90
MUR100
01 Feb 2025
ZAR79
MUR88
02 Dec 2023
ZAR82
MUR76
01 Oct 2022
ZAR64
MUR81
26 Jan 2022
ZAR91
MUR78
18 Oct 2020
ZAR98
MUR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#18
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H09/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
83-101
83
101
-18
A16/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
90-100
90
100
-10
H24/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
95-94
95
94
+1
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#2
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H04/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#17
W
92-71
92
71
+21
A10/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
109-98
109
98
+11
H18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#7
L
81-99
81
99
-18
A24/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
27-23
20-19
14-31
21-23
20-23
17-25
25-30
17-22
26-23
21-27
26-28
23-27
26-23
15-21
22-27
24-26
20-21
23-23
28-24
18-18
26-20
24-27
13-15
22-21
17-15
28-30
15-31
23-17
29-11
15-22
25-21
22-23
38-20
24-31
25-24
21-24
19-24
17-24
24-27
179.6Avg total
87.3Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.089.0178.0+0.060%
Season at home (2)95.597.5193.0-2.050%
Season away (3)84.783.3168.0+1.367%
Last 10 (10)87.392.3179.6-5.040%
Last 5 (5)89.089.0178.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.696.7179.4-14.114%
vs Similar (12)87.890.5178.3-2.742%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)90.878.2169.0+12.575%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A04/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
76-100
76
100
-24
H06/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#7
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#36
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
93-116
93
116
-23
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H27/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
21-22
24-26
23-21
17-27
19-25
25-27
15-21
16-22
17-14
19-16
25-32
18-18
28-28
24-27
30-21
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
14-25
22-33
24-28
33-30
18-17
19-23
26-18
25-23
15-16
17-17
18-27
22-20
170.1Avg total
84.4Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.093.0180.0-6.040%
Season at home (3)88.388.3176.7+0.067%
Season away (2)85.0100.0185.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)84.485.7170.1-1.350%
Last 5 (5)83.286.8170.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)88.5102.5191.0-14.025%
vs Similar (7)86.192.4178.6-6.329%
vs Weaker (19)90.079.5169.5+10.589%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
Basket ZaragozaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H09/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#17
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A10/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A24/10
ACB
86.8Avg total
45.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.285.6-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.441.285.6+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)40.744.985.6-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)45.241.686.8+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.038.685.6+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.746.487.1-5.721%-
vs Similar (12)43.741.885.4+1.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.836.080.8+8.875%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H06/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#36
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#17
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#5
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H27/10
Champions League
77.2Avg total
36.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.082.6+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.840.482.2+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)41.541.883.2-0.354%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.377.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.475.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.550.889.2-12.20%-
vs Similar (7)40.442.482.9-2.043%-
vs Weaker (19)42.838.481.2+4.474%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.2
52.5%
55.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.7%
36.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.617.3
73.3%
75.7%17.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.5
50.4%
55.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.210.7
32.2%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.417.3
77.2%
75.7%17.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
LWWLWWLLLL
Murcia
LWLWLWWLLW
#8
League position
#14
-5.3
Net rating
-1.5
96.6
Offensive rating
94.9
102.0
Defensive rating
96.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
49.4%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.7%
3-point %
32.2%
58.6%
Assist %
53.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 94.9Defence102.0 · 96.3Shooting52.9% · 49.4%3-point %35.7% · 32.2%Ball care15.6% · 14.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Basket Zaragoza wins
7
Murcia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ABarcelona81-99
18/10/26HForca Lleida109-98
10/10/26ALeyma Coruna92-71
04/10/26HValencia82-97
27/09/26ATenerife81-80
29/05/26ABreogan95-94
26/05/26HValencia86-98
24/05/26HMurcia90-100
16/05/26AManresa83-101
09/05/26HGranada74-85
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HPeristeri72-80
24/10/26HLeyma Coruna88-81
18/10/26AValencia93-116
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58
04/10/26HBarcelona100-94
27/09/26ABasquet Girona77-84
06/06/26HBarcelona76-100
04/06/26ABarcelona90-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game89.095.584.7
Allowed / game89.097.583.3
Point differential+0.0-2.0+1.3
Avg total178.0193.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game87.088.385.0
Allowed / game93.088.3100.0
Point differential-6.0+0.0-15.0
Avg total180.0176.7185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%112.889.4+23.4
2 Tenerife54180%87.677.2+10.4
3 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
4 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
5 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
6 Breogan53260%103.6100.4+3.2
7 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
8 Basket Zaragoza53260%89.089.0+0.0
9 Bilbao53260%95.295.6-0.4
10 Basquet Girona53260%93.097.4-4.4
11 Obradoiro CAB53260%88.693.2-4.6
12 San Pablo Burgos52340%89.887.0+2.8
13 Joventut Badalona52340%94.693.6+1.0
14 Murcia52340%87.093.0-6.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
16 Forca Lleida51420%91.8103.2-11.4
17 Leyma Coruna51420%89.4102.0-12.6
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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