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Murcia vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-77
22-24 16-16 23-13 21-24
Position#6
Record19-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game80.2
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#12
Record11-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game85.6
SpainACBRound 31· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Murcia v Basket Zaragoza
21 Nov 2026
MUR v ZAR
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
MUR90
ZAR84
19 Oct 2024
MUR88
ZAR74
01 May 2024
MUR82
ZAR77
16 Apr 2023
MUR79
ZAR74
14 May 2022
MUR72
ZAR77
23 May 2021
MUR91
ZAR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
60-64
60
64
-4
53avg 75
A20/03
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 75
A24/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
99-86
99
86
+13
85avg 75
H31/03
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
98-72
98
72
+26
104avg 75
H03/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
70avg 75
A06/04
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 75
A09/04
Champions League
Palencia
#18
W
90-77
90
77
+13
90avg 75
H13/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
86-97
86
97
-11
72avg 75
A20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
65avg 75
H26/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#15
W
87-84
87
84
+3
74avg 75
A28/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
16-15
20-15
7-18
16-23
15-26
27-7
24-27
21-22
29-18
26-24
23-22
27-14
17-19
27-22
27-17
21-23
17-19
20-15
24-18
25-20
22-17
17-21
21-14
19-11
20-19
22-29
29-18
22-21
18-26
28-32
18-18
26-15
14-18
15-26
19-21
27-23
17-12
19-20
24-29
163.3Avg total
84.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.380.2164.5+4.163%
Season at home (15)86.975.9162.7+11.087%
Season away (15)81.784.6166.3-2.940%
Last 10 (10)84.379.0163.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)84.482.0166.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.074.5143.5-5.550%
vs Similar (8)81.986.6168.5-4.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.476.0162.4+10.489%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
68-109
68
109
-41
54avg 74
A03/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
64-98
64
98
-34
53avg 74
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#7
L
85-111
85
111
-26
79avg 74
A09/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
86-102
86
102
-16
74avg 74
A13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Palencia
#18
W
103-96
103
96
+7
105avg 74
H17/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 74
A23/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
94-102
94
102
-8
92avg 74
A30/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
98-79
98
79
+19
97avg 74
H06/04
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
72-83
72
83
-11
60avg 74
A13/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-79
70
79
-9
57avg 74
H21/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
18-29
20-29
14-30
24-30
13-28
8-20
19-20
12-21
15-26
27-30
31-34
18-18
20-26
25-35
23-23
30-17
16-25
31-23
26-31
16-19
21-20
16-25
27-21
18-30
22-28
26-23
28-21
27-23
21-23
20-26
30-7
13-26
15-23
16-18
28-16
17-20
9-17
19-26
25-16
176.4Avg total
82.0Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.285.6167.8-3.437%
Season at home (15)87.383.7170.9+3.660%
Season away (15)77.187.5164.7-10.413%
Last 10 (10)82.094.4176.4-12.420%
Last 5 (5)82.885.6168.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.590.1169.6-10.629%
vs Similar (14)80.679.6160.2+1.143%
vs Weaker (2)95.588.0183.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -7.5-7.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -7.5-7.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
MurciaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A20/03
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A24/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H31/03
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H03/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/04
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A09/04
Champions League
Palencia
#18
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H13/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#1
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H26/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A28/04
Champions League
78.3Avg total
40.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.479.1+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.733.477.1+10.393%-
Last 30 away (16)39.940.880.8-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.778.3+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.478.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.535.066.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (8)40.242.582.8-2.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.835.178.9+8.784%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A03/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#7
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A09/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Palencia
#18
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H17/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A23/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A30/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H06/04
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A13/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H21/04
ACB
83.1Avg total
36.1Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.579.1-4.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.240.680.8-0.462%-
Last 30 away (14)34.542.677.1-8.121%-
Last 10 (10)36.147.083.1-10.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.845.881.6-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.644.279.9-8.621%-
vs Similar (14)38.238.977.1-0.757%-
vs Weaker (2)46.041.087.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.5
53.0%
53.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.7
32.8%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.818.0
75.6%
75.6%18.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.1
56.8%
53.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.6
29.7%
34.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.315.0
73.9%
75.6%15.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLLWWWWWLL
Basket Zaragoza
LLWLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#12
+6.4
Net rating
-16.3
112.8
Offensive rating
104.8
106.4
Defensive rating
121.1
51.4%
Effective FG%
52.5%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
15.7%
Turnover %
20.3%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.8%
3-point %
29.7%
60.6%
Assist %
56.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 104.8Defence106.4 · 121.1Shooting51.4% · 52.5%3-point %32.8% · 29.7%Ball care15.7% · 20.3%Off. rebounds33.8% · 29.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Murcia   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Murcia wins
4
Basket Zaragoza wins
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24APeristeri87-84
26/04/24HUnicaja74-80
20/04/24ABarcelona86-97
13/04/24HPalencia90-77
09/04/24ALudwigsburg85-72
06/04/24AJoventut Badalona82-75
03/04/24HLudwigsburg98-72
31/03/24HMoraBanc Andorra99-86
24/03/24AValencia82-83
20/03/24AHapoel Holon60-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HReal Madrid70-79
13/04/24AUnicaja72-83
06/04/24HObradoiro CAB98-79
30/03/24ABaskonia94-102
23/03/24AMoraBanc Andorra80-85
17/03/24HPalencia103-96
13/03/24AChemnitz86-102
09/03/24AGran Canaria85-111
06/03/24HChemnitz64-98
03/03/24ABarcelona68-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL63%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %63%87%40%
Points / game84.386.981.7
Allowed / game80.275.984.6
Point differential+4.1+11.0-2.9
Avg total164.5162.7166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%73%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL37%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %37%60%13%
Points / game82.287.377.1
Allowed / game85.683.787.5
Point differential-3.4+3.6-10.4
Avg total167.8170.9164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3126584%87.478.3+9.0
2 Unicaja3025583%88.377.0+11.3
3 Barcelona31211068%88.081.3+6.7
4 Gran Canaria31201165%84.781.2+3.5
5 Murcia30191163%84.380.2+4.1
6 Tenerife30191163%84.480.7+3.7
7 Valencia31191261%84.081.3+2.7
8 Manresa31181358%84.884.5+0.3
9 Baskonia31171455%87.887.8-0.0
10 Joventut Badalona31151648%81.786.2-4.5
11 Bilbao31131842%79.081.2-2.3
12 MoraBanc Andorra31121939%84.084.7-0.7
13 Basket Zaragoza30111937%82.285.6-3.4
14 Basquet Girona31112035%80.485.6-5.2
15 Breogan3192229%74.179.4-5.3
16 Granada3192229%81.186.8-5.7
17 Obradoiro CAB3182326%80.084.9-4.9
18 Palencia3152616%78.787.5-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2216232182
Basket Zaragoza2416132477
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