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Basket Zaragoza vs Murcia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 04 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:30
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record4-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game91.1
SpainACBRound 27· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Murcia
04 Apr 2027
ZAR v MUR
upcoming
24 May 2026
ZAR90
MUR100
01 Feb 2025
ZAR79
MUR88
02 Dec 2023
ZAR82
MUR76
01 Oct 2022
ZAR64
MUR81
26 Jan 2022
ZAR91
MUR78
18 Oct 2020
ZAR98
MUR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
75avg 82
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
95-94
95
94
+1
95avg 82
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
80avg 82
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
72avg 82
H04/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 82
A10/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#18
W
109-98
109
98
+11
103avg 82
H18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#4
L
81-99
81
99
-18
74avg 82
A24/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#11
W
107-78
107
78
+29
108avg 82
H31/10
ACB
Unicaja
#8
W
96-91
96
91
+5
no box
H08/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#12
L
94-99
94
99
-5
no box
A14/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
26-23
15-21
22-27
24-26
20-21
23-23
28-24
18-18
26-20
24-27
13-15
22-21
17-15
28-30
15-31
23-17
29-11
15-22
25-21
22-23
38-20
24-31
25-24
21-24
19-24
17-24
24-27
23-21
25-19
30-20
29-18
17-20
26-18
24-26
29-27
19-20
25-23
27-27
23-29
182.8Avg total
92.3Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.889.1181.9+3.662%
Season at home (4)98.591.0189.5+7.575%
Season away (4)87.087.2174.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)92.390.5182.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)97.493.0190.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.696.6180.2-13.08%
vs Similar (14)87.990.9178.7-3.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)94.079.0173.0+15.075%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Varese
#37
W
85-58
85
58
+27
89avg 82
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
77-90
77
90
-13
64avg 82
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
80avg 82
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
93-116
93
116
-23
78avg 82
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
88-81
88
81
+7
74avg 82
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 82
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#18
W
125-98
125
98
+27
117avg 82
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
98-66
98
66
+32
no box
H11/11
Champions League
Bilbao
#9
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
A15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
14-25
22-33
24-28
33-30
18-17
19-23
26-18
25-23
15-16
17-17
18-27
22-20
34-21
26-19
25-25
40-33
20-22
19-25
16-16
16-27
29-19
21-18
15-11
33-18
25-16
15-21
25-19
19-20
170.1Avg total
87.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.491.1180.5-1.850%
Season at home (4)97.590.8188.2+6.875%
Season away (4)81.291.5172.8-10.225%
Last 10 (10)87.982.2170.1+5.760%
Last 5 (5)90.082.0172.0+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.297.5182.8-12.225%
vs Similar (7)87.191.3178.4-4.143%
vs Weaker (19)91.479.8171.3+11.684%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
Basket ZaragozaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A10/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#18
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A24/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#11
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H31/10
ACB
Unicaja
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A14/11
ACB
87.4Avg total
46.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.085.7-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.740.985.6+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.185.9-4.427%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.187.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.489.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.346.887.2-6.517%-
vs Similar (14)43.741.485.1+2.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)46.237.583.8+8.875%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#37
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#18
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A08/11
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H11/11
Champions League
Bilbao
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A15/11
ACB
79.0Avg total
40.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.882.9+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.340.884.1+2.559%-
Last 30 away (13)40.640.881.4-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.079.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.883.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.548.887.2-10.20%-
vs Similar (7)41.442.684.0-1.157%-
vs Weaker (19)43.238.581.6+4.768%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.6
53.5%
55.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.1
39.1%
36.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.819.1
74.0%
76.0%19.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.4
50.8%
55.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.7
32.7%
36.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.519.0
77.6%
76.0%19.0
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
LWWLWWLWWL
Murcia
WWLWLWLWLW
#7
League position
#10
-0.9
Net rating
+1.2
101.0
Offensive rating
97.1
101.9
Defensive rating
95.9
55.6%
Effective FG%
50.0%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.1%
3-point %
32.7%
62.2%
Assist %
53.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 97.1Defence101.9 · 95.9Shooting55.6% · 50.0%3-point %39.1% · 32.7%Ball care15.4% · 14.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Basket Zaragoza wins
7
Murcia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AJoventut Badalona94-99
08/11/26HUnicaja96-91
31/10/26HBasquet Girona107-78
24/10/26ABarcelona81-99
18/10/26HForca Lleida109-98
10/10/26ALeyma Coruna92-71
04/10/26HValencia82-97
27/09/26ATenerife81-80
29/05/26ABreogan95-94
26/05/26HValencia86-98
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ABilbao84-76
11/11/26HBamberg98-66
08/11/26AReal Madrid71-90
31/10/26HForca Lleida125-98
27/10/26HPeristeri72-80
24/10/26HLeyma Coruna88-81
18/10/26AValencia93-116
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game92.898.587.0
Allowed / game89.191.087.2
Point differential+3.6+7.5-0.2
Avg total181.9189.5174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game89.497.581.2
Allowed / game91.190.891.5
Point differential-1.8+6.8-10.2
Avg total180.5188.2172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%105.285.1+20.1
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Barcelona86275%98.693.0+5.6
5 Baskonia85362%93.686.0+7.6
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
9 Bilbao84450%90.091.5-1.5
10 Murcia84450%89.491.1-1.8
11 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
12 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
13 Obradoiro CAB83538%89.498.0-8.6
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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