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Murcia vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 88-74
11-19 20-15 25-16 32-24
Position#10
Record1-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game89.7
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#12
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game95.7
SpainACBRound 4· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Murcia v Basket Zaragoza
21 Nov 2026
MUR v ZAR
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
MUR90
ZAR84
19 Oct 2024
MUR88
ZAR74
01 May 2024
MUR82
ZAR77
16 Apr 2023
MUR79
ZAR74
14 May 2022
MUR72
ZAR77
23 May 2021
MUR91
ZAR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 75
A05/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
59avg 75
A08/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 75
A10/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
55avg 75
H12/06
ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 75
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 75
A28/09
ACB
Manisa
#25
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
91avg 75
H01/10
Champions League
Bilbao
#15
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
74avg 75
H05/10
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 75
A08/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
85avg 75
A12/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
17-7
24-20
24-18
13-18
20-19
15-27
28-20
15-18
15-22
22-17
11-22
19-17
21-15
16-34
17-18
21-20
16-17
24-23
17-24
16-28
27-22
18-17
15-24
21-22
21-22
24-19
19-22
22-16
20-22
13-23
22-16
24-22
18-13
16-20
23-21
20-20
24-20
17-20
23-24
165.3Avg total
80.4Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.789.7175.3-4.033%
Season at home (1)89.083.0172.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)84.093.0177.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)80.484.9165.3-4.530%
Last 5 (5)87.089.6176.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.381.9159.2-4.633%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.586.8171.3-2.436%
vs Weaker (9)85.677.4163.0+8.189%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-79
70
79
-9
57avg 77
H21/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
82avg 77
A01/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
90-80
90
80
+10
87avg 77
H05/05
ACB
Granada
#17
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 77
H10/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 77
A12/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
101-91 OT
101
91
+10
91avg 77
H29/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
80avg 77
A06/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#18
W
106-84
106
84
+22
112avg 77
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
88avg 77
H13/10
ACB
Levice
#8
L
80-96
80
96
-16
74avg 77
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
9-17
19-26
25-16
24-22
16-16
13-23
24-21
28-13
14-17
16-23
32-27
21-19
25-21
16-25
15-19
23-11
17-21
20-35
29-12
21-19
17-20
27-30
22-18
20-23
26-24
23-28
26-26
26-25
26-13
28-19
26-27
25-23
19-10
19-26
22-26
21-24
10-25
15-25
34-22
175.2Avg total
88.1Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.395.7193.0+1.767%
Season at home (2)98.593.0191.5+5.5100%
Season away (1)95.0101.0196.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)88.187.1175.2+1.050%
Last 5 (5)95.693.4189.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.893.3171.1-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)86.282.9169.1+3.261%
vs Weaker (1)103.096.0199.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
MurciaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A05/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A10/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/06
ACB
Unicaja
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A28/09
ACB
Manisa
#25
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/10
Champions League
Bilbao
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H05/10
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A08/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A12/10
ACB
76.9Avg total
38.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.679.5+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.537.677.1+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)40.241.281.4-1.041%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.576.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.484.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.840.376.1-4.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.342.584.8-0.355%-
vs Weaker (9)41.335.777.0+5.767%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H21/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H05/05
ACB
Granada
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H10/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A12/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H29/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A06/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#18
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H13/10
ACB
Levice
#8
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
78.8Avg total
40.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.379.6-2.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.739.179.8+1.669%-
Last 30 away (14)35.743.779.4-8.021%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.378.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.283.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.644.880.5-9.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.639.178.7+0.661%-
vs Weaker (1)46.042.088.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.5
45.7%
54.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.6
36.0%
35.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.315.4
72.3%
76.4%15.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.8
52.8%
54.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.0
36.3%
35.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.916.9
73.8%
76.4%16.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWWLLLLLLW
Basket Zaragoza
LWWLWWLWLL
#10
League position
#12
-6.5
Net rating
+2.0
104.6
Offensive rating
111.6
111.1
Defensive rating
109.6
49.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.7%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.0%
3-point %
36.3%
59.4%
Assist %
59.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 111.6Defence111.1 · 109.6Shooting49.1% · 53.4%3-point %36.0% · 36.3%Ball care16.6% · 19.7%Off. rebounds29.7% · 36.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murcia wins
4
Basket Zaragoza wins
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ABaskonia92-95 OT
08/10/24APeristeri81-76
05/10/24HBilbao89-83 OT
01/10/24HManisa97-103 OT
28/09/24AJoventut Badalona76-91
21/09/24HUnicaja78-84
12/06/24HReal Madrid73-84
10/06/24AReal Madrid63-79
08/06/24AReal Madrid76-84
05/06/24AUnicaja79-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24ALevice80-96
13/10/24HJoventut Badalona96-95 OT
09/10/24HBursaspor106-84
06/10/24AReal Madrid95-101
29/09/24HForca Lleida101-91 OT
12/05/24ABasquet Girona89-79
10/05/24HGranada77-84
05/05/24HManresa90-80
01/05/24AMurcia77-82
21/04/24HReal Madrid70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game85.789.084.0
Allowed / game89.783.093.0
Point differential-4.0+6.0-9.0
Avg total175.3172.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %67%100%50%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game97.398.595.0
Allowed / game95.793.0101.0
Point differential+1.7+5.5-6.0
Avg total193.0191.5196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %67%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja440100%91.271.8+19.5
2 Barcelona330100%88.076.7+11.3
3 Valencia32167%81.370.7+10.7
4 Manresa32167%78.771.7+7.0
5 Bilbao32167%85.380.0+5.3
6 MoraBanc Andorra32167%92.789.7+3.0
7 Gran Canaria32167%76.374.0+2.3
8 Basket Zaragoza32167%97.395.7+1.7
9 Tenerife21150%89.587.5+2.0
10 Real Madrid31233%88.388.0+0.3
11 Baskonia31233%88.791.7-3.0
12 Granada31233%71.775.7-4.0
13 Murcia31233%85.789.7-4.0
14 Breogan31233%74.382.3-8.0
15 Basquet Girona31233%69.784.0-14.3
16 Joventut Badalona41325%79.083.0-4.0
17 Leyma Coruna41325%82.091.8-9.8
18 Forca Lleida3030%76.093.3-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1120253288
Basket Zaragoza1915162474
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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