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Basket Zaragoza vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-76
19-17 15-21 26-13 22-25
Position#12
Record3-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#6
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game78.6
SpainACBRound 12· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Murcia
04 Apr 2027
ZAR v MUR
upcoming
24 May 2026
ZAR90
MUR100
01 Feb 2025
ZAR79
MUR88
02 Dec 2023
ZAR82
MUR76
01 Oct 2022
ZAR64
MUR81
26 Jan 2022
ZAR91
MUR78
18 Oct 2020
ZAR98
MUR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#37
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
77avg 74
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
70-78
70
78
-8
58avg 74
A22/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
113-83
113
83
+30
117avg 74
H28/10
ACB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
W
78-72
78
72
+6
82avg 74
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#13
W
77-63
77
63
+14
73avg 74
H04/11
ACB
Brindisi
#37
W
91-72
91
72
+19
93avg 74
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
59avg 74
A12/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
94-101
94
101
-7
90avg 74
H18/11
ACB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 74
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
L
77-82
77
82
-5
66avg 74
A26/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
17-12
14-15
20-27
21-26
11-14
16-19
22-19
26-14
29-18
36-29
22-22
14-24
18-15
20-21
26-12
10-17
15-20
23-16
29-10
25-18
19-12
27-27
20-15
23-22
20-15
15-25
11-14
23-27
19-20
31-28
21-26
18-18
30-16
15-18
8-26
23-16
17-18
17-18
20-30
162.3Avg total
83.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.583.8165.4-2.327%
Season at home (5)92.884.8177.6+8.060%
Season away (6)72.283.0155.2-10.80%
Last 10 (10)83.179.2162.3+3.950%
Last 5 (5)80.481.8162.2-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.186.6166.7-6.433%
vs Similar (16)80.879.4160.2+1.438%
vs Weaker (5)85.076.6161.6+8.480%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Tortona
#8
L
74-78
74
78
-4
60avg 71
A18/10
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
W
95-69
95
69
+26
70avg 71
H21/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
63avg 71
A28/10
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
72-47
72
47
+25
70avg 71
H01/11
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 71
H05/11
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
76-66
76
66
+10
68avg 71
A11/11
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
115-89
115
89
+26
113avg 71
H14/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#3
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 71
H19/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
105-73
105
73
+32
103avg 71
H25/11
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
79-63
79
63
+16
73avg 71
A28/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
17-19
16-14
16-23
20-19
27-19
22-25
26-6
11-15
17-23
28-11
20-33
19-11
16-8
23-19
14-9
23-16
22-22
31-24
11-12
21-20
19-18
19-18
17-10
31-21
23-23
31-22
30-23
23-20
12-18
23-24
24-11
29-20
24-15
30-15
22-23
17-21
33-11
16-17
13-14
157.5Avg total
86.1Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.678.6165.3+8.073%
Season at home (6)89.572.2161.7+17.3100%
Season away (5)83.286.4169.6-3.240%
Last 10 (10)86.171.4157.5+14.780%
Last 5 (5)91.472.8164.2+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.296.0176.2-15.820%
vs Similar (13)82.273.2155.3+9.085%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.575.3158.8+8.364%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
Basket ZaragozaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#37
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H28/10
ACB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#13
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H04/11
ACB
Brindisi
#37
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H18/11
ACB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/11
ACB
77.7Avg total
40.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.976.3+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.837.176.9+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)36.938.775.7-1.853%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.977.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.479.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.740.680.2-0.956%-
vs Similar (16)36.236.272.4-0.150%-
vs Weaker (5)43.038.481.4+4.680%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/10
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H21/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A28/10
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H01/11
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H05/11
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/11
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H14/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H19/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/11
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A28/11
Champions League
79.0Avg total
42.9Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.437.274.6+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.174.8+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)35.139.274.3-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)42.936.179.0+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.483.8+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.443.477.8-9.00%-
vs Similar (13)37.534.471.8+3.177%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.737.376.0+1.555%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.2
53.5%
53.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.6
35.2%
34.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.015.6
70.9%
75.6%15.6
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.225.6
57.9%
53.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.7
30.7%
34.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.911.2
75.2%
75.6%11.2
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
LLLLWWWWLW
Murcia
WWWWWWWLWL
#12
League position
#6
+5.4
Net rating
+20.0
106.9
Offensive rating
113.3
101.5
Defensive rating
93.3
53.2%
Effective FG%
53.6%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.2%
3-point %
30.7%
60.1%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 113.3Defence101.5 · 93.3Shooting53.2% · 53.6%3-point %35.2% · 30.7%Ball care19.0% · 15.8%Off. rebounds29.4% · 34.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Basket Zaragoza wins
3
Murcia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23ABreogan77-82
21/11/23HBC Kalev/Cramo71-78
18/11/23HGran Canaria94-101
12/11/23AValencia69-76
08/11/23HBrindisi91-72
04/11/23HBilbao77-63
01/11/23ABC Kalev/Cramo78-72
28/10/23HJoventut Badalona113-83
22/10/23AGranada70-78
18/10/23ABrindisi91-87 OT
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/23AIgokea79-63
25/11/23HJoventut Badalona105-73
19/11/23HBarcelona82-73
14/11/23HTofas115-89
11/11/23APalencia76-66
05/11/23HManresa87-74
01/11/23HIgokea72-47
28/10/23ABasquet Girona76-82
21/10/23HGran Canaria95-69
18/10/23ATortona74-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL27%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%60%0%
Points / game81.592.872.2
Allowed / game83.884.883.0
Point differential-2.3+8.0-10.8
Avg total165.4177.6155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%100%40%
Points / game86.689.583.2
Allowed / game78.672.286.4
Point differential+8.0+17.3-3.2
Avg total165.3161.7169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%83%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1110191%91.080.2+10.8
2 Unicaja118373%87.578.7+8.8
3 Murcia118373%86.678.6+8.0
4 Barcelona118373%86.578.8+7.7
5 Valencia118373%80.876.8+4.0
6 Tenerife116555%82.481.3+1.1
7 Manresa116555%85.284.8+0.4
8 Baskonia116555%84.684.9-0.3
9 Basquet Girona116555%82.184.5-2.4
10 Gran Canaria116555%81.985.0-3.1
11 Joventut Badalona115645%81.689.4-7.7
12 Obradoiro CAB114736%80.882.6-1.8
13 MoraBanc Andorra114736%80.482.5-2.1
14 Bilbao114736%78.181.8-3.7
15 Basket Zaragoza113827%81.583.8-2.3
16 Granada113827%85.888.5-2.6
17 Breogan113827%74.179.1-5.0
18 Palencia111109%73.983.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza1915262282
Murcia1721132576
← all games of the day
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