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Basket Zaragoza vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 103-96
30-17 16-25 31-23 26-31
Position#12
Record9-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game85.2
Basket Zaragoza 🏆
Spain
vs
Palencia
Spain
Position#18
Record5-19
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game86.6
SpainACBRound 25· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Domestic2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#10
L
64-70
64
70
-6
52avg 74
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
77avg 74
A27/01
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
101-90
101
90
+11
95avg 74
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
W
63-61
63
61
+2
49avg 74
H03/02
ACB
Manisa
#13
W
88-71
88
71
+17
83avg 74
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#5
L
100-106
100
106
-6
96avg 74
H10/02
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
68-109
68
109
-41
54avg 74
A03/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
64-98
64
98
-34
53avg 74
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#7
L
85-111
85
111
-26
79avg 74
A09/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
86-102
86
102
-16
74avg 74
A13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
16-18
10-19
21-17
19-25
13-20
25-16
26-25
30-19
20-30
22-14
29-27
11-17
20-11
16-12
16-21
23-19
22-18
20-22
23-12
18-24
26-29
29-25
27-28
16-21
18-29
20-29
14-30
24-30
13-28
8-20
19-20
12-21
15-26
27-30
31-34
18-18
20-26
25-35
23-23
170.6Avg total
80.2Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.285.2166.4-4.038%
Season at home (12)86.583.4169.9+3.158%
Season away (12)75.986.9162.8-11.017%
Last 10 (10)80.290.4170.6-10.230%
Last 5 (5)80.6105.2185.8-24.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.090.5170.5-10.531%
vs Similar (15)79.776.3155.9+3.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)89.576.0165.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
80-88
80
88
-8
67avg 72
H17/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
129avg 72
H30/12
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 72
H06/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
86-84
86
84
+2
83avg 72
A13/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
83avg 72
H20/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
94-102
94
102
-8
89avg 72
A28/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
77-89
77
89
-12
50avg 72
A03/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
83avg 72
H10/02
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
93-111
93
111
-18
87avg 72
A03/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
65avg 72
H10/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
22-26
21-20
19-22
24-12
18-19
13-21
23-20
21-21
10-20
18-30
23-15
17-21
17-23
24-19
28-21
17-17
24-22
25-22
22-34
16-29
27-23
25-18
26-32
24-19
16-19
17-25
20-26
20-20
25-12
21-11
16-15
25-25
31-28
20-27
17-31
18-8
22-20
22-23
15-19
168.2Avg total
82.7Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.386.6165.0-8.321%
Season at home (12)76.878.7155.5-1.833%
Season away (12)79.894.6174.4-14.88%
Last 10 (10)82.785.5168.2-2.840%
Last 5 (5)84.686.0170.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.386.4164.7-8.221%
vs Similar (6)81.386.7168.0-5.333%
vs Weaker (5)86.266.2152.4+20.0100%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
Basket ZaragozaPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#13
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A27/01
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H03/02
ACB
Manisa
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#5
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H10/02
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A03/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#7
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A09/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
81.6Avg total
37.1Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.777.4-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.439.079.4+1.462%-
Last 30 away (14)34.640.475.1-5.829%-
Last 10 (10)37.144.581.6-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.050.486.4-14.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.543.881.4-6.331%-
vs Similar (15)36.936.773.6+0.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)45.035.080.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H17/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H30/12
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H06/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A13/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H20/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A28/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A03/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H10/02
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A03/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H10/03
ACB
81.6Avg total
41.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.979.4-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.635.976.5+4.865%-
Last 30 away (13)38.045.283.2-7.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.481.6+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.685.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.142.281.3-3.137%-
vs Similar (6)38.342.080.3-3.750%-
vs Weaker (5)42.429.071.4+13.4100%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.5
51.7%
53.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.5
34.1%
34.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.713.7
73.3%
75.6%13.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.8
51.7%
53.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.9
36.0%
34.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.015.8
75.2%
75.6%15.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
LLLLLWWWLL
Palencia
WLWLLLWLWL
#12
League position
#18
-13.6
Net rating
-2.9
105.2
Offensive rating
108.6
118.8
Defensive rating
111.5
51.5%
Effective FG%
52.6%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
18.0%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.1%
3-point %
36.0%
52.4%
Assist %
59.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 108.6Defence118.8 · 111.5Shooting51.5% · 52.6%3-point %34.1% · 36.0%Ball care19.0% · 18.0%Off. rebounds30.8% · 29.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
0
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23Palencia v Basket Zaragoza80-88
Basket Zaragozalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24AChemnitz86-102
09/03/24AGran Canaria85-111
06/03/24HChemnitz64-98
03/03/24ABarcelona68-109
10/02/24HTenerife100-106
07/02/24HManisa88-71
03/02/24HBreogan63-61
31/01/24HGravelines-Dunkerque101-90
27/01/24ABilbao83-86
24/01/24ANymburk64-70
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HMoraBanc Andorra77-70
03/03/24AValencia93-111
10/02/24HGran Canaria82-58
03/02/24AJoventut Badalona77-89
28/01/24ABarcelona94-102
20/01/24HManresa88-95
13/01/24ABasquet Girona86-84
06/01/24HUnicaja72-86
30/12/23HBilbao78-72
17/12/23HBasket Zaragoza80-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeLWLWL58%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%58%17%
Points / game81.286.575.9
Allowed / game85.283.486.9
Point differential-4.0+3.1-11.0
Avg total166.4169.9162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW21%
HomeWLLWW33%
AwayLWLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%33%8%
Points / game78.376.879.8
Allowed / game86.678.794.6
Point differential-8.3-1.8-14.8
Avg total165.0155.5174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2421388%88.877.9+10.9
2 Unicaja2420483%87.576.7+10.9
3 Barcelona2516964%87.680.5+7.1
4 Murcia2516964%83.679.6+4.0
5 Gran Canaria2516964%84.581.2+3.3
6 Valencia2415962%82.079.8+2.2
7 Tenerife25151060%84.180.8+3.3
8 Manresa25141156%84.183.9+0.2
9 Baskonia25141156%86.886.9-0.1
10 Joventut Badalona25141156%81.385.1-3.8
11 Bilbao25101540%79.281.7-2.4
12 Basket Zaragoza2491538%81.285.2-4.0
13 Basquet Girona2491538%80.585.5-5.0
14 MoraBanc Andorra2581732%81.984.2-2.3
15 Granada2571828%81.987.0-5.1
16 Breogan2571828%74.279.8-5.6
17 Obradoiro CAB2561924%80.285.2-5.0
18 Palencia2451921%78.386.6-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza30163126103
Palencia1725233196
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