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Basket Zaragoza vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 64-98
24-30 13-28 8-20 19-20
Position#11
Record9-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#2
Record11-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game72.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals· Pabellon Principe Felipe
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Manisa
#13
W
68-65
68
65
+3
64avg 74
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
84-95
84
95
-11
71avg 74
A13/01
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
72avg 74
H21/01
ACB
Nymburk
#10
L
64-70
64
70
-6
52avg 74
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
77avg 74
A27/01
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
101-90
101
90
+11
95avg 74
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
W
63-61
63
61
+2
49avg 74
H03/02
ACB
Manisa
#13
W
88-71
88
71
+17
83avg 74
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#5
L
100-106
100
106
-6
96avg 74
H10/02
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
68-109
68
109
-41
54avg 74
A03/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
14-9
17-22
15-13
17-24
21-26
17-17
29-28
20-13
19-23
20-22
16-27
17-16
16-18
10-19
21-17
19-25
13-20
25-16
26-25
30-19
20-30
22-14
29-27
11-17
20-11
16-12
16-21
23-19
22-18
20-22
23-12
18-24
26-29
29-25
27-28
16-21
18-29
20-29
14-30
163.2Avg total
79.4Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.575.6157.1+5.975%
Season at home (6)87.879.7167.5+8.283%
Season away (6)75.271.5146.7+3.767%
Last 10 (10)79.483.8163.2-4.440%
Last 5 (5)84.087.4171.4-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.586.5167.0-6.040%
vs Similar (17)79.277.0156.2+2.247%
vs Weaker (3)90.079.7169.7+10.3100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 81
A12/01
BBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
94avg 81
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 81
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
67avg 81
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
99-77
99
77
+22
76avg 81
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
94-90
94
90
+4
90avg 81
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
78-57
78
57
+21
70avg 81
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 81
H10/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
72avg 81
A13/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 81
H02/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
20-21
20-10
27-28
23-18
28-22
19-23
19-26
25-23
19-15
16-25
13-23
21-25
16-20
20-18
21-27
21-20
28-19
29-7
21-31
23-26
26-18
19-19
26-27
16-15
25-16
21-11
16-15
20-21
24-22
15-11
28-15
21-22
32-17
19-23
8-27
26-13
23-18
14-20
20-31
167.3Avg total
85.8Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.072.5163.5+18.592%
Season at home (6)95.274.7169.8+20.5100%
Season away (6)86.870.3157.2+16.583%
Last 10 (10)85.881.5167.3+4.370%
Last 5 (5)84.477.4161.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)81.487.6169.0-6.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)88.872.8161.6+16.092%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.1-5.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.1-5.1
Basket ZaragozaChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manisa
#13
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/01
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/01
ACB
Nymburk
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#13
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A27/01
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H03/02
ACB
Manisa
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#5
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H10/02
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A03/03
ACB
79.4Avg total
38.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.576.6-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.278.4+2.162%-
Last 30 away (14)35.638.874.4-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.279.4-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.484.2-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.642.180.7-3.540%-
vs Similar (17)36.536.773.2-0.253%-
vs Weaker (3)45.736.382.0+9.3100%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/01
BBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H10/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A13/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H02/03
BBL
84.4Avg total
45.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.836.480.2+7.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.335.981.2+9.387%-
Last 30 away (15)42.436.879.2+5.660%-
Last 10 (10)45.538.984.4+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)47.237.684.8+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)46.041.687.6+4.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)43.435.378.7+8.176%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.0
50.7%
52.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.4
32.9%
33.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.514.2
76.8%
73.0%14.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.322.6
59.0%
52.2%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.9
32.5%
33.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.612.9
69.4%
73.0%12.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
LLWWWLLLLW
Chemnitz
WLWWWWLLWW
#11
League position
#2
-5.9
Net rating
+5.6
105.2
Offensive rating
110.9
111.1
Defensive rating
105.3
50.2%
Effective FG%
54.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
17.9%
Turnover %
19.5%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.9%
3-point %
32.5%
53.9%
Assist %
63.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 110.9Defence111.1 · 105.3Shooting50.2% · 54.7%3-point %32.9% · 32.5%Ball care17.9% · 19.5%Off. rebounds30.8% · 33.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Basket Zaragoza wins
0
Chemnitz wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ABarcelona68-109
10/02/24HTenerife100-106
07/02/24HManisa88-71
03/02/24HBreogan63-61
31/01/24HGravelines-Dunkerque101-90
27/01/24ABilbao83-86
24/01/24ANymburk64-70
21/01/24HValencia75-85
13/01/24AJoventut Badalona84-95
10/01/24AManisa68-65
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HUlm83-82
13/02/24ABayern80-89
10/02/24HOldenburg87-69
07/02/24HLeiden78-57
03/02/24ARostock94-90
27/01/24AHeidelberg99-77
24/01/24AVarese78-90
21/01/24HBayern73-86
17/01/24HCSM Oradea101-98 OT
12/01/24ABonn85-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game81.587.875.2
Allowed / game75.679.771.5
Point differential+5.9+8.2+3.7
Avg total157.1167.5146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game91.095.286.8
Allowed / game72.574.770.3
Point differential+18.5+20.5+16.5
Avg total163.5169.8157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%83%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Chemnitz1211192%91.072.5+18.5
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1211192%92.976.7+16.2
4 Bilbao1311285%82.570.8+11.8
5 Legia1310377%87.878.4+9.4
6 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
7 Basket Zaragoza129375%81.575.6+5.9
8 Nymburk139469%81.372.8+8.5
9 Varese139469%92.186.2+5.8
10 Gottingen128467%86.380.2+6.1
11 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
12 FC Porto149564%84.177.5+6.6
13 Manisa148657%75.475.2+0.2
14 Leiden116555%67.269.7-2.5
15 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque105550%73.670.8+2.8
17 CSM Oradea126650%88.686.7+1.9
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
29 Sporting CP104640%86.388.0-1.7
30 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
31 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
32 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
33 Jonava124833%83.893.3-9.5
34 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
35 Balkan103730%73.985.8-11.9
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza241381964
Chemnitz3028202098
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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