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Chemnitz vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 102-86
18-18 26-20 35-25 23-23
Position#2
Record12-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#11
Record9-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals· Messe Chemnitz
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 81
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
67avg 81
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
99-77
99
77
+22
76avg 81
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
94-90
94
90
+4
90avg 81
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
78-57
78
57
+21
70avg 81
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 81
H10/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
72avg 81
A13/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 81
H02/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 81
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
97-82
97
82
+15
84avg 81
A09/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
19-15
16-25
13-23
21-25
16-20
20-18
21-27
21-20
28-19
29-7
21-31
23-26
26-18
19-19
26-27
16-15
25-16
21-11
16-15
20-21
24-22
15-11
28-15
21-22
32-17
19-23
8-27
26-13
23-18
14-20
20-31
30-24
28-13
20-8
20-19
20-14
22-25
26-19
29-24
165.3Avg total
86.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.571.8163.4+19.792%
Season at home (6)95.274.7169.8+20.5100%
Season away (7)88.469.4157.9+19.086%
Last 10 (10)86.778.6165.3+8.170%
Last 5 (5)89.077.2166.2+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)81.487.6169.0-6.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)90.373.4163.7+16.892%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
72avg 74
H21/01
ACB
Nymburk
#10
L
64-70
64
70
-6
52avg 74
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
77avg 74
A27/01
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
101-90
101
90
+11
95avg 74
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
W
63-61
63
61
+2
49avg 74
H03/02
ACB
Manisa
#13
W
88-71
88
71
+17
83avg 74
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#5
L
100-106
100
106
-6
96avg 74
H10/02
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
68-109
68
109
-41
54avg 74
A03/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
64-98
64
98
-34
53avg 74
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#7
L
85-111
85
111
-26
79avg 74
A09/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
19-23
20-22
16-27
17-16
16-18
10-19
21-17
19-25
13-20
25-16
26-25
30-19
20-30
22-14
29-27
11-17
20-11
16-12
16-21
23-19
22-18
20-22
23-12
18-24
26-29
29-25
27-28
16-21
18-29
20-29
14-30
24-30
13-28
8-20
19-20
12-21
15-26
27-30
31-34
167.8Avg total
79.1Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.277.3157.5+2.869%
Season at home (7)84.482.3166.7+2.171%
Season away (6)75.271.5146.7+3.767%
Last 10 (10)79.188.7167.8-9.630%
Last 5 (5)81.099.0180.0-18.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.589.5169.0-10.033%
vs Similar (15)79.776.3155.9+3.453%
vs Weaker (3)90.079.7169.7+10.3100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
ChemnitzBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H10/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A13/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H02/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/03
BBL
85.2Avg total
46.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.036.881.8+8.277%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.336.182.4+10.193%-
Last 30 away (16)43.937.481.3+6.462%-
Last 10 (10)46.638.685.2+8.090%-
Last 5 (5)49.237.887.0+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)46.041.687.6+4.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.835.980.7+8.980%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/01
ACB
Nymburk
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#13
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A27/01
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H03/02
ACB
Manisa
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#5
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H10/02
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A03/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#7
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A09/03
ACB
80.9Avg total
37.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.577.5-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.439.079.4+1.462%-
Last 30 away (14)35.340.175.4-4.836%-
Last 10 (10)37.243.780.9-6.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.449.086.4-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.543.881.3-6.333%-
vs Similar (15)36.936.773.6+0.353%-
vs Weaker (3)45.736.382.0+9.3100%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.3
57.9%
52.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.7
30.7%
33.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.814.8
71.2%
73.0%14.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.7
51.2%
52.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.9
32.9%
33.8%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.714.2
75.9%
73.0%14.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWLWWWWLL
Basket Zaragoza
LLLLWWWLLL
#2
League position
#11
+10.1
Net rating
-12.2
111.9
Offensive rating
103.6
101.8
Defensive rating
115.8
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.5%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.7%
3-point %
32.9%
64.5%
Assist %
51.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 103.6Defence101.8 · 115.8Shooting52.9% · 50.6%3-point %30.7% · 32.9%Ball care17.8% · 19.5%Off. rebounds34.4% · 31.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chemnitz wins
0
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Basket Zaragoza v Chemnitz64-98
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24ACrailsheim Merlins97-82
06/03/24ABasket Zaragoza98-64
02/03/24HUlm83-82
13/02/24ABayern80-89
10/02/24HOldenburg87-69
07/02/24HLeiden78-57
03/02/24ARostock94-90
27/01/24AHeidelberg99-77
24/01/24AVarese78-90
21/01/24HBayern73-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AGran Canaria85-111
06/03/24HChemnitz64-98
03/03/24ABarcelona68-109
10/02/24HTenerife100-106
07/02/24HManisa88-71
03/02/24HBreogan63-61
31/01/24HGravelines-Dunkerque101-90
27/01/24ABilbao83-86
24/01/24ANymburk64-70
21/01/24HValencia75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %92%100%86%
Points / game91.595.288.4
Allowed / game71.874.769.4
Point differential+19.7+20.5+19.0
Avg total163.4169.8157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+85%83%86%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
Basket Zaragoza
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL69%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game80.284.475.2
Allowed / game77.382.371.5
Point differential+2.8+2.1+3.7
Avg total157.5166.7146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Chemnitz1312192%91.571.8+19.7
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1412286%91.675.9+15.8
4 Bilbao1311285%82.570.8+11.8
5 Legia1310377%87.878.4+9.4
6 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
7 Nymburk139469%81.372.8+8.5
8 Varese139469%92.186.2+5.8
9 Basket Zaragoza139469%80.277.3+2.8
10 Gottingen128467%86.380.2+6.1
11 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
12 FC Porto1610662%82.578.3+4.2
13 Manisa148657%75.475.2+0.2
14 Leiden116555%67.269.7-2.5
15 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque105550%73.670.8+2.8
17 CSM Oradea126650%88.686.7+1.9
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
29 Sporting CP104640%86.388.0-1.7
30 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
31 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
32 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
33 Jonava124833%83.893.3-9.5
34 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
35 Balkan103730%73.985.8-11.9
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz18263523102
Basket Zaragoza1820252386
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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