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Real Madrid vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 91-62
19-18 26-12 27-14 19-18
Position#7
Record10-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game79.5
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Alba Berlin
Position#15
Record6-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game83.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16
European cup2020
Meetings · Real Madrid v Alba Berlin
21 Nov 2024
MAD98
ABE84
23 Nov 2023
MAD99
ABE75
17 Nov 2022
MAD90
ABE72
14 Dec 2021
MAD87
ABE64
22 Dec 2020
MAD91
ABE62
12 Mar 2015
MAD93
ABE62
22 Feb 2013
MAD77
ABE72
12 Mar 2009
MAD83
ABE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
W
94-74
94
74
+20
97avg 80
H20/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
100-78
100
78
+22
98avg 80
H22/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
73-74
73
74
-1
64avg 80
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
92-83
92
83
+9
93avg 80
H02/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
83avg 80
H04/12
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
74-60
74
60
+14
67avg 80
A06/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 80
H10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 80
H13/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
no box
A15/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
no box
A18/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
21-24
23-15
22-23
25-18
22-22
26-18
27-20
20-17
18-18
17-23
18-16
25-19
15-24
28-15
24-25
19-26
21-24
21-20
30-14
17-16
17-13
22-12
18-19
24-21
12-10
23-11
20-30
20-16
17-17
30-25
24-26
14-15
19-14
23-19
12-20
12-12
19-18
18-21
20-18
166.1Avg total
87.7Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.779.5162.2+3.367%
Season at home (7)87.779.0166.7+8.786%
Season away (8)78.479.9158.2-1.550%
Last 10 (10)87.778.4166.1+9.390%
Last 5 (5)85.478.2163.6+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Similar (10)81.478.4159.8+3.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.475.3162.7+12.1100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#18
W
100-80
100
80
+20
99avg 73
H26/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
55-75
55
75
-20
43avg 73
A01/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
100-92
100
92
+8
104avg 73
A03/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
W
71-69
71
69
+2
69avg 73
A06/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 73
A08/12
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
W
89-63
89
63
+26
90avg 73
H10/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H13/12
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
no box
A15/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
69-92
69
92
-23
61avg 73
A17/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
W
93-83
93
83
+10
no box
H19/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
30-20
27-18
23-18
13-19
9-23
19-22
14-11
27-21
24-29
32-15
17-27
21-15
22-20
19-21
9-13
14-15
20-16
18-24
19-23
23-16
21-11
26-14
19-22
22-20
19-11
17-24
24-15
15-16
19-21
14-20
28-19
18-25
14-14
20-27
17-26
20-19
31-22
22-20
20-22
160.6Avg total
82.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.183.1161.1-5.043%
Season at home (7)77.482.4159.9-5.043%
Season away (7)78.783.7162.4-5.043%
Last 10 (10)82.078.6160.6+3.470%
Last 5 (5)84.678.4163.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.087.7162.7-12.729%
vs Similar (9)80.179.6159.7+0.656%
vs Weaker (14)88.272.6160.8+15.6100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
Real MadridAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H22/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H04/12
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A06/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H13/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A15/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A18/12
Euroleague
74.1Avg total
38.5Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.776.5+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.180.8+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.034.372.3+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)38.535.674.1+2.980%-
Last 5 (5)34.230.464.6+3.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.048.075.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (10)40.637.177.7+3.570%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.235.876.0+4.358%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H26/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A01/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A03/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A08/12
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H10/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/12
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A15/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A17/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H19/12
BBL
77.9Avg total
40.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.180.3+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.238.680.8+3.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.337.679.9+4.760%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.777.9+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.075.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.648.183.7-12.614%-
vs Similar (9)40.236.676.8+3.756%-
vs Weaker (14)46.934.180.9+12.893%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.519.6
60.3%
52.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.9
36.4%
38.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.515.1
81.6%
79.3%15.1
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.3
55.5%
52.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.6
36.3%
38.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws13.09.5
73.1%
79.3%9.5
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWLWW
Alba Berlin
WLWWWLWWLW
#7
League position
#15
+16.1
Net rating
+7.3
117.3
Offensive rating
112.1
101.2
Defensive rating
104.9
57.7%
Effective FG%
55.0%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.4%
3-point %
36.3%
60.0%
Assist %
73.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 112.1Defence101.2 · 104.9Shooting57.7% · 55.0%3-point %36.4% · 36.3%Ball care16.9% · 18.9%Off. rebounds27.3% · 34.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Real Madrid wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
12/03/15Real Madrid v Alba Berlin93-62
15/01/15Alba Berlin v Real Madrid61-79
22/02/13Real Madrid v Alba Berlin77-72
27/12/12Alba Berlin v Real Madrid63-77
12/03/09Real Madrid v Alba Berlin83-82
05/02/09Alba Berlin v Real Madrid84-87
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/20AOlympiacos86-82 OT
15/12/20APanathinaikos97-93 OT
13/12/20HUnicaja91-84
10/12/20HZenit Petersburg79-72
06/12/20ASan Pablo Burgos74-60
04/12/20HLyon-Villeurbanne91-84
02/12/20HBaskonia92-83
26/11/20ACSKA Moscow73-74
22/11/20HManresa100-78
20/11/20HFenerbahce94-74
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/20HUlm93-83
17/12/20APanathinaikos69-92
15/12/20ACrvena zvezda90-84 OT
13/12/20HBamberg82-70
10/12/20HFenerbahce89-63
08/12/20ALudwigsburg71-78
06/12/20ABayreuth71-69
03/12/20AValencia100-92
01/12/20AOlimpia Milano55-75
26/11/20HKhimki M.100-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%86%50%
Points / game82.787.778.4
Allowed / game79.579.079.9
Point differential+3.3+8.7-1.5
Avg total162.2166.7158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %13%0%25%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeLWLWW43%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game78.177.478.7
Allowed / game83.182.483.7
Point differential-5.0-5.0-5.0
Avg total161.1159.9162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1613381%84.477.2+7.1
2 Barcelona1611569%80.672.6+8.0
3 Bayern1510567%79.275.9+3.3
4 Real Madrid1510567%82.779.5+3.3
5 Zenit Petersburg149564%75.672.6+3.0
6 Olimpia Milano149564%81.579.5+2.0
7 Valencia159660%82.381.1+1.1
8 Zalgiris Kaunas158753%80.578.0+2.5
9 Anadolu Efes168850%77.377.9-0.6
10 Olympiacos147750%78.179.3-1.1
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv167944%78.677.9+0.7
12 Baskonia146843%77.675.0+2.6
13 Alba Berlin146843%78.183.1-5.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne1551033%75.878.9-3.1
15 Panathinaikos1551033%80.484.1-3.7
16 Fenerbahce1551033%72.280.3-8.1
17 Crvena zvezda1651131%75.078.8-3.8
18 Khimki M.1521313%79.588.3-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1926271991
Alba Berlin1812141862
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