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Baskonia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 71-70
17-30 22-17 16-11 16-12
Position#10
Record7-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#8
Record10-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17
European cup2020
Meetings · Baskonia v Valencia
04 Apr 2027
BAS v VAL
upcoming
29 Dec 2026
BAS v VAL
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
BAS79
VAL108
07 Dec 2025
BAS89
VAL91
01 Dec 2024
BAS91
VAL116
26 Jan 2024
BAS62
VAL77
19 Nov 2023
BAS83
VAL74
03 Mar 2023
BAS114
VAL75
08 Jan 2023
BAS85
VAL79
28 May 2022
BAS82
VAL89
17 Apr 2022
BAS71
VAL78
02 Jun 2021
BAS76
VAL65
29 Dec 2020
BAS71
VAL70
20 Sep 2020
BAS76
VAL73
04 Nov 2018
BAS77
VAL56
07 Jan 2018
BAS78
VAL74
25 Oct 2017
BAS63
VAL80
01 Jun 2017
BAS90
VAL70
30 May 2017
BAS82
VAL83
05 Mar 2017
BAS71
VAL63
07 Feb 2016
BAS79
VAL73
29 Mar 2015
BAS94
VAL88
12 Dec 2014
BAS93
VAL89
08 Dec 2013
BAS78
VAL79
03 Feb 2013
BAS79
VAL75
23 Oct 2011
BAS72
VAL82
09 Mar 2011
BAS72
VAL65
24 Sep 2010
BAS66
VAL67
14 Feb 2010
BAS69
VAL67
16 Apr 2009
BAS90
VAL86
19 Feb 2009
BAS82
VAL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
73avg 75
A02/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
77-59
77
59
+18
76avg 75
A04/12
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
83-71
83
71
+12
85avg 75
H06/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
63-67
63
67
-4
no box
H10/12
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
77-73
77
73
+4
74avg 75
A12/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
73-92
73
92
-19
62avg 75
A15/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
66-77
66
77
-11
62avg 75
A18/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
79-72
79
72
+7
63avg 75
H20/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
84-79
84
79
+5
88avg 75
A23/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
92-89
92
89
+3
87avg 75
A27/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
24-15
15-28
25-24
17-20
25-17
21-13
14-9
21-17
17-19
21-18
24-17
20-12
13-25
21-19
9-11
17-16
16-19
19-19
25-19
22-25
14-19
11-24
26-24
15-18
15-20
20-20
16-19
18-20
21-18
23-18
17-16
23-19
22-22
18-16
21-22
29-22
22-22
22-24
19-21
154.8Avg total
77.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.175.3153.3+2.847%
Season at home (8)77.870.9148.6+6.950%
Season away (7)78.480.3158.7-1.943%
Last 10 (10)77.777.1154.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)78.881.8160.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.581.5164.0+1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.577.6155.2-0.136%
vs Weaker (17)82.075.0157.0+7.076%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
L
92-100
92
100
-8
84avg 79
H03/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
68-61
68
61
+7
64avg 79
A05/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
72-85
72
85
-13
64avg 79
H08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
77avg 79
H10/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 79
A13/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
A16/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
73-76
73
76
-3
70avg 79
A18/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
W
89-78
89
78
+11
83avg 79
H20/12
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
88-82
88
82
+6
91avg 79
H23/12
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
101-75
101
75
+26
106avg 79
H27/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
29-24
15-32
27-17
21-16
9-15
22-6
16-24
12-16
27-17
21-32
12-20
19-23
21-15
14-22
22-14
15-27
19-13
21-21
31-20
25-16
27-23
24-26
20-20
22-20
14-25
21-12
16-19
14-22
28-21
18-19
29-16
16-13
29-16
14-23
29-30
30-16
33-22
21-18
17-19
163.8Avg total
84.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.681.2163.8+1.462%
Season at home (9)80.279.9160.1+0.367%
Season away (7)85.782.9168.6+2.957%
Last 10 (10)84.179.7163.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)89.479.2168.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.081.0160.0-2.040%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.286.0172.2+0.260%
vs Weaker (15)83.578.4161.9+5.173%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
BaskoniaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/12
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H06/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H10/12
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A12/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A15/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A18/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H20/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A23/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A27/12
ACB
78.0Avg total
39.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.176.3+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.036.374.3+1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)38.439.878.2-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.078.0+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.081.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.040.081.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.940.276.1-4.336%-
vs Weaker (17)39.436.575.8+2.947%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H03/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A05/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A16/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A18/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/12
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H23/12
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H27/12
ACB
81.8Avg total
43.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.681.1-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.840.281.1+0.659%-
Last 30 away (13)40.041.181.1-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.781.8+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.638.886.4+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.243.280.4-6.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.641.281.8-0.650%-
vs Weaker (15)41.539.380.8+2.153%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.7
50.1%
52.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.3
33.6%
38.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.615.0
80.6%
79.3%15.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.820.6
59.2%
52.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.3
37.2%
38.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.114.2
83.0%
79.3%14.2
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWWLLWLWWL
Valencia
WWWLWWWLWL
#10
League position
#8
-0.6
Net rating
+6.5
105.7
Offensive rating
117.1
106.3
Defensive rating
110.6
50.2%
Effective FG%
57.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.0%
Turnover %
18.3%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.6%
3-point %
37.2%
68.5%
Assist %
68.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 117.1Defence106.3 · 110.6Shooting50.2% · 57.8%3-point %33.6% · 37.2%Ball care19.0% · 18.3%Off. rebounds32.5% · 31.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Baskonia   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Baskonia wins
5
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
20/09/20Baskonia v Valencia76-73
04/11/18Baskonia v Valencia77-56
12/04/18Valencia v Baskonia81-77
08/03/18Valencia v Baskonia71-81
07/01/18Baskonia v Valencia78-74
25/10/17Baskonia v Valencia63-80
05/06/17Valencia v Baskonia85-77
03/06/17Valencia v Baskonia75-69
01/06/17Baskonia v Valencia90-70
30/05/17Baskonia v Valencia82-83
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/20ABasket Zaragoza92-89
23/12/20AOlimpia Milano84-79
20/12/20HTenerife79-72
18/12/20ABayern66-77
15/12/20AZalgiris Kaunas73-92
12/12/20AReal Betis77-73
10/12/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv63-67
06/12/20HGipuzkoa83-71
04/12/20AAnadolu Efes77-59
02/12/20AReal Madrid83-92
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/20HGipuzkoa101-75
23/12/20HKhimki M.88-82
20/12/20HMurcia89-78
18/12/20ACrvena zvezda73-76
16/12/20AOlympiacos96-85
13/12/20AEstudiantes86-81
10/12/20HAnadolu Efes76-74
08/12/20HZenit Petersburg72-85
05/12/20AFuenlabrada68-61
03/12/20HAlba Berlin92-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%50%43%
Points / game78.177.878.4
Allowed / game75.370.980.3
Point differential+2.8+6.9-1.9
Avg total153.3148.6158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game82.680.285.7
Allowed / game81.279.982.9
Point differential+1.4+0.3+2.9
Avg total163.8160.1168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%11%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1613381%84.477.2+7.1
2 Real Madrid1712571%82.677.6+5.1
3 Barcelona1611569%80.672.6+8.0
4 Zenit Petersburg1510567%75.872.6+3.2
5 Bayern1610662%78.875.8+3.0
6 Valencia1610662%82.681.2+1.4
7 Olimpia Milano159660%81.379.8+1.5
8 Zalgiris Kaunas1710759%79.777.3+2.4
9 Olympiacos168850%79.880.1-0.4
10 Anadolu Efes178947%76.677.6-1.0
11 Baskonia157847%78.175.3+2.8
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv1771041%78.277.9+0.3
13 Alba Berlin1661038%76.683.0-6.4
14 Fenerbahce1661038%72.980.1-7.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne1551033%75.878.9-3.1
16 Panathinaikos1551033%80.484.1-3.7
17 Crvena zvezda1651131%75.078.8-3.8
18 Khimki M.1721512%80.189.3-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1722161671
Valencia3017111270
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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