PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Baskonia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-74
15-19 21-18 26-20 21-17
Position#8
Record4-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#4
Record7-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game76.1
SpainACBRound 10· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Baskonia v Valencia
04 Apr 2027
BAS v VAL
upcoming
29 Dec 2026
BAS v VAL
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
BAS79
VAL108
07 Dec 2025
BAS89
VAL91
01 Dec 2024
BAS91
VAL116
26 Jan 2024
BAS62
VAL77
19 Nov 2023
BAS83
VAL74
03 Mar 2023
BAS114
VAL75
08 Jan 2023
BAS85
VAL79
28 May 2022
BAS82
VAL89
17 Apr 2022
BAS71
VAL78
02 Jun 2021
BAS76
VAL65
29 Dec 2020
BAS71
VAL70
20 Sep 2020
BAS76
VAL73
04 Nov 2018
BAS77
VAL56
07 Jan 2018
BAS78
VAL74
25 Oct 2017
BAS63
VAL80
01 Jun 2017
BAS90
VAL70
30 May 2017
BAS82
VAL83
05 Mar 2017
BAS71
VAL63
07 Feb 2016
BAS79
VAL73
29 Mar 2015
BAS94
VAL88
12 Dec 2014
BAS93
VAL89
08 Dec 2013
BAS78
VAL79
03 Feb 2013
BAS79
VAL75
23 Oct 2011
BAS72
VAL82
09 Mar 2011
BAS72
VAL65
24 Sep 2010
BAS66
VAL67
14 Feb 2010
BAS69
VAL67
16 Apr 2009
BAS90
VAL86
19 Feb 2009
BAS82
VAL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
82-99
82
99
-17
67avg 67
H19/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
84-93
84
93
-9
75avg 67
H22/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
L
81-95
81
95
-14
70avg 67
A27/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 67
A29/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
76avg 67
H03/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
76-88
76
88
-12
71avg 67
H05/11
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
75-74
75
74
+1
70avg 67
A09/11
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
95-108 OT
95
108
-13
no box
A12/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
94-71
94
71
+23
95avg 67
H15/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
88avg 67
A17/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
25-24
22-28
21-25
19-25
25-19
16-29
24-20
22-24
21-24
23-22
15-25
10-18
14-20
25-27
19-20
23-23
25-19
15-24
21-17
8-18
22-25
22-18
24-27
20-26
30-9
17-25
8-14
16-27
24-20
16-12
23-20
26-18
29-11
15-24
24-18
20-30
22-19
31-16
15-16
170.4Avg total
82.7Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.886.0169.8-2.244%
Season at home (3)84.084.3168.3-0.333%
Season away (6)83.786.8170.5-3.250%
Last 10 (10)82.787.7170.4-5.040%
Last 5 (5)85.684.4170.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.583.0164.5-1.533%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.086.6167.6-5.627%
vs Weaker (13)93.285.2178.5+8.085%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
73-77
73
77
-4
69avg 73
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 73
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
82avg 73
A27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
71-68
71
68
+3
58avg 73
H29/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 73
H02/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 73
A05/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
52-83
52
83
-31
44avg 73
A09/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 73
H12/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 73
H14/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
55avg 73
A17/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
25-20
13-19
20-20
22-15
19-23
22-20
21-21
20-12
32-18
20-23
15-19
18-19
27-14
13-16
13-19
15-14
26-25
15-15
23-17
15-21
25-15
15-24
21-20
12-23
19-21
8-20
13-19
22-23
15-20
25-15
14-11
26-24
23-19
13-20
11-13
16-25
17-12
19-17
18-20
149.0Avg total
74.1Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.376.1155.4+3.278%
Season at home (5)80.276.8157.0+3.480%
Season away (4)78.275.2153.5+3.075%
Last 10 (10)74.174.9149.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)69.476.4145.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.476.6149.0-4.240%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.380.5159.8-1.355%
vs Weaker (9)80.476.7157.1+3.867%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
BaskoniaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H19/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H22/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A27/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A29/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H03/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H05/11
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A09/11
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A12/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H15/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/11
Euroleague
83.6Avg total
41.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.384.3+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.041.386.3+3.764%-
Last 30 away (16)41.241.382.6-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.183.6-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.684.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)45.340.786.0+4.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.940.878.7-2.936%-
vs Weaker (13)46.242.088.2+4.269%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H02/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A05/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A09/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H14/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/11
Euroleague
79.0Avg total
40.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.678.0+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.539.078.5+0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)39.238.177.4+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.179.0+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.678.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.439.176.5-1.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.539.481.8+3.164%-
vs Weaker (9)37.837.174.9+0.744%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.8
49.7%
53.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.0
35.1%
34.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.913.8
77.1%
75.6%13.8
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.7
47.8%
53.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.27.1
35.1%
34.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws16.812.4
73.8%
75.6%12.4
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWLWLWLLLL
Valencia
LLWLLWWWWL
#8
League position
#4
-5.3
Net rating
-1.4
107.7
Offensive rating
102.2
113.0
Defensive rating
103.6
51.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
19.1%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.1%
3-point %
35.1%
61.5%
Assist %
54.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 102.2Defence113.0 · 103.6Shooting51.0% · 49.4%3-point %35.1% · 35.1%Ball care15.5% · 19.1%Off. rebounds25.9% · 30.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Baskonia   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Baskonia wins
3
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
02/04/23Valencia v Baskonia81-85
03/03/23Baskonia v Valencia114-75
08/01/23Baskonia v Valencia85-79
06/10/22Valencia v Baskonia71-81
30/05/22Valencia v Baskonia59-76
28/05/22Baskonia v Valencia82-89
24/05/22Valencia v Baskonia79-80
17/04/22Baskonia v Valencia71-78
18/09/21Valencia v Baskonia67-72
04/06/21Valencia v Baskonia78-73
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23ALyon-Villeurbanne88-81
15/11/23HBarcelona94-71
12/11/23AObradoiro CAB95-108 OT
09/11/23AOlympiacos75-74
05/11/23HGran Canaria76-88
03/11/23HPartizan84-83
29/10/23AMoraBanc Andorra68-85
27/10/23APanathinaikos81-95
22/10/23HUnicaja84-93
19/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas82-99
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23ABarcelona70-74
14/11/23HReal Madrid73-76
12/11/23HBasket Zaragoza76-69
09/11/23AOlimpia Milano52-83
05/11/23AJoventut Badalona76-80
02/11/23HAlba Berlin79-71
29/10/23HBarcelona71-68
27/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas87-72
22/10/23HManresa84-79
20/10/23AAnadolu Efes73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%33%50%
Points / game83.884.083.7
Allowed / game86.084.386.8
Point differential-2.2-0.3-3.2
Avg total169.8168.3170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%17%
Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game79.380.278.2
Allowed / game76.176.875.2
Point differential+3.2+3.4+3.0
Avg total155.4157.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid109190%91.680.6+11.0
2 Barcelona97278%84.978.6+6.3
3 Valencia97278%79.376.1+3.2
4 Unicaja107370%89.682.3+7.3
5 Murcia96367%85.179.9+5.2
6 Manresa106460%85.183.9+1.2
7 Basquet Girona106460%82.581.4+1.1
8 Gran Canaria106460%81.984.1-2.2
9 Tenerife105550%81.281.2+0.0
10 Bilbao94544%82.083.6-1.6
11 Baskonia94544%83.886.0-2.2
12 Joventut Badalona94544%82.788.9-6.2
13 Obradoiro CAB104640%81.281.5-0.3
14 MoraBanc Andorra104640%80.882.2-1.4
15 Basket Zaragoza103730%82.084.0-2.0
16 Granada102820%85.089.6-4.6
17 Breogan102820%73.379.3-6.0
18 Palencia101910%73.682.0-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1521262183
Valencia1918201774
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.