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Baskonia vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 102-91
19-23 27-22 29-26 27-20
Position#18
Record8-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#5
Record14-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Jan 2027
BAS v ZAL
upcoming
30 Jan 2026
BAS102
ZAL91
06 Mar 2025
BAS66
ZAL65
19 Oct 2023
BAS82
ZAL99
23 Nov 2022
BAS93
ZAL73
01 Apr 2022
BAS96
ZAL79
29 Jan 2021
BAS81
ZAL68
28 Feb 2019
BAS80
ZAL73
15 Mar 2018
BAS84
ZAL64
06 Apr 2017
BAS79
ZAL84
25 Feb 2016
BAS71
ZAL65
19 Oct 2012
BAS71
ZAL77
10 Nov 2010
BAS88
ZAL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
L
93-108
93
108
-15
77avg 82
H02/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
99-92
99
92
+7
98avg 82
H04/01
ACB
Bayern
#14
L
89-96
89
96
-7
82avg 82
A07/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
78-73
78
73
+5
73avg 82
H09/01
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
96-85
96
85
+11
91avg 82
A11/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
89-75
89
75
+14
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
130-85
130
85
+45
no box
H18/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
74-93
74
93
-19
73avg 82
A20/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
71-84
71
84
-13
56avg 82
A23/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
77avg 82
H25/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
25-29
29-32
11-23
30-20
21-23
20-31
28-18
19-24
27-14
23-22
20-36
24-19
20-16
14-24
20-14
22-16
20-25
25-25
29-19
23-20
17-22
18-17
31-16
35-24
39-18
27-17
29-26
14-26
17-22
23-25
20-20
20-21
18-21
12-27
21-15
22-26
21-13
21-18
23-20
177.4Avg total
90.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.390.4176.7-4.133%
Season at home (11)87.583.6171.2+3.964%
Season away (13)85.296.1181.3-10.88%
Last 10 (10)90.686.8177.4+3.860%
Last 5 (5)90.282.8173.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)86.595.4181.9-8.818%
vs Similar (10)86.580.3166.8+6.270%
vs Weaker (9)98.887.2186.0+11.689%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
88avg 84
A30/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
112-77
112
77
+35
115avg 84
H04/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
79-83
79
83
-4
75avg 84
A06/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
99-67
99
67
+32
101avg 84
H09/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
68avg 84
A11/01
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
97-100
97
100
-3
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
89-63
89
63
+26
no box
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
96-77
96
77
+19
96avg 84
A20/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
86-82
86
82
+4
74avg 84
A22/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
82avg 84
H25/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
21-15
24-13
30-27
31-25
32-6
23-18
26-28
22-25
12-18
22-20
23-20
26-12
21-16
21-24
31-15
17-20
15-14
19-17
24-20
24-27
25-25
22-26
26-22
17-16
26-13
26-19
20-15
23-18
22-23
30-14
21-22
19-22
26-22
17-23
24-15
18-20
22-20
29-6
19-27
168.7Avg total
91.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.082.0170.0+6.158%
Season at home (11)84.975.9160.8+9.064%
Season away (13)90.787.1177.8+3.654%
Last 10 (10)91.477.3168.7+14.180%
Last 5 (5)91.279.0170.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.095.0173.0-17.00%
vs Similar (6)91.885.2177.0+6.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)90.576.2166.7+14.383%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
BaskoniaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H02/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/01
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A07/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H09/01
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A11/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A15/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
74-42
74
42
+32
H18/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A20/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A23/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H25/01
ACB
88.5Avg total
46.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.343.388.6+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.540.388.8+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)42.246.288.4-4.040%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.388.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.687.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)43.545.589.0-1.936%-
vs Similar (10)43.940.284.1+3.780%-
vs Weaker (9)49.144.093.1+5.167%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A30/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
63-31
63
31
+32
H04/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A06/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H09/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A11/01
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A15/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A20/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A22/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/01
LKL
81.9Avg total
43.7Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.939.283.0+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.636.480.9+8.271%-
Last 30 away (16)43.241.684.9+1.644%-
Last 10 (10)43.738.281.9+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.285.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.050.086.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (6)43.238.581.7+4.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.438.983.3+5.557%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.8
53.8%
60.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.8
35.6%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.118.5
80.1%
78.2%18.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.822.6
55.4%
60.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.9
38.9%
35.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.117.8
77.1%
78.2%17.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLLWWWWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWLWWLWW
#18
League position
#5
-0.7
Net rating
+15.0
108.7
Offensive rating
114.3
109.4
Defensive rating
99.3
53.7%
Effective FG%
56.4%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.8%
Turnover %
13.8%
39.0%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.6%
3-point %
38.9%
59.5%
Assist %
63.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 114.3Defence109.4 · 99.3Shooting53.7% · 56.4%3-point %35.6% · 38.9%Ball care16.8% · 13.8%Off. rebounds39.0% · 33.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Baskonia   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Baskonia wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HJoventut Badalona87-77
23/01/26AFenerbahce71-84
20/01/26APanathinaikos74-93
18/01/26HManresa130-85
15/01/26AAnadolu Efes89-75
11/01/26ABasquet Girona96-85
09/01/26HLyon-Villeurbanne78-73
07/01/26ABayern89-96
04/01/26HMoraBanc Andorra99-92
02/01/26HFenerbahce93-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HNevezis88-73
22/01/26AOlimpia Milano86-82
20/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne96-77
17/01/26HJonava89-63
15/01/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv97-100
11/01/26ASiauliai75-71
09/01/26HCrvena zvezda99-67
06/01/26AVirtus Bologna79-83
04/01/26HNeptunas112-77
30/12/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %33%64%8%
Points / game86.387.585.2
Allowed / game90.483.696.1
Point differential-4.1+3.9-10.8
Avg total176.7171.2181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%45%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %4%0%8%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW58%
HomeLLWLW64%
AwayWLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %58%64%54%
Points / game88.084.990.7
Allowed / game82.075.987.1
Point differential+6.1+9.0+3.6
Avg total170.0160.8177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2417771%82.178.7+3.4
2 Olympiacos2416867%88.882.9+5.9
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2416867%86.581.9+4.6
4 Valencia2516964%90.285.6+4.7
5 Real Madrid2516964%87.983.3+4.6
6 Barcelona2516964%86.684.7+1.9
7 Monaco25151060%91.085.0+6.1
8 Crvena zvezda25151060%87.585.9+1.6
9 Zalgiris Kaunas24141058%88.082.0+6.1
10 Panathinaikos24141058%86.684.1+2.5
11 Virtus Bologna25121348%82.883.4-0.6
12 Olimpia Milano25121348%85.086.0-1.0
13 Dubai25111444%86.487.8-1.4
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv25101540%88.791.7-3.0
15 Bayern25101540%79.483.0-3.6
16 Paris2481633%89.792.8-3.1
17 Baskonia2481633%86.390.4-4.1
18 Partizan2581732%79.989.3-9.4
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne2461825%78.787.3-8.6
20 Anadolu Efes2561924%78.284.5-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia19272927102
Zalgiris Kaunas2322262091
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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