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Valencia vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 101-65
25-15 27-17 19-19 30-14
Position#1
Record13-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#14
Record8-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game85.8
SpainACBRound 18· Roig Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Valencia v Forca Lleida
27 Sep 2026
VAL100
FLL105
01 Feb 2026
VAL101
FLL65
30 Dec 2024
VAL107
FLL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
106-89
106
89
+17
104avg 88
A06/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
92-101
92
101
-9
86avg 88
H08/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
70-76
70
76
-6
56avg 88
H10/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
115-73
115
73
+42
107avg 88
H12/01
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
A16/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A18/01
ACB
Paris
#16
W
98-84
98
84
+14
99avg 88
H20/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
89-93
89
93
-4
79avg 88
A22/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
90-80
90
80
+10
84avg 88
A25/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 88
H29/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-20
20-17
23-27
29-25
28-26
14-27
28-23
22-25
25-21
14-15
12-21
19-19
32-25
18-17
34-19
31-12
20-28
14-17
24-21
21-16
24-9
19-34
17-33
19-18
27-16
23-26
20-11
28-31
24-22
20-31
26-26
19-14
19-20
26-14
24-28
21-18
21-27
23-23
22-18
28-15
176.7Avg total
91.2Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)94.681.6176.2+12.976%
Season at home (9)95.778.7174.3+17.089%
Season away (8)93.485.0178.4+8.462%
Last 10 (10)91.285.5176.7+5.750%
Last 5 (5)90.086.8176.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)88.484.8173.1+3.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.481.1172.5+10.368%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
71-107
71
107
-36
50avg 74
H22/11
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
88-89
88
89
-1
79avg 74
H06/12
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
75-93
75
93
-18
60avg 74
A14/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
75avg 74
H20/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
86-103
86
103
-17
80avg 74
A28/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
87-79
87
79
+8
73avg 74
A02/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
77-87
77
87
-10
73avg 74
H04/01
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
94avg 74
A10/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
68-50
68
50
+18
no box
A17/01
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
73-72
73
72
+1
70avg 74
H24/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
12-23
18-25
23-28
20-21
17-30
29-18
22-20
17-15
14-17
26-32
18-29
19-28
24-18
24-20
14-22
24-33
20-21
25-24
17-25
15-21
19-16
30-24
23-18
13-22
21-22
20-13
23-30
19-28
20-21
31-22
24-16
16-4
13-19
15-9
24-18
16-23
15-20
24-15
18-14
165.5Avg total
80.0Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.185.8167.9-3.847%
Season at home (9)82.286.7168.9-4.444%
Season away (8)81.984.9166.8-3.050%
Last 10 (10)80.085.5165.5-5.540%
Last 5 (5)79.875.0154.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.887.0166.8-7.237%
vs Similar (11)85.586.6172.2-1.155%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
ValenciaForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A06/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H12/01
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A18/01
ACB
Paris
#16
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H20/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A22/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A25/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H29/01
Euroleague
88.0Avg total
44.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.785.5+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.141.487.5+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)41.342.083.3-0.736%-
Last 10 (10)44.543.588.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.489.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)43.242.685.9+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.141.385.4+2.855%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
30-54
30
54
-24
H22/11
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H06/12
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A14/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H20/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A28/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H04/01
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A10/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A17/01
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H24/01
ACB
78.5Avg total
35.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.142.881.9-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.942.281.1-3.331%-
Last 30 away (14)39.443.682.9-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)35.243.378.5-8.110%-
Last 5 (5)33.439.272.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.942.781.6-3.726%-
vs Similar (11)39.443.182.5-3.736%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 96.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.724.1
60.7%
50.0%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.8
34.1%
42.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.816.3
71.5%
74.7%16.3
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.8
50.8%
50.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.5
32.1%
42.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws26.821.0
78.4%
74.7%21.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWLWLLWLLW
Forca Lleida
WWWLWLLLLL
#1
League position
#14
+16.4
Net rating
-10.9
110.0
Offensive rating
101.2
93.7
Defensive rating
112.1
56.4%
Effective FG%
49.8%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
13.3%
Turnover %
19.8%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.44
34.1%
3-point %
32.1%
63.9%
Assist %
59.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 101.2Defence93.7 · 112.1Shooting56.4% · 49.8%3-point %34.1% · 32.1%Ball care13.3% · 19.8%Off. rebounds36.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Valencia   ■ Forca Lleida
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
0
Forca Lleida wins
DateGameScore
19/10/25Forca Lleida v Valencia78-99
20/04/25Forca Lleida v Valencia67-76
30/12/24Valencia v Forca Lleida107-92
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv94-83
25/01/26AGran Canaria90-80
22/01/26ABayern89-93
20/01/26HParis98-84
18/01/26AReal Madrid79-94
16/01/26AFenerbahce79-82
12/01/26HBasket Zaragoza115-73
10/01/26HUnicaja70-76
08/01/26HMonaco92-101
06/01/26ACrvena zvezda106-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HSan Pablo Burgos73-72
17/01/26AGran Canaria68-50
10/01/26ATenerife94-87
04/01/26HBasket Zaragoza77-87
02/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra87-79
28/12/25ABasquet Girona86-103
20/12/25HReal Madrid81-88
14/12/25ABilbao75-93
06/12/25HUnicaja88-89
22/11/25HMurcia71-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW76%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayWLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%89%62%
Points / game94.695.793.4
Allowed / game81.678.785.0
Point differential+12.9+17.0+8.4
Avg total176.2174.3178.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%78%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forca Lleida
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW47%
HomeLLLLW44%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game82.182.281.9
Allowed / game85.886.784.9
Point differential-3.8-4.4-3.0
Avg total167.9168.9166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1715288%92.182.5+9.6
2 Valencia1713476%94.681.6+12.9
3 Barcelona1712571%88.080.3+7.7
4 Baskonia1611569%94.288.8+5.5
5 Unicaja1812667%88.084.5+3.5
6 Murcia1711665%87.881.7+6.1
7 Tenerife1710759%87.083.8+3.2
8 Joventut Badalona1810856%83.681.4+2.2
9 Bilbao1810856%84.385.1-0.8
10 Basquet Girona189950%86.490.2-3.7
11 Forca Lleida178947%82.185.8-3.8
12 Breogan1881044%90.492.3-1.8
13 Manresa1871139%85.492.4-7.1
14 Basket Zaragoza1761135%87.291.3-4.1
15 Gran Canaria1761135%78.182.6-4.5
16 MoraBanc Andorra1851328%84.891.8-7.1
17 San Pablo Burgos1831517%87.192.4-5.3
18 Granada181176%79.990.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia25271930101
Forca Lleida1517191465
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