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Olimpia Milano vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 89-87
20-24 18-27 23-22 28-14
Position#16
Record6-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#9
Record10-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21
European cup2016
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Darussafaka
08 Feb 2019
MIL90
DAR78
02 Feb 2017
MIL89
DAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
91avg 115
H29/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
122avg 115
H02/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
105avg 115
A06/01
Euroleague
Cantu
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
114avg 115
A10/01
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
91avg 115
A13/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
H19/01
Euroleague
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
H22/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
99-83
99
83
+16
128avg 115
H25/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
112avg 115
A27/01
Euroleague
Avellino
#3
L
68-80
68
80
-12
95avg 115
A30/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
17-15
23-20
14-22
16-23
34-24
25-18
13-19
19-18
21-23
18-22
21-23
24-25
17-20
28-10
16-24
9-27
16-29
21-22
18-23
23-21
26-18
22-21
21-27
27-19
18-20
23-12
22-23
15-21
26-20
26-20
32-22
18-22
31-24
24-23
16-25
15-30
21-17
15-16
17-17
167.0Avg total
82.4Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.588.5171.0-6.130%
Season at home (10)84.985.8170.7-0.950%
Season away (10)80.091.3171.3-11.310%
Last 10 (10)82.484.6167.0-2.250%
Last 5 (5)87.683.6171.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.788.0169.7-6.323%
vs Similar (9)83.984.9168.8-1.044%
vs Weaker (8)91.280.9172.1+10.488%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#11
L
77-81
77
81
-4
103avg 104
A30/12
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#6
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
92-93
92
93
-1
128avg 104
A05/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
97-75
97
75
+22
no box
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
130avg 104
H12/01
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#15
W
71-64
71
64
+7
101avg 104
H20/01
Euroleague
Best Balikesir
#15
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
81-93
81
93
-12
110avg 104
A25/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
66-69
66
69
-3
87avg 104
H27/01
Euroleague
Tofas
#9
L
66-83
66
83
-17
no box
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
18-16
17-24
20-22
18-22
20-18
24-16
25-16
14-29
22-24
35-14
21-26
18-12
32-24
21-18
26-21
20-24
27-22
30-22
21-21
23-17
10-17
18-18
20-12
26-21
23-19
18-25
19-20
19-25
19-17
18-22
25-29
14-16
17-22
18-17
17-14
14-24
23-24
13-20
16-15
162.5Avg total
82.1Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.079.0158.0-0.150%
Season at home (10)79.576.9156.4+2.660%
Season away (10)78.481.2159.6-2.840%
Last 10 (10)82.180.4162.5+1.750%
Last 5 (5)74.078.8152.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.376.7160.0+6.767%
vs Similar (16)76.077.6153.6-1.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.673.0156.6+10.682%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
Olimpia MilanoDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H02/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A06/01
Euroleague
Cantu
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/01
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
25-56
25
56
-31
A13/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H19/01
Euroleague
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H22/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H25/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A27/01
Euroleague
Avellino
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A30/01
Lega A
84.6Avg total
40.9Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.185.3-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.441.485.8+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.044.984.9-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.784.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.486.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.542.481.9-2.838%-
vs Similar (9)41.444.786.1-3.244%-
vs Weaker (8)47.442.690.0+4.875%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A30/12
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A05/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H12/01
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#15
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H20/01
Euroleague
Best Balikesir
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A25/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H27/01
Euroleague
Tofas
#9
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.1Avg total
39.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.877.9+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.978.8+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.539.677.1-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.281.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.478.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.737.380.0+5.367%-
vs Similar (16)36.439.175.5-2.831%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.038.780.7+3.373%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.323.8
56.3%
50.7%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.46.8
35.1%
37.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.313.6
70.5%
75.6%13.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.617.0
42.9%
50.7%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.3
36.9%
37.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.014.6
73.0%
75.6%14.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLWWWLWLWL
Darussafaka
LLLWWWWLWL
#16
League position
#9
-2.9
Net rating
-0.7
109.4
Offensive rating
108.2
112.3
Defensive rating
108.9
55.1%
Effective FG%
47.8%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
20.7%
Turnover %
14.9%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.1%
3-point %
36.9%
61.4%
Assist %
51.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 108.2Defence112.3 · 108.9Shooting55.1% · 47.8%3-point %35.1% · 36.9%Ball care20.7% · 14.9%Off. rebounds34.5% · 35.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Olimpia Milano wins
0
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
20/10/16Darussafaka v Olimpia Milano80-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/17AAvellino68-80
27/01/17AReal Madrid89-94
25/01/17HOlympiacos99-83
22/01/17HCapo d'Orlando90-74
19/01/17HGalatasaray92-87
13/01/17ACSKA Moscow64-101
10/01/17ACantu85-79
06/01/17AFenerbahce79-86
02/01/17HPesaro88-84
29/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas70-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/17ATofas66-83
27/01/17HZalgiris Kaunas66-69
25/01/17AAnadolu Efes81-93
22/01/17ABest Balikesir86-85
20/01/17HUnics Kazan71-64
12/01/17HBaskonia98-89
08/01/17HBuyukcekmece97-75
05/01/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv92-93
02/01/17AGalatasaray87-72
30/12/16ABarcelona77-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL30%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%50%10%
Points / game82.584.980.0
Allowed / game88.585.891.3
Point differential-6.1-0.9-11.3
Avg total171.0170.7171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Darussafaka
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game79.079.578.4
Allowed / game79.076.981.2
Point differential-0.1+2.6-2.8
Avg total158.0156.4159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)40% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2015575%86.980.0+6.8
2 CSKA Moscow2115671%87.080.3+6.6
3 Olympiacos2115671%79.774.4+5.3
4 Fenerbahce2114767%78.176.0+2.1
5 Crvena zvezda2012860%74.872.7+2.2
6 Baskonia2012860%81.079.2+1.8
7 Panathinaikos2011955%77.475.7+1.8
8 Darussafaka20101050%79.079.0-0.1
9 Anadolu Efes2091145%83.884.6-0.8
10 Zalgiris Kaunas2191243%78.780.9-2.1
11 Bamberg2181338%80.179.9+0.2
12 Barcelona2181338%73.076.3-3.4
13 Unics Kazan2171433%76.680.9-4.3
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv2171433%77.983.2-5.3
15 Galatasaray2061430%79.884.5-4.7
16 Olimpia Milano2061430%82.588.5-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2018232889
Darussafaka2427221487
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