PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Varese vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 82-98
21-25 19-29 24-19 18-25
Position#10
Record5-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#2
Record14-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game79.4
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Varese v Olimpia Milano
18 Apr 2027
VAR v MIL
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
VAR61
MIL94
15 Dec 2024
VAR94
MIL92
17 Dec 2023
VAR70
MIL74
12 Feb 2023
VAR75
MIL87
10 Oct 2021
VAR79
MIL82
06 Dec 2020
VAR70
MIL96
29 Aug 2020
VAR77
MIL110
08 Mar 2020
VAR v MIL
upcoming
13 Apr 2019
VAR84
MIL94
29 Jan 2018
VAR76
MIL72
05 Feb 2017
VAR82
MIL98
24 Jan 2016
VAR64
MIL86
23 Nov 2014
VAR97
MIL105
27 Jan 2014
VAR71
MIL76
14 Apr 2013
VAR95
MIL81
07 Feb 2013
VAR92
MIL74
22 Jan 2012
VAR74
MIL64
17 Apr 2011
VAR82
MIL71
11 Oct 2009
VAR73
MIL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#22
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A21/12
Champions League
Venezia
#1
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A02/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H04/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H07/01
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A10/01
Champions League
Usak Sportif
#33
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H18/01
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H22/01
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
53-78
53
78
-25
A24/01
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A29/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
14-20
17-13
18-25
12-24
11-14
14-19
23-16
20-23
20-17
20-26
11-19
19-18
18-28
22-26
23-16
29-21
20-21
14-15
16-29
24-27
17-17
22-10
11-7
24-17
21-20
24-19
16-21
24-25
18-17
19-20
15-21
12-21
10-18
25-25
6-14
28-21
19-22
19-19
20-18
152.4Avg total
73.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.380.9157.2-4.629%
Season at home (9)78.679.2157.8-0.733%
Season away (8)73.882.8156.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)73.578.9152.4-5.430%
Last 5 (5)74.875.8150.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.481.8152.2-11.418%
vs Similar (13)77.679.2156.8-1.546%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H02/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A06/01
Euroleague
Cantu
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A10/01
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A13/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H19/01
Euroleague
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H22/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
99-83
99
83
+16
H25/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A27/01
Euroleague
Avellino
#3
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A30/01
Lega A
Darussafaka
#9
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H02/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
34-24
25-18
13-19
19-18
21-23
18-22
21-23
24-25
17-20
28-10
16-24
9-27
16-29
21-22
18-23
23-21
26-18
22-21
21-27
27-19
18-20
23-12
22-23
15-21
26-20
26-20
32-22
18-22
31-24
24-23
16-25
15-30
21-17
15-16
17-17
20-24
18-27
23-22
28-14
169.8Avg total
84.3Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.879.4167.2+8.582%
Season at home (8)91.677.9169.5+13.8100%
Season away (9)84.480.7165.1+3.867%
Last 10 (10)84.385.5169.8-1.260%
Last 5 (5)87.083.6170.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.686.9168.5-5.331%
vs Similar (9)83.984.9168.8-1.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.280.9172.1+10.488%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
VareseOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#22
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A21/12
Champions League
Venezia
#1
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H07/01
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/01
Champions League
Usak Sportif
#33
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H18/01
Champions League
Sassari
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H22/01
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A24/01
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/01
Lega A
79.1Avg total
38.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.441.778.1-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.040.578.5-2.531%-
Last 30 away (14)34.543.177.6-8.614%-
Last 10 (10)38.041.179.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.080.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.343.077.3-8.76%-
vs Similar (13)39.140.079.1-0.946%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H02/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A06/01
Euroleague
Cantu
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/01
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
25-56
25
56
-31
A13/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H19/01
Euroleague
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H22/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H25/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A27/01
Euroleague
Avellino
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A30/01
Lega A
Darussafaka
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H02/02
Euroleague
86.6Avg total
41.4Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.185.2-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.241.385.5+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.044.984.9-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.445.286.6-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.886.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.342.381.6-3.038%-
vs Similar (9)41.444.786.1-3.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.442.690.0+4.875%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.418.8
46.5%
51.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.3
31.7%
35.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.913.9
77.7%
74.0%13.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.724.1
56.4%
51.1%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.07.2
37.9%
35.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.313.7
71.0%
74.0%13.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLWWLLLLL
Olimpia Milano
WLLWWWLWLW
#10
League position
#2
-8.3
Net rating
-1.6
98.4
Offensive rating
111.9
106.7
Defensive rating
113.5
46.9%
Effective FG%
56.6%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.3%
20.1%
Turnover %
19.8%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.7%
3-point %
37.9%
42.9%
Assist %
61.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 111.9Defence106.7 · 113.5Shooting46.9% · 56.6%3-point %31.7% · 37.9%Ball care20.1% · 19.8%Off. rebounds30.7% · 33.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Varese wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/17ACaserta86-80
24/01/17AOldenburg53-78
22/01/17HSassari76-83
18/01/17HUsak Sportif85-77
10/01/17AHydroTruck Radom74-61
07/01/17HTorino79-86
04/01/17HVentspils82-88
02/01/17ACremona71-85
27/12/16HVenezia60-73
21/12/16APAOK69-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/17HDarussafaka89-87
30/01/17AAvellino68-80
27/01/17AReal Madrid89-94
25/01/17HOlympiacos99-83
22/01/17HCapo d'Orlando90-74
19/01/17HGalatasaray92-87
13/01/17ACSKA Moscow64-101
10/01/17ACantu85-79
06/01/17AFenerbahce79-86
02/01/17HPesaro88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game76.378.673.8
Allowed / game80.979.282.8
Point differential-4.6-0.7-9.0
Avg total157.2157.8156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%22%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game87.891.684.4
Allowed / game79.477.980.7
Point differential+8.5+13.8+3.8
Avg total167.2169.5165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1714382%87.879.4+8.5
2 Avellino1812667%79.374.4+4.9
3 Venezia1812667%81.979.6+2.4
4 Sassari1810856%77.273.4+3.8
5 Capo d'Orlando1810856%79.178.6+0.4
6 Reggiana179853%80.781.5-0.8
7 Trento189950%75.272.4+2.8
8 Brescia189950%80.478.9+1.5
9 Pistoia189950%75.376.8-1.5
10 Torino189950%81.883.6-1.8
11 Caserta189950%81.984.7-2.8
12 Brindisi178947%83.183.0+0.1
13 Cantu1871139%77.481.7-4.2
14 Pesaro1861233%74.278.2-4.0
15 Varese1751229%76.380.9-4.6
16 Cremona1841422%74.679.1-4.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2119241882
Olimpia Milano2529192598
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.