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Olimpia Milano vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-67
20-12 26-19 14-17 16-19
Position#12
Record6-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#9
Record9-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game83.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17· Unipol Forum
European cup2023
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Baskonia
08 Apr 2027
MIL v BAS
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
MIL109
BAS89
10 Apr 2025
MIL111
BAS89
28 Dec 2023
MIL76
BAS67
31 Jan 2023
MIL89
BAS83
10 Feb 2022
MIL89
BAS78
23 Dec 2020
MIL79
BAS84
21 Nov 2018
MIL93
BAS90
20 Dec 2017
MIL92
BAS85
15 Nov 2016
MIL88
BAS76
16 Oct 2015
MIL78
BAS76
26 Mar 2015
MIL99
BAS85
17 Jan 2014
MIL83
BAS76
25 Oct 2012
MIL85
BAS95
25 Feb 2009
MIL74
BAS107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
70-83
70
83
-13
61avg 78
H30/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
83-89
83
89
-6
72avg 78
A03/12
Lega A
Bayern
#15
L
84-91 OT
84
91
-7
68avg 78
A05/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
L
69-82
69
82
-13
63avg 78
A07/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
82-80
82
80
+2
78avg 78
H10/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 78
A15/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 78
A17/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
84-61
84
61
+23
85avg 78
H20/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 78
H22/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
74-51
74
51
+23
75avg 78
H24/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
12-23
21-18
18-24
14-20
16-21
28-24
25-24
25-22
14-22
13-11
24-21
25-20
19-19
18-22
7-21
21-23
27-21
19-21
15-15
29-19
22-21
17-19
22-27
17-18
22-21
17-18
18-13
22-21
24-15
21-12
17-13
24-22
17-19
15-18
12-17
16-11
16-11
22-25
20-4
154.7Avg total
77.8Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.277.8157.1+1.438%
Season at home (8)77.271.4148.6+5.950%
Season away (8)81.284.2165.5-3.025%
Last 10 (10)77.876.9154.7+0.950%
Last 5 (5)78.068.8146.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.582.0151.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.477.6159.1+3.850%
vs Weaker (13)79.074.3153.3+4.754%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
W
98-84
98
84
+14
101avg 66
A01/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 66
A03/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
80-79
80
79
+1
70avg 66
H06/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
87-85
87
85
+2
84avg 66
H08/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
104-100
104
100
+4
108avg 66
H10/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
94-82
94
82
+12
83avg 66
H12/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
81-91
81
91
-10
75avg 66
H14/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
62-82
62
82
-20
53avg 66
A17/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
74avg 66
A19/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 66
A22/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
24-31
23-18
31-14
22-19
16-18
16-24
18-16
10-18
28-19
19-18
23-24
26-18
26-25
15-19
20-23
22-25
34-19
22-29
26-27
14-20
23-23
25-25
32-14
15-24
28-18
17-21
21-28
19-17
14-20
11-19
18-26
22-22
27-25
18-21
14-21
17-17
19-19
21-24
30-20
169.5Avg total
84.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.183.1166.1+0.056%
Season at home (9)80.982.2163.1-1.344%
Season away (7)85.984.1170.0+1.771%
Last 10 (10)84.684.9169.5-0.360%
Last 5 (5)81.084.8165.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.081.9160.9-2.943%
vs Similar ◀ (18)84.285.8170.1-1.650%
vs Weaker (5)87.081.4168.4+5.680%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
Olimpia MilanoBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H30/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A03/12
Lega A
Bayern
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A05/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H10/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A15/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A17/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H24/12
Lega A
78.8Avg total
40.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.377.1+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.736.377.0+4.469%-
Last 30 away (14)38.838.477.1+0.436%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.778.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.677.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.541.583.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.238.980.1+2.357%-
vs Weaker (13)38.635.173.7+3.562%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A01/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H08/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H10/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A19/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/12
Euroleague
84.4Avg total
42.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.682.6+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.440.183.4+3.369%-
Last 30 away (14)40.341.381.6-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.884.4+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.339.083.3+5.357%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.840.981.8-0.156%-
vs Weaker (5)42.641.884.4+0.860%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.1
55.2%
53.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.8
35.4%
36.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.911.4
76.5%
77.4%11.4
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.1
53.3%
53.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.3
38.2%
36.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.915.5
74.2%
77.4%15.5
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWWLLLL
Baskonia
WLLLWWWWLW
#12
League position
#9
+1.6
Net rating
-0.4
109.8
Offensive rating
113.3
108.3
Defensive rating
113.7
54.2%
Effective FG%
55.2%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.8%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.4%
3-point %
38.2%
58.1%
Assist %
62.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 113.3Defence108.3 · 113.7Shooting54.2% · 55.2%3-point %35.4% · 38.2%Ball care16.7% · 17.8%Off. rebounds26.0% · 30.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HCremona74-51
22/12/23HPanathinaikos68-76
20/12/23HLyon-Villeurbanne84-61
17/12/23AVarese74-70
15/12/23ABarcelona90-86
10/12/23HVirtus Bologna82-80
07/12/23APartizan69-82
05/12/23ABayern84-91 OT
03/12/23ASassari83-89
30/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas70-83
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23AAnadolu Efes87-80
19/12/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-89
17/12/23ABarcelona62-82
14/12/23HVirtus Bologna81-91
12/12/23HPalencia94-82
10/12/23HTenerife104-100
08/12/23HCrvena zvezda87-85
06/12/23HFenerbahce80-79
03/12/23AJoventut Badalona72-77
01/12/23AValencia98-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game79.277.281.2
Allowed / game77.871.484.2
Point differential+1.4+5.9-3.0
Avg total157.1148.6165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWLWWL44%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%44%71%
Points / game83.180.985.9
Allowed / game83.182.284.1
Point differential+0.0-1.3+1.7
Avg total166.1163.1170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1716194%87.574.5+12.9
2 Virtus Bologna1712571%82.480.4+2.1
3 Barcelona1611569%83.278.3+4.9
4 Panathinaikos1710759%82.179.5+2.6
5 Fenerbahce1710759%82.181.2+0.9
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv1710759%86.586.7-0.2
7 Monaco169756%80.779.8+0.9
8 Valencia169756%74.173.8+0.2
9 Baskonia169756%83.183.1+0.0
10 Partizan179853%85.284.2+1.0
11 Olympiacos168850%76.474.4+2.0
12 Bayern167944%79.281.3-2.1
13 Anadolu Efes1771041%81.287.1-5.8
14 Olimpia Milano1661038%79.277.8+1.4
15 Crvena zvezda1761135%80.880.6+0.2
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1751229%78.581.2-2.6
17 Alba Berlin1631319%76.585.8-9.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1721512%78.487.8-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2026141676
Baskonia1219171967
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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