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Bayern vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-88
17-21 25-20 19-23 23-24
Position#18
Record2-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game94.1
vs
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game88.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8· SAP Garden
European cup2026
Meetings · Bayern v Barcelona
27 Oct 2026
BAY84
BAR88
12 Nov 2025
BAY74
BAR75
22 Nov 2024
BAY100
BAR78
28 Mar 2024
BAY79
BAR87
18 Oct 2022
BAY73
BAR84
29 Apr 2022
BAY59
BAR52
27 Apr 2022
BAY66
BAR75
07 Oct 2021
BAY72
BAR80
30 Dec 2020
BAY90
BAR77
21 Mar 2019
BAY73
BAR71
20 Nov 2014
BAY77
BAR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best odds1.93
Implied52.6%
Edge-
Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best odds2.03
Implied47.4%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#12
W
95-61
95
61
+34
95avg 82
H26/09
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
76-100
76
100
-24
70avg 82
A29/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
84avg 82
H02/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#13
W
113-60
113
60
+53
119avg 82
H04/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
87-94
87
94
-7
74avg 82
H08/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
87-83
87
83
+4
77avg 82
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
101-93
101
93
+8
96avg 82
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
87-95
87
95
-8
88avg 82
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 82
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 82
H25/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
18-12
26-18
29-19
15-31
16-19
20-25
25-25
27-22
20-24
18-11
19-29
17-18
40-13
32-18
24-11
21-35
22-17
25-23
19-19
21-25
24-25
22-12
20-21
26-22
28-24
21-22
26-25
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
177.3Avg total
91.7Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.494.1181.6-6.729%
Season at home (3)87.395.7183.0-8.30%
Season away (4)87.593.0180.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)91.785.6177.3+6.150%
Last 5 (5)92.491.0183.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)87.494.1181.6-6.729%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (23)90.274.7164.9+15.487%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Dubai
#8
L
87-94
87
94
-7
70avg 81
A29/09
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
W
95-82
95
82
+13
88avg 81
A02/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
L
94-100
94
100
-6
79avg 81
A04/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
65avg 81
H09/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
89-86
89
86
+3
85avg 81
H11/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
90-87
90
87
+3
90avg 81
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
92avg 81
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
89-113
89
113
-24
86avg 81
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 81
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#6
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 81
H24/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
12-29
25-24
25-18
25-17
27-23
25-22
18-20
18-18
28-28
27-24
21-30
18-23
23-16
24-16
16-33
19-26
20-14
29-20
21-26
23-24
17-18
27-22
23-23
30-26
17-31
19-20
26-15
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
183.0Avg total
91.3Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.188.4178.6+1.757%
Season at home (4)90.090.5180.5-0.550%
Season away (3)90.385.7176.0+4.767%
Last 10 (10)91.391.7183.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)93.493.4186.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.3100.4188.7-12.129%
vs Similar (11)89.887.5177.4+2.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)96.284.8181.0+11.3100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 172Push
Over 172
no forecast
@ 1.57
Under 172
no forecast
@ 2.27
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Marathon Be
1.49
Under
Marathon Be
2.27
1xBet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Over/Under 177 · main lineActual: Under 177
Over 177
no forecast
@ 1.96
Under 177
no forecast
@ 1.95
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.96
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Marathon Be
1.87
Under
1xBet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.91
Bet365
1.76
SBO
1.76
Over/Under 182Actual: Under 182
Over 182
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under 182
no forecast
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Under
Marathon Be
1.52
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Bayern total 85.5Actual: Bayern under 85.5
Over 85.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under 85.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.27
1xBet
1.93
Marathon Be
1.89
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Bayern total 89.5 · main lineActual: Bayern under 89.5
Over 89.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
Under 89.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Marathon Be
1.95
Betano
1.95
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.81
Marathon Be
1.76
Betano
1.70
WilliamHill
1.70
Bayern total 93.5Actual: Bayern under 93.5
Over 93.5
no forecast
@ 2.67
Under 93.5
no forecast
@ 1.37
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Under
Betano
1.37
Barcelona total 85.5Actual: Barcelona over 85.5
Over 85.5
no forecast
@ 1.73
Under 85.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.73
1xBet
1.60
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.27
Marathon Be
1.99
Barcelona total 89.5 · main lineActual: Barcelona under 89.5
Over 89.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
Under 89.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Marathon Be
1.96
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.86
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Be
1.75
Betano
1.70
Barcelona total 93.5Actual: Barcelona under 93.5
Over 93.5
no forecast
@ 2.75
Under 93.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.75
Bet365
2.72
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.35

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bayern -4.5Actual: Barcelona +4.5
BAY -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.65
BAR +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
Best 5 market prices
BAY
1xBet
2.65
Bet365
2.65
BetVictor
2.50
Betano
2.45
BAR
BetVictor
1.50
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Marathon Be
1.44
Bet365
1.43
Spread Bayern -1.5 · main lineActual: Barcelona +1.5
BAY -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
BAR +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
Best 5 market prices
BAY
1xBet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Betfair
2.00
Marathon Be
2.00
Betano
1.98
BAR
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.83
Betfair
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Spread Bayern +1.5Actual: Barcelona -1.5
BAY +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
BAR -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.13
Best 5 market prices
BAY
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.81
BetVictor
1.78
BAR
Pinnacle
2.13
1xBet
2.07
Marathon Be
2.05
Betfair
2.00
BetVictor
2.00

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
BayernBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#12
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H26/09
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A29/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H02/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#13
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H04/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
88.6Avg total
43.0Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)45.039.684.6+5.577%47%
Last 30 at home (18)45.438.283.6+7.283%39%
Last 30 away (12)44.541.786.2+2.867%58%
Last 10 (10)43.045.688.6-2.650%70%
Last 5 (5)42.450.693.0-8.240%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.449.991.3-8.443%71%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (23)46.136.482.6+9.787%39%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#8
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A29/09
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A02/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A04/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
88.4Avg total
43.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)43.742.185.8+1.653%47%
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.384.4+1.953%40%
Last 30 away (15)44.342.987.1+1.453%53%
Last 10 (10)43.944.588.4-0.640%60%
Last 5 (5)44.845.690.4-0.840%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.446.785.1-8.30%29%
vs Similar (11)44.542.687.1+1.855%64%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.138.884.9+7.283%42%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Bayern win
BAY win
no forecast
@ 1.88
BAR win
no forecast
@ 2.01
1st half Spread Bayern -0.5 · main lineActual: Bayern -0.5
BAY -0.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
BAR +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 85.5 · main lineActual: Under 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.25
Bayern 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Bayern under 44.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.98
Under
no forecast
@ 1.92
Barcelona 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Barcelona under 44.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half: BAY + total 87.5
BAY & over
no forecast
@ 4.10
BAY & under
no forecast
@ 3.90
1st half: Draw + total 87.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 23.00
1st half: BAR + total 87.5
BAR & over
no forecast
@ 3.55
BAR & under
no forecast
@ 3.35
1st half Over/Under 87Actual: Under 87
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 2.16
1st half Spread Bayern -1.5Actual: Barcelona +1.5
BAY -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
BAR +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Bayern +0.5Actual: Bayern +0.5
BAY +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
BAR -0.5
no forecast
@ 2.08
1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Under 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Under 88.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.92
1st half Spread Bayern -2.5Actual: Barcelona +2.5
BAY -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
BAR +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Bayern +1.5Actual: Bayern +1.5
BAY +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
BAR -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.09
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Barcelona (regulation)
BAY
no forecast
@ 1.95
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
BAR
no forecast
@ 2.02

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
BAY win + total 176.5
🔒 Pro
BAR win + total 176.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BAY leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BAR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (BAY:BAR): BAY wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.022.9
60.3%
55.2%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.4
37.0%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.117.7
80.1%
77.1%17.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.7
57.1%
55.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.1
38.7%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.4
75.8%
77.1%14.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLLWWLWLLW
Barcelona
WWLLWWLLWL
#18
League position
#9
+7.0
Net rating
-0.6
105.7
Offensive rating
104.1
98.6
Defensive rating
104.7
58.4%
Effective FG%
57.5%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.0%
3-point %
38.7%
64.1%
Assist %
50.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 104.1Defence98.6 · 104.7Shooting58.4% · 57.5%3-point %37.0% · 38.7%Ball care16.0% · 14.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
7
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
17/04/26Barcelona v Bayern95-69
12/11/25Bayern v Barcelona74-75
25/03/25Barcelona v Bayern101-102
22/11/24Bayern v Barcelona100-78
28/03/24Bayern v Barcelona79-87
20/10/23Barcelona v Bayern98-59
02/02/23Barcelona v Bayern72-70
18/10/22Bayern v Barcelona73-84
03/05/22Barcelona v Bayern81-72
29/04/22Bayern v Barcelona59-52
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95
14/10/26AAnadolu Efes101-93
10/10/26AChemnitz87-83
08/10/26HVirtus Bologna87-94
04/10/26HOldenburg113-60
02/10/26HPartizan84-86
29/09/26AFenerbahce76-100
26/09/26HAlba Berlin95-61
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
16/10/26HOlympiacos100-105 OT
13/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-87
11/10/26HValencia89-86
09/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas81-88
04/10/26AMurcia94-100
02/10/26ABesiktas95-82
29/09/26ADubai87-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%0%50%
Points / game87.487.387.5
Allowed / game94.195.793.0
Point differential-6.7-8.3-5.5
Avg total181.6183.0180.5
Over 17757%67%50%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game90.190.090.3
Allowed / game88.490.585.7
Point differential+1.7-0.5+4.7
Avg total178.6180.5176.0
Over 17729%25%33%
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos76186%87.673.9+13.7
2 Fenerbahce76186%80.772.6+8.1
3 Valencia75271%99.191.7+7.4
4 Olympiacos75271%92.986.1+6.7
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv75271%90.085.9+4.1
6 Dubai85362%86.285.4+0.9
7 Real Madrid74357%95.390.0+5.3
8 Crvena zvezda74357%81.077.4+3.6
9 Barcelona74357%90.188.4+1.7
10 Partizan74357%78.779.0-0.3
11 Virtus Bologna74357%86.686.9-0.3
12 Zalgiris Kaunas73443%85.086.0-1.0
13 Anadolu Efes73443%83.084.3-1.3
14 Besiktas73443%90.692.0-1.4
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv72529%86.993.3-6.4
16 Bayern72529%87.494.1-6.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne72529%87.496.7-9.3
18 Paris82625%87.092.8-5.8
19 Olimpia Milano71614%83.692.6-9.0
20 Baskonia71614%83.392.7-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1725192384
Barcelona2120232488
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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