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Crvena zvezda vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-72
28-17 16-26 21-14 13-15
Position#11
Record0-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#16
Record0-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5
European cup2022
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Bayern
29 Oct 2026
CZV103
BAY73
06 Mar 2026
CZV80
BAY85
29 Nov 2024
CZV101
BAY77
02 Nov 2023
CZV74
BAY68
28 Oct 2022
CZV78
BAY72
17 Dec 2021
CZV81
BAY78
02 Mar 2021
CZV76
BAY78
18 Dec 2015
CZV85
BAY76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#2
W
88-66
88
66
+22
no box
H14/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
110-71
110
71
+39
no box
H17/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
71-59
71
59
+12
no box
A19/06
Super League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
87-67
87
67
+20
no box
H01/10
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
59-72
59
72
-13
59avg 73
A07/10
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
69-65
69
65
+4
67avg 73
H10/10
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#15
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 73
H13/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
75-92
75
92
-17
77avg 73
A19/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
56-72
56
72
-16
40avg 73
A21/10
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H24/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
27-17
15-12
20-21
24-18
29-11
26-23
31-19
15-9
19-22
25-14
12-14
13-9
26-13
26-25
22-20
14-17
20-18
16-21
9-16
20-19
23-16
12-16
14-14
24-18
14-24
18-15
19-20
24-23
23-19
10-17
18-33
10-25
20-14
14-15
12-18
24-25
27-15
17-22
15-15
149.1Avg total
77.3Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.278.2144.5-12.00%
Season at home (1)75.077.0152.0-2.00%
Season away (3)63.378.7142.0-15.30%
Last 10 (10)77.371.8149.1+5.560%
Last 5 (5)71.676.6148.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.578.5153.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.780.8155.5-6.136%
vs Weaker (17)85.173.1158.2+11.982%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
76avg 73
H19/06
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
78avg 73
H01/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
83-74
83
74
+9
73avg 73
A03/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
62-74
62
74
-12
58avg 73
H06/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
88-74
88
74
+14
87avg 73
H09/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
48avg 73
A13/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#16
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
A16/10
German Cup
Barcelona
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
57avg 73
H18/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 73
H20/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
no box
A22/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
19-26
18-24
27-20
24-18
15-21
28-15
20-26
17-15
20-11
31-25
15-23
19-21
15-19
12-19
16-15
28-22
19-27
20-8
21-17
16-24
16-10
19-22
12-10
21-18
23-15
21-16
20-19
18-18
16-19
19-28
20-19
22-16
21-21
23-26
15-20
13-25
24-7
13-24
19-13
156.1Avg total
78.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.876.8146.5-7.00%
Season at home (3)72.080.3152.3-8.30%
Season away (1)63.066.0129.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)78.178.0156.1+0.140%
Last 5 (5)76.076.4152.4-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.976.1149.0-3.227%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.878.7159.4+2.144%
vs Weaker (9)84.769.3154.0+15.389%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
Crvena zvezdaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#2
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H17/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A19/06
Super League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H01/10
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A07/10
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/10
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#15
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H13/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A19/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A21/10
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H24/10
ABA League
77.0Avg total
42.2Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.779.4+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.736.882.4+8.981%-
Last 30 away (14)37.138.875.9-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.234.877.0+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.681.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.039.574.5-4.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.041.580.5-2.536%-
vs Weaker (17)44.235.079.2+9.294%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H19/06
BBL
Ulm
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H01/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A03/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H09/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A13/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/10
German Cup
Barcelona
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H18/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A22/10
BBL
76.2Avg total
38.3Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.076.7+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.838.677.4+0.238%-
Last 30 away (14)40.935.175.9+5.871%-
Last 10 (10)38.337.976.2+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.672.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.438.375.6-0.945%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.340.881.1-0.422%-
vs Weaker (9)41.732.073.7+9.789%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.915.8
49.5%
53.5%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.7
32.0%
36.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.017.6
80.0%
78.5%17.6
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.415.3
45.8%
53.5%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.4
39.0%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.414.4
82.8%
78.5%14.4
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WLLLWLWWWW
Bayern
LLLWLWLWWL
#11
League position
#16
-9.2
Net rating
+2.0
103.4
Offensive rating
109.8
112.5
Defensive rating
107.8
48.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
20.1%
Turnover %
17.3%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.0%
3-point %
39.0%
71.5%
Assist %
53.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 109.8Defence112.5 · 107.8Shooting48.8% · 51.4%3-point %32.0% · 39.0%Ball care20.1% · 17.3%Off. rebounds33.6% · 29.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Crvena zvezda wins
3
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
01/04/22Bayern v Crvena zvezda82-57
17/12/21Crvena zvezda v Bayern81-78
02/03/21Crvena zvezda v Bayern76-78
06/11/20Bayern v Crvena zvezda74-59
18/12/15Crvena zvezda v Bayern85-76
12/11/15Bayern v Crvena zvezda79-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/22HFMP Beograd83-77
21/10/22AReal Madrid56-72
19/10/22ABaskonia75-92
13/10/22HPanathinaikos75-77
10/10/22HBuducnost69-65
07/10/22AAnadolu Efes59-72
01/10/22HMZT Skopje87-67
19/06/22AFMP Beograd71-59
17/06/22HFMP Beograd110-71
14/06/22HMega Basket88-66
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/22AHamburg78-81 OT
20/10/22HOlimpia Milano81-83
18/10/22HBarcelona73-84
16/10/22ABamberg85-68
13/10/22AVirtus Bologna63-66
09/10/22HChemnitz88-74
06/10/22HFenerbahce62-74
03/10/22AFrankfurt83-74
01/10/22HUlm87-80
19/06/22HAlba Berlin81-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.275.063.3
Allowed / game78.277.078.7
Point differential-12.0-2.0-15.3
Avg total144.5152.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.872.063.0
Allowed / game76.880.366.0
Point differential-7.0-8.3-3.0
Avg total146.5152.3129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce440100%80.868.2+12.5
2 Maccabi Tel Aviv54180%81.276.4+4.8
3 Olympiacos54180%86.482.0+4.4
4 Monaco54180%82.478.4+4.0
5 Baskonia43175%92.084.8+7.2
6 Olimpia Milano43175%76.574.5+2.0
7 Alba Berlin53260%84.277.6+6.6
8 Anadolu Efes42250%83.280.0+3.2
9 Barcelona42250%75.274.8+0.5
10 Partizan52340%86.484.2+2.2
11 Real Madrid52340%78.876.6+2.2
12 Valencia52340%80.680.2+0.4
13 Zalgiris Kaunas52340%76.079.6-3.6
14 Virtus Bologna52340%70.879.0-8.2
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne41325%67.879.2-11.5
16 Panathinaikos51420%72.881.6-8.8
17 Bayern4040%69.876.8-7.0
18 Crvena zvezda4040%66.278.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2816211378
Bayern1726141572
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