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Wurzburg vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 82-90
17-20 19-25 23-20 23-25
Position#4
Record20-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record22-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game77.0
GermanyBBLRound 28· Tectake Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Wurzburg v Bayern
08 Nov 2026
WUR v BAY
upcoming
23 Apr 2026
WUR81
BAY90
29 Mar 2025
WUR75
BAY81
02 Jun 2024
WUR61
BAY75
14 Apr 2024
WUR82
BAY90
10 Apr 2023
WUR49
BAY67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
89-100
89
100
-11
34avg 72
A04/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
104-65
104
65
+39
101avg 72
H09/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 72
A14/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
86-80
86
80
+6
77avg 72
H01/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
96-76
96
76
+20
94avg 72
A09/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
85-60
85
60
+25
84avg 72
H13/03
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
96-76
96
76
+20
94avg 72
H17/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
70avg 72
A23/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 72
H30/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
67avg 72
A07/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
20-24
23-25
26-28
32-14
25-21
23-14
24-16
24-24
16-24
28-21
26-22
28-23
17-18
15-21
26-18
31-17
24-18
18-13
23-28
19-9
17-17
28-16
21-18
21-15
26-23
18-19
31-19
13-22
33-26
9-22
24-17
26-17
25-25
22-13
23-26
16-21
14-13
24-16
21-17
168.3Avg total
90.0Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.178.3164.5+7.874%
Season at home (13)85.075.4160.4+9.677%
Season away (14)87.281.1168.3+6.171%
Last 10 (10)90.078.3168.3+11.780%
Last 5 (5)86.274.2160.4+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)66.078.5144.5-12.50%
vs Similar (12)81.880.8162.6+1.150%
vs Weaker (15)90.576.1166.6+14.393%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-58
64
58
+6
61avg 79
H15/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 79
A17/03
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
68-70
68
70
-2
61avg 79
A20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 79
H22/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
no box
A24/03
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
77avg 79
H28/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
99-81
99
81
+18
98avg 79
A31/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
70avg 79
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
91-61
91
61
+30
89avg 79
H07/04
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
82avg 79
A11/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
15-11
17-16
14-21
13-23
19-23
22-11
23-14
15-28
22-17
19-12
12-13
21-22
14-26
27-15
12-26
12-17
26-17
18-14
17-25
19-25
11-22
23-24
26-16
25-17
28-23
19-17
27-24
18-13
18-27
18-18
21-24
21-13
23-18
23-18
24-12
14-29
16-23
30-20
25-17
156.1Avg total
79.3Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)89.577.0166.5+12.685%
Season at home (14)90.675.7166.4+14.993%
Season away (12)88.278.4166.7+9.875%
Last 10 (10)79.376.8156.1+2.550%
Last 5 (5)85.880.0165.8+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.187.6165.7-9.40%
vs Similar (9)80.279.9160.1+0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.674.2163.8+15.493%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
WurzburgBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A04/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H09/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A14/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A09/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H13/03
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A07/04
BBL
84.1Avg total
44.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.179.1+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.836.778.5+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.239.579.7+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)44.739.484.1+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.679.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.537.073.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (12)40.339.179.4+1.233%-
vs Weaker (15)41.737.579.2+4.367%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H15/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/03
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H22/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/03
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H28/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A31/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/04
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A11/04
Euroleague
77.2Avg total
36.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.081.8+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.338.880.1+2.467%-
Last 30 away (12)42.441.884.2+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.477.2-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.080.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.943.678.4-8.729%-
vs Similar (9)39.342.281.6-2.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.736.983.6+9.993%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.5
51.7%
54.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.8
40.3%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.916.8
80.4%
76.0%16.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.318.1
56.0%
54.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.4
38.2%
35.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.611.6
79.5%
76.0%11.6
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WWLWWWWWWL
Bayern
LWLWLWLLWW
#4
League position
#1
+16.0
Net rating
+0.1
120.1
Offensive rating
111.1
104.1
Defensive rating
110.9
55.6%
Effective FG%
56.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
14.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.3%
3-point %
38.2%
55.1%
Assist %
62.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence120.1 · 111.1Defence104.1 · 110.9Shooting55.6% · 56.6%3-point %40.3% · 38.2%Ball care14.5% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.9% · 26.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wurzburg wins
3
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Bayern v Wurzburg87-64
10/04/23Wurzburg v Bayern49-67
27/11/22Bayern v Wurzburg83-73
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24AGottingen75-67
30/03/24HTubingen96-81
23/03/24AUlm79-87
17/03/24HHamburg96-76
13/03/24HGottingen85-60
09/03/24AOldenburg96-76
01/03/24HCrailsheim Merlins86-80
14/02/24ALudwigsburg94-91
09/02/24HBamberg104-65
04/02/24ABasketball Braunschweig89-100
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/24AMonaco85-89
07/04/24HBasketball Braunschweig91-61
05/04/24HPanathinaikos75-82
31/03/24ABamberg99-81
28/03/24HBarcelona79-87
24/03/24AHamburg81-80 OT
22/03/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv74-89
20/03/24AValencia68-70
17/03/24AGottingen77-71
15/03/24HZalgiris Kaunas64-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %74%77%71%
Points / game86.185.087.2
Allowed / game78.375.481.1
Point differential+7.8+9.6+6.1
Avg total164.5160.4168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%46%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW85%
HomeWWWLW93%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %85%93%75%
Points / game89.590.688.2
Allowed / game77.075.778.4
Point differential+12.6+14.9+9.8
Avg total166.5166.4166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%64%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %12%7%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2622485%89.577.0+12.6
2 Chemnitz2823582%89.277.9+11.4
3 Alba Berlin2520580%91.781.8+9.9
4 Wurzburg2720774%86.178.3+7.8
5 Ulm2819968%91.885.9+5.8
6 Ludwigsburg28171161%88.681.5+7.1
7 Vechta28171161%89.082.6+6.4
8 Bonn28171161%89.585.5+4.0
9 Oldenburg28141450%84.984.5+0.4
10 Hamburg27131448%85.586.7-1.2
11 Bamberg28121643%88.190.6-2.5
12 Basketball Braunschweig28121643%83.085.9-2.9
13 Syntainics MBC2882029%85.492.3-7.0
14 Gottingen2882029%86.093.9-7.9
15 Rostock2772026%88.493.6-5.2
16 Heidelberg2872125%82.494.4-12.0
17 Crailsheim Merlins2862221%80.792.7-12.0
18 Tubingen2862221%84.397.0-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg1719232382
Bayern2025202590
← all games of the day
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