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Bayern vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 75-82
18-13 18-27 18-18 21-24
Position#15
Record13-19
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#2
Record21-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33· BMW Park
European cup2023
Meetings · Bayern v Panathinaikos
18 Dec 2026
BAY v PAO
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
BAY85
PAO78
27 Dec 2024
BAY69
PAO80
05 Apr 2024
BAY75
PAO82
05 Jan 2023
BAY84
PAO68
18 Nov 2021
BAY81
PAO78
04 Mar 2021
BAY76
PAO71
16 Oct 2018
BAY80
PAO79
23 Oct 2014
BAY81
PAO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
90avg 78
H03/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
86-109
86
109
-23
81avg 78
A07/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
no box
H10/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-58
64
58
+6
61avg 78
H15/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 78
A17/03
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
68-70
68
70
-2
61avg 78
A20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 78
H22/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
no box
A24/03
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
77avg 78
H28/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
99-81
99
81
+18
98avg 78
A31/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
31-21
22-22
12-23
28-26
21-27
16-35
21-21
24-21
32-19
14-18
10-22
18-10
15-11
17-16
14-21
13-23
19-23
22-11
23-14
15-28
22-17
19-12
12-13
21-22
14-26
27-15
12-26
12-17
26-17
18-14
17-25
19-25
11-22
23-24
26-16
25-17
28-23
19-17
27-24
162.2Avg total
80.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.681.8160.4-3.341%
Season at home (16)80.280.5160.7-0.356%
Season away (16)76.983.2160.1-6.225%
Last 10 (10)80.681.6162.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)80.281.4161.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.488.4165.8-11.00%
vs Similar (11)78.880.0158.8-1.255%
vs Weaker (14)89.675.9165.5+13.693%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
97-86
97
86
+11
93avg 76
A29/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
96-73
96
73
+23
98avg 76
H03/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
85-67
85
67
+18
65avg 76
H08/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
87-64
87
64
+23
83avg 76
A10/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
59avg 76
A14/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
W
89-73
89
73
+16
92avg 76
A17/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
89-76
89
76
+13
88avg 76
A20/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
87avg 76
H22/03
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
93-62
93
62
+31
no box
H25/03
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
81-79
81
79
+2
70avg 76
A29/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
27-12
22-25
30-25
26-26
25-16
28-16
17-15
20-17
18-19
21-14
26-17
22-22
20-10
23-16
22-16
17-7
16-26
9-15
23-23
24-22
22-20
18-16
25-15
29-20
22-21
19-15
19-20
20-23
14-23
26-15
29-20
19-15
30-12
26-19
18-16
28-16
23-23
14-20
16-20
160.3Avg total
87.1Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.577.2158.8+4.266%
Season at home (16)82.974.0156.9+8.981%
Season away (16)80.180.5160.6-0.450%
Last 10 (10)87.173.2160.3+13.990%
Last 5 (5)88.274.2162.4+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.069.0127.0-11.00%
vs Similar (6)83.074.0157.0+9.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.772.1155.8+11.682%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +3.8+3.8
BayernPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H03/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A07/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H10/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H15/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/03
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H22/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/03
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H28/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A31/03
BBL
82.9Avg total
41.9Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.882.0+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.439.280.7+2.269%-
Last 30 away (14)43.140.483.4+2.757%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.082.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.881.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.642.678.2-7.040%-
vs Similar (11)38.841.580.3-2.636%-
vs Weaker (14)47.237.484.6+9.893%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A29/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H03/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A10/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#4
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A14/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A17/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A20/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H22/03
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H25/03
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A29/03
Euroleague
81.4Avg total
44.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.535.978.4+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.935.276.1+5.875%-
Last 30 away (14)44.336.881.1+7.571%-
Last 10 (10)44.037.481.4+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.239.085.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)39.536.275.7+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.336.480.7+7.977%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.6
58.5%
53.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.7
35.9%
36.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.212.8
79.0%
77.4%12.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.6
55.7%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.69.6
40.7%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
77.4%12.8
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWLLWWLLW
Panathinaikos
WWWWWLWWWW
#15
League position
#2
+2.1
Net rating
+13.4
111.4
Offensive rating
116.5
109.3
Defensive rating
103.2
56.4%
Effective FG%
57.8%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.8%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.9%
3-point %
40.7%
66.1%
Assist %
64.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 116.5Defence109.3 · 103.2Shooting56.4% · 57.8%3-point %35.9% · 40.7%Ball care18.4% · 17.8%Off. rebounds25.8% · 31.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Bayern   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bayern wins
6
Panathinaikos wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24ABamberg99-81
28/03/24HBarcelona79-87
24/03/24AHamburg81-80 OT
22/03/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv74-89
20/03/24AValencia68-70
17/03/24AGottingen77-71
15/03/24HZalgiris Kaunas64-58
10/03/24HVechta88-90 OT
07/03/24AAnadolu Efes86-109
03/03/24HBonn90-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24AVirtus Bologna81-79
25/03/24HPromitheas93-62
22/03/24HBarcelona89-81
20/03/24ACrvena zvezda89-76
17/03/24APAOK89-73
14/03/24AOlympiacos65-71
10/03/24AAS Karditsas87-64
08/03/24HLyon-Villeurbanne85-67
03/03/24HKolossos Rhodes96-73
29/02/24AReal Madrid97-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeLWWLL56%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %41%56%25%
Points / game78.680.276.9
Allowed / game81.880.583.2
Point differential-3.3-0.3-6.2
Avg total160.4160.7160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%19%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW66%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %66%81%50%
Points / game81.582.980.1
Allowed / game77.274.080.5
Point differential+4.2+8.9-0.4
Avg total158.8156.9160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %9%12%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3226681%88.980.8+8.1
2 Barcelona33221167%83.079.3+3.8
3 Monaco33221167%81.678.9+2.8
4 Panathinaikos32211166%81.577.2+4.2
5 Olympiacos33211264%78.874.8+4.0
6 Fenerbahce33201361%85.280.8+4.4
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv33191458%87.686.7+0.9
8 Virtus Bologna32171553%80.181.8-1.8
9 Baskonia32161650%83.684.5-0.9
10 Anadolu Efes33161748%85.786.6-0.9
11 Partizan33151845%83.184.0-0.8
12 Olimpia Milano32141844%77.677.8-0.2
13 Zalgiris Kaunas33141942%80.080.0+0.0
14 Valencia33141942%76.279.1-2.8
15 Bayern32131941%78.681.8-3.3
16 Crvena zvezda33112233%82.182.3-0.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3382524%78.785.3-6.6
18 Alba Berlin3352815%76.286.7-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1818182175
Panathinaikos1327182482
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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