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Valencia vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 70-68
28-15 17-22 12-19 13-12
Position#14
Record13-16
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#15
Record13-16
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2023
Meetings · Valencia v Bayern
12 Nov 2026
VAL102
BAY87
25 Nov 2025
VAL90
BAY64
20 Mar 2024
VAL70
BAY68
31 Jan 2023
VAL82
BAY73
25 Mar 2021
VAL83
BAY76
04 Mar 2015
VAL80
BAY58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
62avg 71
H08/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
78-93
78
93
-15
75avg 71
A11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#6
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
no box
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 71
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
74-87
74
87
-13
69avg 71
A29/02
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
111-93
111
93
+18
103avg 71
H03/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
66avg 71
H07/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
97-75
97
75
+22
97avg 71
A10/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
88-118
88
118
-30
86avg 71
A14/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
88-92
88
92
-4
71avg 71
A17/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
20-19
9-20
17-18
18-28
15-14
25-28
20-23
17-18
15-17
16-19
29-23
17-23
22-25
16-32
21-15
20-18
12-26
25-21
17-22
25-25
28-31
27-20
31-17
18-18
24-19
15-22
21-29
27-20
22-20
20-18
28-17
19-22
18-35
24-28
27-33
20-23
29-25
16-21
23-23
174.4Avg total
84.4Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.578.2154.8-1.745%
Season at home (15)77.977.7155.7+0.253%
Season away (14)75.078.8153.8-3.836%
Last 10 (10)84.490.0174.4-5.630%
Last 5 (5)92.493.2185.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.986.6161.4-11.711%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.878.9157.7-0.250%
vs Weaker (8)87.981.9169.8+6.062%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
W
89-80
89
80
+9
87avg 78
H13/02
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
81-62
81
62
+19
75avg 78
A17/02
German Cup
Ulm
#3
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 78
H18/02
German Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
86-74
86
74
+12
95avg 78
H28/02
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
74-66
74
66
+8
72avg 78
H01/03
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
90avg 78
H03/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
86-109
86
109
-23
81avg 78
A07/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
no box
H10/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-58
64
58
+6
61avg 78
H15/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 78
A17/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
17-32
23-19
27-8
21-22
27-10
15-9
18-21
9-18
26-10
24-19
22-18
29-21
17-17
22-23
18-13
20-19
12-8
21-19
21-20
25-15
31-21
22-22
12-23
28-26
21-27
16-35
21-21
24-21
32-19
14-18
10-22
18-10
15-11
17-16
14-21
13-23
19-23
22-11
23-14
157.2Avg total
81.6Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.181.8160.9-2.845%
Season at home (14)80.779.4160.1+1.364%
Season away (15)77.584.1161.6-6.527%
Last 10 (10)81.675.6157.2+6.080%
Last 5 (5)81.081.8162.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.589.2167.8-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.880.4161.2+0.467%
vs Weaker (14)89.573.8163.3+15.793%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
ValenciaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A29/02
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H03/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A10/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A14/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A17/03
ACB
85.2Avg total
40.5Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.879.2-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.842.481.1-3.621%-
Last 30 away (16)38.139.477.6-1.344%-
Last 10 (10)40.544.785.2-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)46.047.693.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.641.378.9-3.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.039.876.8-2.833%-
vs Weaker (8)42.442.484.8+0.038%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H13/02
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A17/02
German Cup
Ulm
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H18/02
German Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/02
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/03
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H03/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A07/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H10/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H15/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/03
BBL
80.0Avg total
42.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.638.881.4+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.138.180.2+4.172%-
Last 30 away (12)43.439.883.2+3.658%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.480.0+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.239.284.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.041.077.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.840.980.8-1.142%-
vs Weaker (14)46.936.383.2+10.693%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.5
53.9%
53.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.1
36.3%
36.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.914.7
77.8%
77.4%14.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.319.3
61.7%
53.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.5
38.6%
36.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.313.7
84.0%
77.4%13.7
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLWLWLLWLL
Bayern
WWLLWWWWWW
#14
League position
#15
-9.3
Net rating
+14.4
111.0
Offensive rating
122.9
120.3
Defensive rating
108.6
54.1%
Effective FG%
59.9%
60.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.2%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.3%
3-point %
38.6%
65.5%
Assist %
60.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 122.9Defence120.3 · 108.6Shooting54.1% · 59.9%3-point %36.3% · 38.6%Ball care15.7% · 17.2%Off. rebounds25.5% · 32.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
3
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
28/12/23Bayern v Valencia85-84
31/01/23Valencia v Bayern82-73
15/12/22Bayern v Valencia97-92
25/03/21Valencia v Bayern83-76
13/11/20Bayern v Valencia90-79
11/03/15Bayern v Valencia60-94
04/03/15Valencia v Bayern80-58
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24ABasquet Girona88-92
14/03/24AFenerbahce88-118
10/03/24AObradoiro CAB97-75
07/03/24HBarcelona78-88
03/03/24HPalencia111-93
29/02/24AVirtus Bologna74-87
17/02/24AReal Madrid76-95
15/02/24AGran Canaria89-81 OT
11/02/24ABilbao78-93
08/02/24HOlympiacos65-78
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24AGottingen77-71
15/03/24HZalgiris Kaunas64-58
10/03/24HVechta88-90 OT
07/03/24AAnadolu Efes86-109
03/03/24HBonn90-81
01/03/24HCrvena zvezda74-66
28/02/24HGottingen86-74
18/02/24HUlm81-65
17/02/24ABamberg81-62
13/02/24HChemnitz89-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL45%
HomeLLWLL53%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%53%36%
Points / game76.577.975.0
Allowed / game78.277.778.8
Point differential-1.7+0.2-3.8
Avg total154.8155.7153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%7%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (8)0% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW45%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayLLWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %45%64%27%
Points / game79.180.777.5
Allowed / game81.879.484.1
Point differential-2.8+1.3-6.5
Avg total160.9160.1161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %14%14%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3024680%88.580.5+8.0
2 Barcelona30201067%82.778.6+4.0
3 Panathinaikos30191163%81.377.1+4.2
4 Fenerbahce30191163%85.181.3+3.8
5 Monaco30191163%82.079.4+2.6
6 Olympiacos30181260%78.675.0+3.6
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv30171357%87.387.2+0.1
8 Virtus Bologna30171357%80.181.5-1.3
9 Baskonia30161453%84.183.7+0.3
10 Partizan30141647%83.584.2-0.7
11 Valencia29131645%76.578.2-1.7
12 Bayern29131645%79.181.8-2.8
13 Olimpia Milano30131743%77.877.5+0.3
14 Anadolu Efes30131743%85.587.2-1.8
15 Zalgiris Kaunas30121840%79.880.7-1.0
16 Crvena zvezda30102033%81.281.6-0.4
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3072323%78.686.0-7.4
18 Alba Berlin3052517%76.085.9-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2817121370
Bayern1522191268
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